Pre-tourney Rankings
Fresno St.
Mountain West
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#82
Expected Predictive Rating+5.0#97
Pace66.2#246
Improvement-0.8#221

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#82
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-5.3#342

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#82
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+4.4#18
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2017 327   Cal St. Northridge W 89-73 96%     1 - 0 +1.9 -7.1 -7.1
  Nov 17, 2017 34   @ Arkansas L 75-83 22%     1 - 1 +6.6 +7.3 +7.3
  Nov 21, 2017 147   Evansville L 57-59 71%     1 - 2 -0.9 +0.5 +0.5
  Nov 22, 2017 205   George Mason W 79-73 81%     2 - 2 +3.3 -1.3 -1.3
  Nov 26, 2017 274   Montana St. W 80-67 93%     3 - 2 +3.3 -4.8 -4.8
  Nov 30, 2017 167   Weber St. W 83-71 81%     4 - 2 +9.2 -1.4 -1.4
  Dec 02, 2017 201   @ Long Beach St. W 106-70 72%     5 - 2 +36.7 +0.3 +0.3
  Dec 05, 2017 234   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-55 90%     6 - 2 +7.8 -3.6 -3.6
  Dec 09, 2017 321   @ Cal Poly W 83-63 90%     7 - 2 +12.9 -3.6 -3.6
  Dec 13, 2017 328   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-52 96%     8 - 2 +11.4 -7.3 -7.3
  Dec 16, 2017 65   Oregon L 61-68 56%     8 - 3 -1.8 +2.6 +2.6
  Dec 27, 2017 35   Nevada L 65-80 43%     8 - 4 0 - 1 -6.6 +4.2 +4.2
  Dec 30, 2017 223   Air Force W 71-59 89%     9 - 4 1 - 1 +5.4 -3.3 -3.3
  Jan 03, 2018 138   @ Utah St. L 79-81 OT 58%     9 - 5 1 - 2 +2.5 +2.3 +2.3
  Jan 06, 2018 225   @ Colorado St. W 82-79 OT 76%     10 - 5 2 - 2 +2.2 -0.4 -0.4
  Jan 09, 2018 61   Boise St. L 64-70 54%     10 - 6 2 - 3 -0.5 +2.8 +2.8
  Jan 13, 2018 105   New Mexico W 89-80 69%     11 - 6 3 - 3 +10.5 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 17, 2018 52   @ San Diego St. W 77-73 28%     12 - 6 4 - 3 +16.7 +6.4 +6.4
  Jan 23, 2018 112   UNLV W 69-63 70%     13 - 6 5 - 3 +7.1 +0.5 +0.5
  Jan 27, 2018 138   Utah St. L 62-65 78%     13 - 7 5 - 4 -4.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Jan 31, 2018 35   @ Nevada L 92-102 23%     13 - 8 5 - 5 +4.5 +7.2 +7.2
  Feb 03, 2018 119   @ Wyoming W 80-62 51%     14 - 8 6 - 5 +24.3 +3.1 +3.1
  Feb 06, 2018 52   San Diego St. W 79-61 50%     15 - 8 7 - 5 +24.7 +3.3 +3.3
  Feb 14, 2018 301   @ San Jose St. W 77-57 87%     16 - 8 8 - 5 +14.7 -2.6 -2.6
  Feb 17, 2018 225   Colorado St. W 86-65 89%     17 - 8 9 - 5 +14.2 -3.4 -3.4
  Feb 21, 2018 112   @ UNLV W 77-64 48%     18 - 8 10 - 5 +20.1 +3.6 +3.6
  Feb 24, 2018 119   Wyoming L 68-78 73%     18 - 9 10 - 6 -9.8 +0.1 +0.1
  Feb 26, 2018 223   @ Air Force W 54-48 76%     19 - 9 11 - 6 +5.4 -0.3 -0.3
  Mar 03, 2018 105   @ New Mexico L 86-95 OT 46%     19 - 10 11 - 7 -1.4 +3.8 +3.8
  Mar 08, 2018 52   San Diego St. L 52-64 38%     19 - 11 -2.3 +4.9 +4.9
Projected Record 19.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%