Pre-tourney Rankings
Air Force
Mountain West
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#223
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#215
Pace64.3#299
Improvement+3.9#37

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#223
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.2#112

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#223
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+2.7#64
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2017 228   Texas St. W 65-57 63%     1 - 0 +1.1 -3.4 -3.4
  Nov 14, 2017 126   Canisius W 93-79 39%     2 - 0 +13.3 -0.4 -0.4
  Nov 20, 2017 328   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 57-47 85%     3 - 0 -4.6 -7.3 -7.3
  Nov 21, 2017 173   Pacific L 71-83 50%     3 - 1 -15.6 -1.8 -1.8
  Nov 26, 2017 107   @ Colorado L 69-81 15%     3 - 2 -4.5 +3.7 +3.7
  Nov 29, 2017 157   @ Indiana St. L 64-74 24%     3 - 3 -6.3 +1.9 +1.9
  Dec 02, 2017 203   @ Denver W 61-59 34%     4 - 3 +2.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Dec 06, 2017 268   Abilene Christian L 58-62 71%     4 - 4 -13.3 -4.6 -4.6
  Dec 08, 2017 275   @ UC Riverside L 48-67 50%     4 - 5 -22.7 -1.8 -1.8
  Dec 17, 2017 256   Army L 54-79 59%     4 - 6 -30.9 -2.9 -2.9
  Dec 27, 2017 105   @ New Mexico L 58-87 15%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -21.4 +3.8 +3.8
  Dec 30, 2017 82   @ Fresno St. L 59-71 11%     4 - 8 0 - 2 -2.3 +4.8 +4.8
  Jan 06, 2018 35   Nevada L 75-86 13%     4 - 9 0 - 3 -2.6 +4.2 +4.2
  Jan 10, 2018 112   UNLV L 76-81 32%     4 - 10 0 - 4 -3.9 +0.5 +0.5
  Jan 13, 2018 301   @ San Jose St. W 78-71 57%     5 - 10 1 - 4 +1.7 -2.6 -2.6
  Jan 17, 2018 225   @ Colorado St. W 76-71 39%     6 - 10 2 - 4 +4.2 -0.4 -0.4
  Jan 24, 2018 138   @ Utah St. L 49-71 22%     6 - 11 2 - 5 -17.5 +2.3 +2.3
  Jan 27, 2018 61   Boise St. L 64-70 19%     6 - 12 2 - 6 -0.5 +2.8 +2.8
  Feb 03, 2018 52   @ San Diego St. L 50-81 7%     6 - 13 2 - 7 -18.3 +6.4 +6.4
  Feb 06, 2018 225   Colorado St. W 78-73 62%     7 - 13 3 - 7 -1.8 -3.4 -3.4
  Feb 10, 2018 105   New Mexico W 100-92 31%     8 - 13 4 - 7 +9.5 +0.8 +0.8
  Feb 14, 2018 112   @ UNLV L 73-81 16%     8 - 14 4 - 8 -0.9 +3.6 +3.6
  Feb 17, 2018 61   @ Boise St. L 52-76 9%     8 - 15 4 - 9 -12.4 +5.8 +5.8
  Feb 21, 2018 52   San Diego St. L 56-67 17%     8 - 16 4 - 10 -4.3 +3.3 +3.3
  Feb 24, 2018 138   Utah St. W 75-65 42%     9 - 16 5 - 10 +8.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Feb 26, 2018 82   Fresno St. L 48-54 24%     9 - 17 5 - 11 -2.4 +1.8 +1.8
  Feb 28, 2018 119   @ Wyoming L 54-66 18%     9 - 18 5 - 12 -5.7 +3.1 +3.1
  Mar 03, 2018 301   San Jose St. W 83-61 77%     10 - 18 6 - 12 +10.7 -5.7 -5.7
  Mar 07, 2018 112   @ UNLV L 90-97 OT 16%     10 - 19 +0.1 +3.6 +3.6
Projected Record 10.0 - 19.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%