Pre-tourney Rankings
SMU
American Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.2#110
Expected Predictive Rating+2.1#137
Pace63.8#311
Improvement-0.2#188

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#40
First Shot+2.8#98
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#17
Layup/Dunks+1.7#122
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#108
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#145
Freethrows-1.3#271
Improvement-1.1#237

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#209
First Shot+1.3#128
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#347
Layups/Dunks+3.2#54
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#327
Freethrows+1.1#104
Improvement+0.9#131
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 5.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 4.00.0 - 9.0
Quad 23.0 - 4.03.0 - 13.0
Quad 33.0 - 4.06.0 - 17.0
Quad 49.0 - 0.015.0 - 17.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 337   Northwestern St. W 69-58 96%     1 - 0 -5.6 -4.5 -0.3
  Nov 11, 2018 109   Southern Miss L 64-74 60%     1 - 1 -8.5 +1.3 -11.2
  Nov 14, 2018 283   Western Carolina W 98-65 90%     2 - 1 +23.3 +13.3 +8.1
  Nov 17, 2018 57   Lipscomb L 73-79 45%     2 - 2 -0.4 -2.0 +2.0
  Nov 20, 2018 158   Bradley L 62-75 65%     2 - 3 -12.7 -4.5 -8.9
  Nov 21, 2018 132   Wright St. W 77-76 57%     3 - 3 +3.5 +15.4 -11.8
  Nov 27, 2018 224   Lamar W 79-65 84%     4 - 3 +7.7 +2.6 +5.1
  Nov 29, 2018 331   McNeese St. W 91-59 95%     5 - 3 +17.4 +21.6 +0.0
  Dec 02, 2018 286   Oral Roberts W 79-67 90%     6 - 3 +2.2 +12.9 -8.4
  Dec 05, 2018 47   TCU L 59-67 37%     6 - 4 -0.3 -1.5 +0.1
  Dec 15, 2018 76   @ Georgetown W 81-73 31%     7 - 4 +17.2 +9.7 +7.3
  Dec 22, 2018 215   Cornell W 81-53 82%     8 - 4 +22.4 +12.8 +11.5
  Jan 02, 2019 261   East Carolina W 82-54 88%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +19.4 +4.2 +14.6
  Jan 04, 2019 282   @ Tulane W 74-65 79%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +4.9 +0.3 +4.6
  Jan 10, 2019 107   @ Connecticut L 64-76 38%     10 - 5 2 - 1 -4.7 +3.9 -10.4
  Jan 12, 2019 121   Tulsa W 77-57 63%     11 - 5 3 - 1 +20.8 +10.4 +11.6
  Jan 16, 2019 15   Houston L 58-69 20%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +2.0 +5.0 -5.3
  Jan 19, 2019 58   @ Memphis L 61-83 26%     11 - 7 3 - 3 -10.9 -10.4 +1.1
  Jan 26, 2019 282   Tulane W 85-75 90%     12 - 7 4 - 3 +0.3 +8.5 -8.2
  Jan 30, 2019 88   @ Wichita St. L 83-85 34%     12 - 8 4 - 4 +6.5 +20.5 -14.1
  Feb 02, 2019 32   @ Cincinnati L 68-73 16%     12 - 9 4 - 5 +9.7 +9.7 -0.5
  Feb 07, 2019 120   South Florida L 66-67 63%     12 - 10 4 - 6 -0.2 +8.7 -9.1
  Feb 10, 2019 48   Central Florida L 65-71 37%     12 - 11 4 - 7 +1.6 +3.0 -1.9
  Feb 13, 2019 70   @ Temple L 74-82 29%     12 - 12 4 - 8 +1.9 +10.0 -8.5
  Feb 21, 2019 107   Connecticut W 77-59 59%     13 - 12 5 - 8 +19.8 +6.9 +13.5
  Feb 24, 2019 48   @ Central Florida L 48-95 20%     13 - 13 5 - 9 -33.8 -18.1 -15.1
  Feb 27, 2019 32   Cincinnati L 49-52 32%     13 - 14 5 - 10 +6.1 -9.2 +14.7
  Mar 03, 2019 88   Wichita St. L 55-67 55%     13 - 15 5 - 11 -9.0 -11.9 +2.1
  Mar 07, 2019 15   @ Houston L 79-90 10%     13 - 16 5 - 12 +7.6 +18.1 -10.7
  Mar 10, 2019 120   @ South Florida W 77-71 42%     14 - 16 6 - 12 +12.4 +12.6 +0.0
  Mar 14, 2019 121   Tulsa W 74-65 53%     15 - 16 +12.6 +3.2 +9.3
  Mar 15, 2019 32   Cincinnati L 74-82 23%     15 - 17 +3.9 +16.6 -13.6
Projected Record 15.0 - 17.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%