Pre-tourney Rankings
Boise St.
Mountain West
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.6#61
Expected Predictive Rating+8.9#62
Pace70.1#152
Improvement-2.9#302

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#61
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.2#117

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#61
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-4.1#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four6.3% n/a n/a
First Round2.7% n/a n/a
Second Round0.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2017 267   Southern Utah W 90-69 94%     1 - 0 +11.7 -4.6 -4.6
  Nov 16, 2017 249   UTEP W 58-56 90%     2 - 0 -3.2 -2.6 -2.6
  Nov 17, 2017 139   Illinois St. W 82-64 75%     3 - 0 +19.5 +0.8 +0.8
  Nov 19, 2017 92   Iowa St. L 64-75 62%     3 - 1 -5.5 +2.8 +2.8
  Nov 25, 2017 231   Loyola Marymount W 68-48 92%     4 - 1 +12.9 -3.6 -3.6
  Nov 28, 2017 55   Loyola Chicago W 87-53 58%     5 - 1 +40.5 +3.2 +3.2
  Dec 01, 2017 65   @ Oregon W 73-70 40%     6 - 1 +14.2 +5.6 +5.6
  Dec 03, 2017 271   Portland W 77-54 94%     7 - 1 +13.5 -4.8 -4.8
  Dec 09, 2017 290   Sacramento St. W 77-54 95%     8 - 1 +12.3 -5.4 -5.4
  Dec 13, 2017 116   Grand Canyon W 85-80 2OT 78%     9 - 1 +5.4 +0.2 +0.2
  Dec 18, 2017 85   @ SMU L 63-86 47%     9 - 2 -13.6 +4.7 +4.7
  Dec 27, 2017 225   Colorado St. W 93-71 92%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +15.2 -3.4 -3.4
  Dec 30, 2017 112   @ UNLV W 83-74 56%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +16.1 +3.6 +3.6
  Jan 03, 2018 105   New Mexico W 90-62 75%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +29.5 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 06, 2018 119   @ Wyoming L 78-79 OT 59%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +5.3 +3.1 +3.1
  Jan 09, 2018 82   @ Fresno St. W 70-64 46%     13 - 3 4 - 1 +15.7 +4.8 +4.8
  Jan 13, 2018 52   San Diego St. W 83-80 57%     14 - 3 5 - 1 +9.7 +3.3 +3.3
  Jan 17, 2018 138   Utah St. W 71-67 83%     15 - 3 6 - 1 +2.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Jan 20, 2018 35   @ Nevada L 68-74 28%     15 - 4 6 - 2 +8.5 +7.2 +7.2
  Jan 24, 2018 301   San Jose St. W 94-71 96%     16 - 4 7 - 2 +11.7 -5.7 -5.7
  Jan 27, 2018 223   @ Air Force W 70-64 81%     17 - 4 8 - 2 +5.4 -0.3 -0.3
  Feb 03, 2018 112   UNLV W 93-91 OT 76%     18 - 4 9 - 2 +3.1 +0.5 +0.5
  Feb 06, 2018 105   @ New Mexico W 73-71 54%     19 - 4 10 - 2 +9.6 +3.8 +3.8
  Feb 10, 2018 138   @ Utah St. L 65-71 65%     19 - 5 10 - 3 -1.5 +2.3 +2.3
  Feb 14, 2018 35   Nevada L 72-77 51%     19 - 6 10 - 4 +3.4 +4.2 +4.2
  Feb 17, 2018 223   Air Force W 76-52 91%     20 - 6 11 - 4 +17.4 -3.3 -3.3
  Feb 21, 2018 225   @ Colorado St. W 87-54 81%     21 - 6 12 - 4 +32.2 -0.4 -0.4
  Feb 27, 2018 52   @ San Diego St. L 64-72 34%     21 - 7 12 - 5 +4.7 +6.4 +6.4
  Mar 03, 2018 119   Wyoming W 95-87 79%     22 - 7 13 - 5 +8.2 +0.1 +0.1
  Mar 08, 2018 138   Utah St. L 75-78 75%     22 - 8 -1.5 +0.8 +0.8
Projected Record 22.0 - 8.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 6.4% 6.4% 11.2 0.0 5.1 1.3 0.0 93.6 6.4%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.4% 0.0% 6.4% 11.2 0.0 5.1 1.3 0.0 93.6 6.4%