Pre-tourney Rankings
Toledo
Mid-American
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#68
Expected Predictive Rating+8.5#58
Pace68.8#172
Improvement-0.4#201

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#70
First Shot+2.4#106
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#66
Layup/Dunks-2.9#282
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#103
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#30
Freethrows-1.3#274
Improvement-0.7#220

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#82
First Shot+1.8#113
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#30
Layups/Dunks-0.5#186
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#34
Freethrows+2.4#37
Improvement+0.3#164
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 9.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four9.8% n/a n/a
First Round4.1% n/a n/a
Second Round1.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 24.0 - 0.04.0 - 2.0
Quad 311.0 - 5.015.0 - 7.0
Quad 49.0 - 0.024.0 - 7.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 187   @ Oakland W 87-86 73%     1 - 0 +2.2 +16.4 -14.2
  Nov 14, 2018 132   @ Wright St. L 74-84 59%     1 - 1 -4.7 -2.7 -1.0
  Nov 19, 2018 220   Florida Gulf Coast W 90-62 84%     2 - 1 +24.7 +15.1 +9.3
  Nov 20, 2018 178   Louisiana W 77-64 79%     3 - 1 +12.1 +2.7 +9.6
  Nov 21, 2018 80   UC Irvine W 67-60 55%     4 - 1 +13.2 +2.2 +11.4
  Nov 28, 2018 301   North Alabama W 80-59 95%     5 - 1 +10.0 +6.9 +3.7
  Dec 01, 2018 289   Cleveland St. W 80-67 94%     6 - 1 +3.0 -6.4 +8.2
  Dec 05, 2018 255   Detroit Mercy W 101-57 92%     7 - 1 +35.7 +19.6 +15.8
  Dec 08, 2018 171   @ Marshall W 75-74 OT 70%     8 - 1 +3.1 -8.6 +11.6
  Dec 15, 2018 239   Middle Tennessee W 84-62 91%     9 - 1 +14.7 +7.1 +7.1
  Dec 19, 2018 215   Cornell W 86-70 89%     10 - 1 +10.4 +17.4 -6.1
  Dec 29, 2018 128   Penn W 77-45 76%     11 - 1 +32.2 +7.2 +25.5
  Jan 04, 2019 134   Ball St. L 64-79 77%     11 - 2 0 - 1 -15.4 -9.8 -4.7
  Jan 08, 2019 22   @ Buffalo L 80-110 18%     11 - 3 0 - 2 -12.8 +3.8 -12.3
  Jan 12, 2019 245   @ Western Michigan W 85-77 82%     12 - 3 1 - 2 +5.7 +11.2 -5.7
  Jan 15, 2019 152   Miami (OH) W 71-59 81%     13 - 3 2 - 2 +10.2 +3.9 +7.2
  Jan 18, 2019 179   Ohio W 75-52 85%     14 - 3 3 - 2 +19.2 +6.2 +14.0
  Jan 22, 2019 141   @ Kent St. L 85-87 OT 61%     14 - 4 3 - 3 +2.6 +7.4 -4.7
  Jan 26, 2019 124   Central Michigan W 76-72 75%     15 - 4 4 - 3 +4.5 -2.9 +7.3
  Jan 29, 2019 152   @ Miami (OH) W 66-63 64%     16 - 4 5 - 3 +6.7 +0.4 +6.5
  Feb 02, 2019 135   @ Northern Illinois W 69-55 59%     17 - 4 6 - 3 +19.1 +5.0 +15.7
  Feb 05, 2019 118   Akron W 63-52 74%     18 - 4 7 - 3 +11.9 -3.4 +15.5
  Feb 09, 2019 112   @ Bowling Green W 78-71 52%     19 - 4 8 - 3 +13.9 +3.8 +9.8
  Feb 15, 2019 22   Buffalo L 82-88 34%     19 - 5 8 - 4 +5.6 +5.2 +1.1
  Feb 19, 2019 151   @ Eastern Michigan L 69-76 64%     19 - 6 8 - 5 -3.3 +2.8 -6.5
  Feb 23, 2019 135   Northern Illinois W 57-54 78%     20 - 6 9 - 5 +2.6 -11.8 +14.7
  Feb 26, 2019 134   @ Ball St. W 80-72 59%     21 - 6 10 - 5 +13.2 +7.5 +5.1
  Mar 02, 2019 124   @ Central Michigan W 80-68 56%     22 - 6 11 - 5 +18.1 +11.5 +7.2
  Mar 05, 2019 245   Western Michigan W 76-57 92%     23 - 6 12 - 5 +11.1 +0.4 +10.7
  Mar 08, 2019 151   Eastern Michigan W 64-58 81%     24 - 6 13 - 5 +4.2 +2.3 +2.9
  Mar 14, 2019 135   Northern Illinois L 76-80 69%     24 - 7 -1.6 +10.8 -12.8
Projected Record 24.0 - 7.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 9.9% 9.9% 11.9 0.0 1.1 8.4 0.4 0.0 90.1 9.9%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.9% 0.0% 9.9% 11.9 0.0 1.1 8.4 0.4 0.0 90.1 9.9%