Pre-tourney Rankings
Atlantic 10
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
50 Rhode Island 77.5%   10   25 - 7 15 - 3 25 - 7 15 - 3 +9.8      +4.9 50 +4.9 50 70.5 140 +11.5 38 +11.6 1
53 Davidson 100.0%   12   21 - 11 13 - 5 21 - 11 13 - 5 +9.6      +4.8 53 +4.8 53 61.9 335 +6.5 84 +7.3 3
67 St. Bonaventure 75.9%   10   25 - 7 14 - 4 25 - 7 14 - 4 +7.9      +4.0 67 +4.0 67 71.1 120 +11.2 41 +10.3 2
110 Saint Joseph's 0.0%   16 - 16 10 - 8 16 - 16 10 - 8 +4.3      +2.2 110 +2.2 110 73.9 62 +1.3 150 +2.1 4
129 Virginia Commonwealth 0.0%   18 - 15 9 - 9 18 - 15 9 - 9 +2.1      +1.0 129 +1.0 129 74.6 53 +2.7 126 +0.7 8
134 Saint Louis 0.0%   16 - 16 9 - 9 16 - 16 9 - 9 +1.8      +0.9 134 +0.9 134 61.6 336 +1.8 141 +1.5 5
151 La Salle 0.0%   13 - 19 7 - 11 13 - 19 7 - 11 +1.0      +0.5 151 +0.5 151 70.6 134 -0.9 183 -1.4 11
158 Dayton 0.0%   14 - 17 8 - 10 14 - 17 8 - 10 +0.6      +0.3 158 +0.3 158 65.4 267 +0.4 161 +0.4 9
164 Richmond 0.0%   12 - 20 9 - 9 12 - 20 9 - 9 +0.3      +0.2 164 +0.2 164 68.6 189 -0.9 181 +1.5 7
176 George Washington 0.0%   15 - 18 7 - 11 15 - 18 7 - 11 -0.8      -0.4 176 -0.4 176 64.2 301 -0.1 169 -1.2 10
191 Duquesne 0.0%   16 - 16 7 - 11 16 - 16 7 - 11 -2.0      -1.0 191 -1.0 191 65.2 278 -3.0 214 -1.5 12
195 Massachusetts 0.0%   13 - 20 5 - 13 13 - 20 5 - 13 -2.2      -1.1 195 -1.1 195 66.1 249 -2.3 203 -4.2 13
205 George Mason 0.0%   16 - 17 9 - 9 16 - 17 9 - 9 -2.7      -1.3 205 -1.3 205 70.5 138 0.0 168 +1.5 6
278 Fordham 0.0%   9 - 22 4 - 14 9 - 22 4 - 14 -6.9      -3.4 278 -3.4 278 65.1 280 -5.8 256 -5.3 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Rhode Island 1.0 100.0
Davidson 3.0 100.0
St. Bonaventure 2.0 100.0
Saint Joseph's 4.0 100.0
Virginia Commonwealth 5.0 100.0
Saint Louis 5.0 100.0
La Salle 10.0 100.0
Dayton 9.0 100.0
Richmond 5.0 100.0
George Washington 10.0 100.0
Duquesne 10.0 100.0
Massachusetts 13.0 100.0
George Mason 5.0 100.0
Fordham 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Rhode Island 15 - 3 100.0
Davidson 13 - 5 100.0
St. Bonaventure 14 - 4 100.0
Saint Joseph's 10 - 8 100.0
Virginia Commonwealth 9 - 9 100.0
Saint Louis 9 - 9 100.0
La Salle 7 - 11 100.0
Dayton 8 - 10 100.0
Richmond 9 - 9 100.0
George Washington 7 - 11 100.0
Duquesne 7 - 11 100.0
Massachusetts 5 - 13 100.0
George Mason 9 - 9 100.0
Fordham 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Rhode Island 100.0% 100.0
Davidson
St. Bonaventure
Saint Joseph's
Virginia Commonwealth
Saint Louis
La Salle
Dayton
Richmond
George Washington
Duquesne
Massachusetts
George Mason
Fordham


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Rhode Island 77.5% 0.0% 77.5% 10   0.0 2.0 7.7 15.0 22.9 22.3 7.6 22.5 77.5%
Davidson 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.3 37.1 60.6 2.1
St. Bonaventure 75.9% 0.0% 75.9% 10   0.1 0.7 4.8 15.4 34.0 21.0 0.1 24.1 75.9%
Saint Joseph's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Virginia Commonwealth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Saint Louis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
La Salle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dayton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Richmond 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
George Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Duquesne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Massachusetts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
George Mason 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fordham 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Rhode Island 77.5% 7.2% 73.8% 31.9% 7.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Davidson 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 32.8% 10.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
St. Bonaventure 75.9% 20.1% 63.3% 22.6% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Saint Joseph's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Virginia Commonwealth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Saint Louis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
La Salle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dayton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Richmond 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Duquesne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Massachusetts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Mason 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fordham 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 2.5 4.8 36.9 58.3
1st Round 100.0% 2.4 8.4 46.2 45.5
2nd Round 64.8% 0.9 35.2 44.6 18.0 2.3
Sweet Sixteen 20.9% 0.2 79.1 19.5 1.4 0.0
Elite Eight 5.5% 0.1 94.5 5.4 0.2
Final Four 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4 0.0
Final Game 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0