Pre-tourney Rankings
TCU
Big 12
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.5#47
Expected Predictive Rating+10.9#41
Pace71.4#107
Improvement-3.8#319

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#54
First Shot+4.7#48
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#180
Layup/Dunks+6.0#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#223
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#188
Freethrows+0.1#176
Improvement-1.6#261

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#42
First Shot+5.0#46
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#93
Layups/Dunks+1.3#108
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#36
Freethrows+1.1#103
Improvement-2.3#284
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 61.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 61.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four11.5% n/a n/a
First Round56.5% n/a n/a
Second Round22.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2.0 - 7.02.0 - 7.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 2.03.0 - 9.0
Quad 26.0 - 4.09.0 - 13.0
Quad 37.0 - 0.016.0 - 13.0
Quad 44.0 - 0.020.0 - 13.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 222   Cal St. Bakersfield W 66-61 93%     1 - 0 -1.2 -10.3 +9.1
  Nov 11, 2018 286   Oral Roberts W 79-62 96%     2 - 0 +7.2 -5.2 +11.7
  Nov 15, 2018 72   Fresno St. W 77-69 73%     3 - 0 +12.2 +2.8 +9.0
  Nov 20, 2018 57   Lipscomb L 64-73 68%     3 - 1 -3.4 -7.9 +4.8
  Nov 26, 2018 151   Eastern Michigan W 87-69 87%     4 - 1 +16.2 +18.2 -1.2
  Nov 30, 2018 124   Central Michigan W 89-62 82%     5 - 1 +27.5 +7.2 +18.5
  Dec 05, 2018 110   @ SMU W 67-59 63%     6 - 1 +15.0 +3.2 +12.9
  Dec 07, 2018 84   USC W 96-61 67%     7 - 1 +40.9 +13.0 +23.5
  Dec 16, 2018 202   Indiana St. W 90-70 92%     8 - 1 +14.7 +8.7 +4.5
  Dec 23, 2018 287   Charlotte W 82-57 94%     9 - 1 +17.9 +7.0 +10.8
  Dec 23, 2018 146   Bucknell W 82-65 80%     10 - 1 +18.5 +8.5 +9.8
  Dec 25, 2018 202   Indiana St. W 83-69 88%     11 - 1 +11.4 +6.7 +4.2
  Jan 05, 2019 40   Baylor W 85-81 58%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +12.3 +13.2 -1.0
  Jan 09, 2019 17   @ Kansas L 68-77 24%     12 - 2 1 - 1 +8.8 +2.2 +7.1
  Jan 12, 2019 34   @ Oklahoma L 74-76 36%     12 - 3 1 - 2 +12.3 +6.6 +5.7
  Jan 15, 2019 82   West Virginia W 98-67 76%     13 - 3 2 - 2 +34.2 +20.6 +11.9
  Jan 19, 2019 21   @ Kansas St. L 55-65 25%     13 - 4 2 - 3 +7.3 +3.6 +2.1
  Jan 23, 2019 30   Texas W 65-61 53%     14 - 4 3 - 3 +13.7 -3.8 +17.6
  Jan 26, 2019 28   Florida W 55-50 50%     15 - 4 +15.3 -3.8 +19.8
  Jan 28, 2019 9   @ Texas Tech L 65-84 16%     15 - 5 3 - 4 +2.0 +12.8 -12.9
  Feb 02, 2019 40   @ Baylor L 64-90 37%     15 - 6 3 - 5 -12.2 +4.5 -19.9
  Feb 06, 2019 79   Oklahoma St. W 70-68 75%     16 - 6 4 - 5 +5.4 +4.7 +0.9
  Feb 09, 2019 16   @ Iowa St. W 92-83 24%     17 - 6 5 - 5 +27.0 +18.1 +8.1
  Feb 11, 2019 17   Kansas L 77-82 OT 43%     17 - 7 5 - 6 +7.3 -0.6 +8.6
  Feb 16, 2019 34   Oklahoma L 62-71 57%     17 - 8 5 - 7 -0.3 -2.1 +1.4
  Feb 18, 2019 79   @ Oklahoma St. L 61-68 56%     17 - 9 5 - 8 +2.0 -3.2 +4.6
  Feb 23, 2019 16   Iowa St. W 75-72 42%     18 - 9 6 - 8 +15.4 +3.1 +12.2
  Feb 26, 2019 82   @ West Virginia L 96-104 3OT 57%     18 - 10 6 - 9 +0.7 -4.2 +7.5
  Mar 02, 2019 9   Texas Tech L 66-81 31%     18 - 11 6 - 10 +0.5 +9.2 -10.0
  Mar 04, 2019 21   Kansas St. L 52-64 45%     18 - 12 6 - 11 -0.2 -2.5 +0.4
  Mar 09, 2019 30   @ Texas W 69-56 32%     19 - 12 7 - 11 +28.3 +10.2 +19.5
  Mar 13, 2019 79   Oklahoma St. W 73-70 66%     20 - 12 +9.2 +2.0 +7.2
  Mar 14, 2019 21   Kansas St. L 61-70 34%     20 - 13 +5.6 +2.5 +2.6
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 61.9% 61.9% 10.2 0.1 3.0 9.8 24.0 22.9 2.1 38.1 61.9%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 61.9% 0.0% 61.9% 10.2 0.1 3.0 9.8 24.0 22.9 2.1 38.1 61.9%