Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-American
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
73 Buffalo 100.0%   12   25 - 8 15 - 3 25 - 8 15 - 3 +7.4      +3.7 73 +3.7 73 78.9 17 +6.9 78 +6.5 1
122 Toledo 0.0%   22 - 11 13 - 5 22 - 11 13 - 5 +2.8      +1.4 122 +1.4 122 69.9 157 +3.4 116 +3.9 2
143 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   17 - 12 11 - 7 17 - 12 11 - 7 +1.2      +0.6 143 +0.6 143 62.2 332 +0.7 160 +1.1 3
170 Ball St. 0.0%   18 - 13 10 - 8 18 - 13 10 - 8 -0.3      -0.1 170 -0.1 170 72.6 85 +1.1 153 -0.1 4
178 Central Michigan 0.0%   16 - 14 7 - 11 16 - 14 7 - 11 -0.9      -0.5 178 -0.5 178 66.7 235 -1.7 192 -3.6 8
188 Western Michigan 0.0%   15 - 15 9 - 9 15 - 15 9 - 9 -1.7      -0.8 188 -0.8 188 68.7 188 -1.2 186 -0.8 5
192 Miami (OH) 0.0%   14 - 17 8 - 10 14 - 17 8 - 10 -2.0      -1.0 192 -1.0 192 66.3 244 -1.7 193 -2.6 7
196 Ohio 0.0%   13 - 17 7 - 11 13 - 17 7 - 11 -2.2      -1.1 196 -1.1 196 75.9 40 -2.8 208 -3.9 9
207 Kent St. 0.0%   16 - 17 9 - 9 16 - 17 9 - 9 -2.8      -1.4 207 -1.4 207 69.9 156 -1.4 190 -1.2 6
238 Bowling Green 0.0%   14 - 16 7 - 11 14 - 16 7 - 11 -4.5      -2.2 238 -2.2 238 73.7 63 -2.5 206 -4.0 10
250 Northern Illinois 0.0%   11 - 19 6 - 12 11 - 19 6 - 12 -5.5      -2.7 250 -2.7 250 67.3 223 -4.6 243 -4.5 11
251 Akron 0.0%   13 - 18 6 - 12 13 - 18 6 - 12 -5.5      -2.7 251 -2.7 251 68.1 205 -3.4 219 -4.9 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Buffalo 1.0 100.0
Toledo 2.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 3.0 100.0
Ball St. 4.0 100.0
Central Michigan 8.0 100.0
Western Michigan 5.0 100.0
Miami (OH) 7.0 100.0
Ohio 8.0 100.0
Kent St. 5.0 100.0
Bowling Green 8.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 11.0 100.0
Akron 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Buffalo 15 - 3 100.0
Toledo 13 - 5 100.0
Eastern Michigan 11 - 7 100.0
Ball St. 10 - 8 100.0
Central Michigan 7 - 11 100.0
Western Michigan 9 - 9 100.0
Miami (OH) 8 - 10 100.0
Ohio 7 - 11 100.0
Kent St. 9 - 9 100.0
Bowling Green 7 - 11 100.0
Northern Illinois 6 - 12 100.0
Akron 6 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Buffalo 100.0% 100.0
Toledo
Eastern Michigan
Ball St.
Central Michigan
Western Michigan
Miami (OH)
Ohio
Kent St.
Bowling Green
Northern Illinois
Akron


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Buffalo 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.0 11.0 58.4 30.1 0.5
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Buffalo 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 23.2% 6.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 23.2% 0.2 76.8 23.2
Sweet Sixteen 6.7% 0.1 93.3 6.7
Elite Eight 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Final Four 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0