Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.5#106
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#129
Pace69.5#169
Improvement-5.3#336

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#106
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-3.1#308

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#106
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-2.2#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 99   East Tennessee St. W 81-63 60%     1 - 0 +20.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Nov 17, 2017 226   James Madison W 87-78 79%     2 - 0 +5.2 -1.9 -1.9
  Nov 18, 2017 132   Iona W 85-72 60%     3 - 0 +15.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Nov 19, 2017 81   Vermont L 64-66 41%     3 - 1 +4.8 +3.4 +3.4
  Nov 25, 2017 135   @ Memphis L 74-76 49%     3 - 2 +2.8 +2.4 +2.4
  Dec 02, 2017 281   Morehead St. W 86-49 91%     4 - 2 +26.8 -5.1 -5.1
  Dec 06, 2017 99   @ East Tennessee St. L 71-84 37%     4 - 3 -5.0 +4.0 +4.0
  Dec 10, 2017 288   Eastern Kentucky W 91-63 91%     5 - 3 +17.5 -5.3 -5.3
  Dec 17, 2017 182   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 75-76 60%     5 - 4 +0.9 +0.9 +0.9
  Dec 19, 2017 30   @ Texas A&M L 58-64 16%     5 - 5 +9.1 +7.5 +7.5
  Dec 28, 2017 284   IUPUI W 77-59 91%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +7.6 -5.2 -5.2
  Dec 30, 2017 199   Illinois-Chicago W 86-51 82%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +29.7 -2.7 -2.7
  Jan 05, 2018 175   @ Oakland W 87-83 59%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +6.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Jan 07, 2018 322   @ Detroit Mercy W 56-54 86%     9 - 5 4 - 0 -5.2 -3.6 -3.6
  Jan 11, 2018 137   Wright St. L 81-84 72%     9 - 6 4 - 1 -4.4 -0.7 -0.7
  Jan 15, 2018 300   Cleveland St. W 70-55 92%     10 - 6 5 - 1 +3.8 -5.6 -5.6
  Jan 18, 2018 208   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 91-64 66%     11 - 6 6 - 1 +27.2 +0.1 +0.1
  Jan 20, 2018 266   @ Green Bay W 77-65 77%     12 - 6 7 - 1 +8.8 -1.6 -1.6
  Jan 26, 2018 175   Oakland L 70-83 79%     12 - 7 7 - 2 -16.8 -1.9 -1.9
  Jan 28, 2018 322   Detroit Mercy W 72-44 94%     13 - 7 8 - 2 +14.8 -6.6 -6.6
  Feb 01, 2018 326   @ Youngstown St. W 95-85 87%     14 - 7 9 - 2 +2.4 -3.8 -3.8
  Feb 03, 2018 300   @ Cleveland St. W 78-61 82%     15 - 7 10 - 2 +11.8 -2.6 -2.6
  Feb 08, 2018 208   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 54-52 84%     16 - 7 11 - 2 -3.9 -2.9 -2.9
  Feb 10, 2018 266   Green Bay W 86-80 90%     17 - 7 12 - 2 -3.2 -4.6 -4.6
  Feb 16, 2018 137   @ Wright St. L 67-69 50%     17 - 8 12 - 3 +2.6 +2.3 +2.3
  Feb 19, 2018 326   Youngstown St. W 70-51 95%     18 - 8 13 - 3 +5.3 -6.8 -6.8
  Feb 23, 2018 199   @ Illinois-Chicago W 79-72 65%     19 - 8 14 - 3 +7.7 +0.3 +0.3
  Feb 25, 2018 284   @ IUPUI W 75-56 80%     20 - 8 15 - 3 +14.7 -2.2 -2.2
  Mar 03, 2018 300   Cleveland St. L 80-89 88%     20 - 9 -17.2 -4.1 -4.1
Projected Record 20.0 - 9.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%