Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona St.
Pac-12
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.9#48
Expected Predictive Rating+9.1#60
Pace76.9#31
Improvement-10.5#351

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#48
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-8.1#351

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#48
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-2.4#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 23.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four22.3% n/a n/a
First Round12.6% n/a n/a
Second Round4.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 240   Idaho St. W 94-74 94%     1 - 0 +12.4 -3.8 -3.8
  Nov 14, 2017 52   San Diego St. W 90-68 62%     2 - 0 +28.7 +3.3 +3.3
  Nov 17, 2017 330   Northern Arizona W 97-62 98%     3 - 0 +20.2 -7.4 -7.4
  Nov 19, 2017 154   UC Irvine W 99-78 87%     4 - 0 +18.9 -1.0 -1.0
  Nov 23, 2017 41   Kansas St. W 92-90 47%     5 - 0 +12.7 +5.4 +5.4
  Nov 24, 2017 13   Xavier W 102-86 30%     6 - 0 +31.2 +7.6 +7.6
  Dec 02, 2017 144   San Francisco W 75-57 86%     7 - 0 +16.1 -0.9 -0.9
  Dec 08, 2017 69   St. John's W 82-70 58%     8 - 0 +19.8 +3.9 +3.9
  Dec 10, 2017 8   @ Kansas W 95-85 18%     9 - 0 +29.8 +9.9 +9.9
  Dec 17, 2017 84   Vanderbilt W 76-64 73%     10 - 0 +15.4 +1.7 +1.7
  Dec 19, 2017 339   Longwood W 95-61 99%     11 - 0 +16.9 -8.5 -8.5
  Dec 22, 2017 173   Pacific W 104-65 89%     12 - 0 +35.4 -1.8 -1.8
  Dec 30, 2017 20   @ Arizona L 78-84 25%     12 - 1 0 - 1 +11.0 +8.5 +8.5
  Jan 04, 2018 107   @ Colorado L 81-90 OT 59%     12 - 2 0 - 2 -1.5 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 07, 2018 62   @ Utah W 80-77 43%     13 - 2 1 - 2 +14.6 +5.8 +5.8
  Jan 11, 2018 65   Oregon L 72-76 68%     13 - 3 1 - 3 +1.2 +2.6 +2.6
  Jan 13, 2018 90   Oregon St. W 77-75 75%     14 - 3 2 - 3 +4.7 +1.4 +1.4
  Jan 17, 2018 78   @ Stanford L 77-86 50%     14 - 4 2 - 4 +0.9 +5.0 +5.0
  Jan 20, 2018 233   @ California W 81-73 85%     15 - 4 3 - 4 +6.9 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 25, 2018 62   Utah L 77-80 OT 66%     15 - 5 3 - 5 +2.5 +2.8 +2.8
  Jan 27, 2018 107   Colorado W 80-66 79%     16 - 5 4 - 5 +15.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Feb 01, 2018 96   @ Washington L 64-68 57%     16 - 6 4 - 6 +4.1 +4.0 +4.0
  Feb 04, 2018 181   @ Washington St. W 88-78 77%     17 - 6 5 - 6 +12.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Feb 08, 2018 36   USC W 80-78 56%     18 - 6 6 - 6 +10.3 +4.2 +4.2
  Feb 10, 2018 44   UCLA W 88-79 59%     19 - 6 7 - 6 +16.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 15, 2018 20   Arizona L 70-77 46%     19 - 7 7 - 7 +3.9 +5.5 +5.5
  Feb 22, 2018 65   @ Oregon L 68-75 45%     19 - 8 7 - 8 +4.2 +5.6 +5.6
  Feb 24, 2018 90   @ Oregon St. L 75-79 54%     19 - 9 7 - 9 +4.7 +4.4 +4.4
  Mar 01, 2018 233   California W 84-53 93%     20 - 9 8 - 9 +23.8 -3.6 -3.6
  Mar 03, 2018 78   Stanford L 83-84 72%     20 - 10 8 - 10 +2.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Mar 07, 2018 107   Colorado L 85-97 70%     20 - 11 -7.5 +2.2 +2.2
Projected Record 20.0 - 11.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 23.8% 23.8% 11.0 0.0 1.3 20.9 1.6 76.2 23.8%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 23.8% 0.0% 23.8% 11.0 0.0 1.3 20.9 1.6 76.2 23.8%