Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.8#33
Expected Predictive Rating+11.8#34
Pace77.1#26
Improvement-5.8#339

Offense
Total Offense+5.9#33
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-1.9#266

Defense
Total Defense+5.9#33
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-3.9#319
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 71.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 71.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four23.5% n/a n/a
First Round61.0% n/a n/a
Second Round29.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.7% n/a n/a
Final Four1.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2017 176   George Washington W 87-67 92%     1 - 0 +16.1 -1.9 -1.9
  Nov 17, 2017 278   Fordham W 67-43 95%     2 - 0 +17.1 -3.4 -3.4
  Nov 19, 2017 225   Colorado St. W 90-73 92%     3 - 0 +13.2 -1.9 -1.9
  Nov 22, 2017 307   Kennesaw St. W 98-79 98%     4 - 0 +7.1 -5.9 -5.9
  Nov 24, 2017 318   The Citadel W 113-78 98%     5 - 0 +22.3 -6.3 -6.3
  Nov 28, 2017 121   @ Rutgers W 78-73 71%     6 - 0 +11.0 +3.0 +3.0
  Dec 04, 2017 22   @ Florida W 83-66 31%     7 - 0 +33.8 +8.4 +8.4
  Dec 06, 2017 312   Loyola Maryland W 96-71 98%     8 - 0 +12.8 -6.1 -6.1
  Dec 10, 2017 166   Tulane W 72-53 86%     9 - 0 +19.3 +0.1 +0.1
  Dec 16, 2017 47   Oklahoma St. L 70-71 56%     9 - 1 +9.3 +5.2 +5.2
  Dec 18, 2017 248   Charleston Southern W 69-58 96%     10 - 1 +2.8 -4.1 -4.1
  Dec 21, 2017 229   Southern Miss W 98-45 95%     11 - 1 +46.0 -3.5 -3.5
  Dec 30, 2017 2   @ Duke L 93-100 13%     11 - 2 0 - 1 +16.8 +11.9 +11.9
  Jan 03, 2018 7   North Carolina W 81-80 39%     12 - 2 1 - 1 +15.7 +7.3 +7.3
  Jan 07, 2018 38   @ Miami (FL) L 74-80 41%     12 - 3 1 - 2 +8.1 +7.1 +7.1
  Jan 10, 2018 27   Louisville L 69-73 60%     12 - 4 1 - 3 +5.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Jan 13, 2018 54   Syracuse W 101-90 2OT 69%     13 - 4 2 - 3 +17.5 +3.3 +3.3
  Jan 15, 2018 68   @ Boston College L 75-81 53%     13 - 5 2 - 4 +4.9 +5.5 +5.5
  Jan 20, 2018 31   @ Virginia Tech W 91-82 38%     14 - 5 3 - 4 +23.9 +7.5 +7.5
  Jan 24, 2018 108   Georgia Tech W 88-77 83%     15 - 5 4 - 4 +12.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Jan 27, 2018 38   Miami (FL) W 103-94 OT 64%     16 - 5 5 - 4 +17.1 +4.0 +4.0
  Jan 31, 2018 89   @ Wake Forest L 72-76 61%     16 - 6 5 - 5 +4.8 +4.4 +4.4
  Feb 03, 2018 27   @ Louisville W 80-76 37%     17 - 6 6 - 5 +19.2 +7.6 +7.6
  Feb 07, 2018 3   Virginia L 55-59 28%     17 - 7 6 - 6 +13.7 +8.8 +8.8
  Feb 10, 2018 32   @ Notre Dame L 69-84 38%     17 - 8 6 - 7 -0.1 +7.4 +7.4
  Feb 14, 2018 21   Clemson W 81-79 OT 54%     18 - 8 7 - 7 +12.8 +5.4 +5.4
  Feb 18, 2018 204   Pittsburgh W 88-75 94%     19 - 8 8 - 7 +7.5 -2.8 -2.8
  Feb 25, 2018 39   @ North Carolina St. L 72-92 41%     19 - 9 8 - 8 -6.0 +7.0 +7.0
  Feb 28, 2018 21   @ Clemson L 63-76 31%     19 - 10 8 - 9 +3.9 +8.4 +8.4
  Mar 03, 2018 68   Boston College W 85-76 75%     20 - 10 9 - 9 +13.9 +2.4 +2.4
  Mar 07, 2018 27   Louisville L 74-82 48%     20 - 11 +4.2 +6.1 +6.1
Projected Record 20.0 - 11.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 71.8% 71.8% 10.0 0.0 0.7 6.1 13.6 26.7 24.5 0.1 28.2 71.8%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 71.8% 0.0% 71.8% 10.0 0.0 0.7 6.1 13.6 26.7 24.5 0.1 28.2 71.8%