Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-American
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
22 Buffalo 100.0%   6   30 - 3 16 - 2 30 - 3 16 - 2 +14.4      +7.9 19 +6.5 31 82.3 10 +16.7 14 +14.0 1
68 Toledo 9.9%   24 - 7 13 - 5 24 - 7 13 - 5 +7.5      +4.0 70 +3.6 82 68.8 172 +8.5 58 +8.6 2
112 Bowling Green 0.0%   20 - 12 12 - 6 20 - 12 12 - 6 +4.2      +3.0 96 +1.2 141 73.9 66 +4.6 109 +7.0 3
118 Akron 0.0%   15 - 16 8 - 10 15 - 16 8 - 10 +3.7      -3.3 264 +7.0 25 66.1 243 +0.8 154 +1.6 7
124 Central Michigan 0.0%   20 - 11 10 - 8 20 - 11 10 - 8 +3.3      +4.7 55 -1.4 206 75.1 47 +4.4 110 +3.9 5
134 Ball St. 0.0%   15 - 17 6 - 12 15 - 17 6 - 12 +2.4      -1.6 219 +4.0 74 74.3 61 +0.8 159 -2.2 11
135 Northern Illinois 0.0%   15 - 17 8 - 10 15 - 17 8 - 10 +2.4      +2.6 107 -0.3 173 65.6 271 +0.6 163 +1.2 8
141 Kent St. 0.0%   20 - 10 11 - 7 20 - 10 11 - 7 +1.8      +3.7 78 -1.9 225 68.8 171 +6.0 85 +5.6 4
151 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   11 - 17 9 - 9 11 - 17 9 - 9 +1.0      -0.4 187 +1.3 134 60.3 344 +0.5 165 +3.2 6
152 Miami (OH) 0.0%   13 - 17 7 - 11 13 - 17 7 - 11 +0.9      -0.3 185 +1.2 140 66.1 251 +0.8 157 +0.7 9
179 Ohio 0.0%   13 - 17 6 - 12 13 - 17 6 - 12 -1.0      -3.4 267 +2.3 113 72.5 86 +0.7 161 -0.9 10
245 Western Michigan 0.0%   7 - 24 2 - 16 7 - 24 2 - 16 -5.1      -3.6 271 -1.6 216 71.5 105 -7.5 283 -8.3 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Buffalo 1.0 100.0
Toledo 2.0 100.0
Bowling Green 3.0 100.0
Akron 7.0 100.0
Central Michigan 5.0 100.0
Ball St. 10.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 7.0 100.0
Kent St. 4.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 6.0 100.0
Miami (OH) 9.0 100.0
Ohio 10.0 100.0
Western Michigan 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Buffalo 16 - 2 100.0
Toledo 13 - 5 100.0
Bowling Green 12 - 6 100.0
Akron 8 - 10 100.0
Central Michigan 10 - 8 100.0
Ball St. 6 - 12 100.0
Northern Illinois 8 - 10 100.0
Kent St. 11 - 7 100.0
Eastern Michigan 9 - 9 100.0
Miami (OH) 7 - 11 100.0
Ohio 6 - 12 100.0
Western Michigan 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Buffalo 100.0% 100.0
Toledo
Bowling Green
Akron
Central Michigan
Ball St.
Northern Illinois
Kent St.
Eastern Michigan
Miami (OH)
Ohio
Western Michigan


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Buffalo 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6   0.0 0.7 8.4 24.3 31.2 32.7 2.5 0.2 0.0
Toledo 9.9% 0.0% 9.9% 0.0 1.1 8.4 0.4 0.0 90.1 9.9%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Buffalo 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 68.1% 28.2% 9.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Toledo 9.9% 9.8% 4.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.1 90.1 9.9
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 95.9 4.1
2nd Round 68.6% 0.7 31.5 68.0 0.6
Sweet Sixteen 28.4% 0.3 71.6 28.4 0.1
Elite Eight 9.7% 0.1 90.3 9.7 0.0
Final Four 3.1% 0.0 96.9 3.1
Final Game 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Champion 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2