Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Arkansas
Southland
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#214
Expected Predictive Rating-3.8#226
Pace79.3#15
Improvement-1.0#228

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#214
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-1.7#261

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#214
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.7#144
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 29   @ Baylor L 66-107 6%     0 - 1 -25.9 +7.6 +7.6
  Nov 15, 2017 44   @ UCLA L 101-106 OT 7%     0 - 2 +8.5 +6.7 +6.7
  Nov 19, 2017 338   Alcorn St. W 102-76 90%     1 - 2 +8.9 -8.5 -8.5
  Nov 21, 2017 345   @ South Carolina St. W 73-64 81%     2 - 2 -3.5 -6.2 -6.2
  Nov 25, 2017 98   @ Tulsa L 72-92 15%     2 - 3 -11.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Nov 27, 2017 281   Morehead St. W 82-78 75%     3 - 3 -6.2 -5.1 -5.1
  Nov 29, 2017 293   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 65-71 57%     3 - 4 -10.8 -2.4 -2.4
  Dec 04, 2017 144   @ San Francisco L 76-78 24%     3 - 5 +2.2 +2.1 +2.1
  Dec 06, 2017 233   @ California W 96-69 42%     4 - 5 +25.9 -0.6 -0.6
  Dec 09, 2017 293   Arkansas Little Rock W 69-54 77%     5 - 5 +4.1 -5.4 -5.4
  Dec 17, 2017 281   @ Morehead St. L 94-98 OT 54%     5 - 6 -8.2 -2.1 -2.1
  Dec 20, 2017 65   @ Oregon L 82-96 10%     5 - 7 -2.8 +5.6 +5.6
  Dec 28, 2017 306   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 81-69 80%     6 - 7 1 - 0 +0.1 -5.9 -5.9
  Dec 31, 2017 187   SE Louisiana L 69-73 56%     6 - 8 1 - 1 -8.6 -2.3 -2.3
  Jan 03, 2018 219   @ Sam Houston St. L 76-82 39%     6 - 9 1 - 2 -6.3 -0.2 -0.2
  Jan 06, 2018 216   @ Lamar W 100-91 2OT 39%     7 - 9 2 - 2 +8.8 -0.1 -0.1
  Jan 10, 2018 341   Incarnate Word W 92-76 91%     8 - 9 3 - 2 -1.9 -9.0 -9.0
  Jan 13, 2018 189   @ Nicholls St. L 79-86 34%     8 - 10 3 - 3 -5.7 +0.6 +0.6
  Jan 17, 2018 265   @ New Orleans W 81-57 50%     9 - 10 4 - 3 +20.8 -1.6 -1.6
  Jan 20, 2018 268   Abilene Christian L 63-80 72%     9 - 11 4 - 4 -26.3 -4.6 -4.6
  Jan 24, 2018 113   Stephen F. Austin W 100-92 34%     10 - 11 5 - 4 +9.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Jan 27, 2018 344   @ Northwestern St. W 95-78 81%     11 - 11 6 - 4 +4.6 -6.2 -6.2
  Feb 03, 2018 187   @ SE Louisiana L 84-89 33%     11 - 12 6 - 5 -3.6 +0.7 +0.7
  Feb 07, 2018 334   @ Houston Baptist W 100-80 75%     12 - 12 7 - 5 +9.7 -5.2 -5.2
  Feb 14, 2018 304   McNeese St. L 72-76 79%     12 - 13 7 - 6 -15.6 -5.8 -5.8
  Feb 17, 2018 189   Nicholls St. L 83-87 56%     12 - 14 7 - 7 -8.8 -2.4 -2.4
  Feb 21, 2018 113   @ Stephen F. Austin L 62-97 17%     12 - 15 7 - 8 -28.0 +3.5 +3.5
  Feb 24, 2018 268   @ Abilene Christian W 74-72 51%     13 - 15 8 - 8 -1.2 -1.6 -1.6
  Feb 28, 2018 219   Sam Houston St. W 88-70 62%     14 - 15 9 - 8 +11.7 -3.2 -3.2
  Mar 03, 2018 344   Northwestern St. W 61-58 92%     15 - 15 10 - 8 -15.5 -9.2 -9.2
  Mar 07, 2018 216   Lamar W 67-57 50%     16 - 15 +6.8 -1.6 -1.6
  Mar 08, 2018 113   Stephen F. Austin L 64-86 25%     16 - 16 -18.0 +2.0 +2.0
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%