Pre-tourney Rankings
Charlotte
Conference USA
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#287
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#279
Pace62.8#321
Improvement+0.8#151

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#306
First Shot-3.6#280
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#298
Layup/Dunks-0.6#198
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#275
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#260
Freethrows+1.1#97
Improvement+4.0#29

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#222
First Shot-3.6#282
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#27
Layups/Dunks-0.8#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#330
Freethrows-1.0#249
Improvement-3.2#306
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Home) - 23.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 21.0 - 4.01.0 - 5.0
Quad 34.2 - 9.85.2 - 14.8
Quad 43.0 - 7.08.2 - 21.8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 265   Chattanooga L 69-80 57%     0 - 1 -19.9 -5.1 -15.4
  Nov 10, 2018 79   Oklahoma St. W 66-64 16%     1 - 1 +5.4 -5.5 +11.0
  Nov 16, 2018 267   James Madison L 59-64 58%     1 - 2 -14.0 -13.4 -1.1
  Nov 19, 2018 292   Longwood W 42-39 63%     2 - 2 -7.6 -29.2 +22.0
  Nov 27, 2018 86   @ Davidson L 56-76 8%     2 - 3 -11.3 -5.5 -8.2
  Dec 01, 2018 126   @ College of Charleston L 64-72 12%     2 - 4 -2.1 +0.5 -3.6
  Dec 06, 2018 153   @ Wake Forest L 56-80 16%     2 - 5 -20.3 -14.6 -5.9
  Dec 09, 2018 120   South Florida L 59-67 24%    
  Dec 18, 2018 261   East Carolina W 55-49 56%     3 - 5 -2.6 -15.7 +13.7
  Dec 23, 2018 47   TCU L 57-82 6%     3 - 6 -14.5 -10.3 -4.1
  Dec 23, 2018 133   Rhode Island L 61-75 18%     3 - 7 -11.6 -11.5 +0.3
  Dec 25, 2018 65   Colorado L 53-68 9%     3 - 8 -7.3 -9.5 +1.0
  Jan 03, 2019 117   Western Kentucky L 50-68 22%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -16.9 -11.1 -9.4
  Jan 05, 2019 171   Marshall L 84-85 36%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -4.4 +8.5 -13.0
  Jan 10, 2019 210   @ Florida International L 66-69 25%     3 - 11 0 - 3 -2.9 -14.0 +11.5
  Jan 12, 2019 165   @ Florida Atlantic W 65-60 19%     4 - 11 1 - 3 +7.3 +2.1 +5.6
  Jan 17, 2019 109   Southern Miss L 60-63 21%     4 - 12 1 - 4 -1.5 -3.7 +1.8
  Jan 19, 2019 144   Louisiana Tech W 55-40 28%     5 - 12 2 - 4 +13.8 -12.2 +27.5
  Jan 21, 2019 122   Old Dominion L 70-76 23%     5 - 13 2 - 5 -5.3 +3.5 -9.1
  Jan 24, 2019 148   @ Texas San Antonio L 43-88 15%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -41.0 -24.1 -21.6
  Jan 26, 2019 290   @ UTEP L 53-57 40%     5 - 15 2 - 7 -8.6 -12.7 +3.9
  Jan 31, 2019 251   Rice L 61-65 54%     5 - 16 2 - 8 -12.1 -15.2 +2.9
  Feb 02, 2019 161   North Texas L 66-73 34%     5 - 17 2 - 9 -9.9 +2.3 -13.0
  Feb 07, 2019 239   @ Middle Tennessee L 53-71 30%     5 - 18 2 - 10 -19.7 -12.2 -9.9
  Feb 09, 2019 147   @ UAB W 69-62 15%     6 - 18 3 - 10 +11.2 +0.9 +10.7
  Feb 16, 2019 122   @ Old Dominion L 60-73 11%     6 - 19 3 - 11 -6.8 -3.8 -3.5
  Feb 23, 2019 239   @ Middle Tennessee L 67-86 30%     6 - 20 3 - 12 -20.7 +3.5 -26.7
  Mar 03, 2019 290   UTEP W 68-58 62%     7 - 20 4 - 12 -0.1 +1.5 -0.9
  Mar 06, 2019 251   Rice L 70-79 54%     7 - 21 4 - 13 -17.1 -4.0 -13.6
  Mar 09, 2019 251   @ Rice W 78-70 33%     8 - 21 5 - 13 +5.4 +3.9 +1.7
Projected Record 8.2 - 21.8 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9 100.0% 100.0
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 23.5%
Lose Out 76.5%