Pre-tourney Rankings
Buffalo
Mid-American
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#73
Expected Predictive Rating+6.9#78
Pace78.9#17
Improvement+3.2#57

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#73
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.6#91

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#73
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.6#111
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round23.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2017 126   Canisius W 80-75 78%     1 - 0 +4.3 -0.4 -0.4
  Nov 15, 2017 156   Jacksonville St. W 81-76 82%     2 - 0 +2.7 -1.1 -1.1
  Nov 20, 2017 5   Cincinnati L 67-73 16%     2 - 1 +12.0 +9.0 +9.0
  Nov 21, 2017 118   UAB W 96-91 OT 65%     3 - 1 +8.4 +1.7 +1.7
  Nov 22, 2017 76   South Dakota St. L 80-94 51%     3 - 2 -6.8 +3.6 +3.6
  Nov 29, 2017 197   @ Niagara W 106-87 74%     4 - 2 +19.8 +0.4 +0.4
  Dec 02, 2017 67   St. Bonaventure L 62-73 59%     4 - 3 -6.1 +2.4 +2.4
  Dec 06, 2017 241   @ Delaware W 75-72 80%     5 - 3 +1.3 -0.8 -0.8
  Dec 16, 2017 262   Robert Morris W 86-70 93%     6 - 3 +6.9 -4.5 -4.5
  Dec 19, 2017 54   @ Syracuse L 74-81 31%     6 - 4 +5.6 +6.3 +6.3
  Dec 21, 2017 30   @ Texas A&M L 73-89 23%     6 - 5 -0.9 +7.5 +7.5
  Dec 28, 2017 255   NJIT W 86-81 OT 93%     7 - 5 -3.8 -4.4 -4.4
  Jan 02, 2018 122   Toledo W 104-94 76%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +9.8 -0.1 -0.1
  Jan 06, 2018 170   @ Ball St. W 83-63 67%     9 - 5 2 - 0 +22.7 +1.4 +1.4
  Jan 09, 2018 251   @ Akron W 87-65 82%     10 - 5 3 - 0 +19.5 -1.2 -1.2
  Jan 13, 2018 192   Miami (OH) W 82-66 87%     11 - 5 4 - 0 +11.0 -2.5 -2.5
  Jan 16, 2018 250   Northern Illinois W 95-67 92%     12 - 5 5 - 0 +19.5 -4.2 -4.2
  Jan 19, 2018 188   @ Western Michigan W 84-74 72%     13 - 5 6 - 0 +11.3 +0.7 +0.7
  Jan 23, 2018 143   Eastern Michigan W 83-69 81%     14 - 5 7 - 0 +12.1 -0.9 -0.9
  Jan 26, 2018 196   @ Ohio W 73-66 74%     15 - 5 8 - 0 +7.8 +0.4 +0.4
  Jan 30, 2018 207   @ Kent St. L 79-82 75%     15 - 6 8 - 1 -2.8 +0.1 +0.1
  Feb 02, 2018 188   Western Michigan W 92-86 87%     16 - 6 9 - 1 +1.3 -2.3 -2.3
  Feb 06, 2018 178   @ Central Michigan W 88-82 69%     17 - 6 10 - 1 +8.1 +1.0 +1.0
  Feb 10, 2018 250   @ Northern Illinois L 88-90 OT 82%     17 - 7 10 - 2 -4.4 -1.2 -1.2
  Feb 13, 2018 207   Kent St. W 84-72 89%     18 - 7 11 - 2 +6.2 -2.9 -2.9
  Feb 16, 2018 238   Bowling Green W 95-82 91%     19 - 7 12 - 2 +5.5 -3.7 -3.7
  Feb 20, 2018 192   @ Miami (OH) L 81-84 73%     19 - 8 12 - 3 -2.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Feb 24, 2018 196   Ohio W 108-82 88%     20 - 8 13 - 3 +20.7 -2.6 -2.6
  Feb 27, 2018 251   Akron W 80-68 92%     21 - 8 14 - 3 +3.5 -4.3 -4.3
  Mar 02, 2018 238   @ Bowling Green W 100-70 80%     22 - 8 15 - 3 +28.5 -0.7 -0.7
  Mar 08, 2018 178   Central Michigan W 89-74 78%     23 - 8 +14.1 -0.5 -0.5
  Mar 09, 2018 207   Kent St. W 78-61 83%     24 - 8 +14.2 -1.4 -1.4
  Mar 10, 2018 122   Toledo W 76-66 67%     25 - 8 +12.8 +1.4 +1.4
Projected Record 25.0 - 8.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 11.0 58.4 30.1 0.5
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 11.0 58.4 30.1 0.5