Pre-tourney Rankings
Cincinnati
American Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.9#32
Expected Predictive Rating+14.9#21
Pace61.1#336
Improvement-2.3#281

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#44
First Shot+0.3#169
After Offensive Rebound+5.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.5#165
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#93
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#294
Freethrows+1.9#56
Improvement-0.6#215

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#29
First Shot+6.0#32
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#107
Layups/Dunks+4.8#21
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#326
Freethrows+3.1#17
Improvement-1.7#258
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 2.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 63.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round58.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen18.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.4% n/a n/a
Final Four1.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 4.01.0 - 4.0
Quad 1b4.0 - 0.05.0 - 4.0
Quad 28.0 - 1.013.0 - 5.0
Quad 39.0 - 0.022.0 - 5.0
Quad 46.0 - 1.028.0 - 6.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 46   Ohio St. L 56-64 65%     0 - 1 -0.2 -5.0 +3.9
  Nov 13, 2018 309   NC Central W 73-51 98%     1 - 1 +10.1 +7.3 +6.4
  Nov 16, 2018 296   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 74-63 97%     2 - 1 +0.2 +3.8 -2.5
  Nov 19, 2018 245   Western Michigan W 78-52 96%     3 - 1 +18.1 +1.8 +16.1
  Nov 23, 2018 155   George Mason W 71-55 85%     4 - 1 +16.6 +3.2 +14.5
  Nov 24, 2018 41   Mississippi W 71-57 54%     5 - 1 +24.8 +11.3 +15.2
  Nov 27, 2018 320   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 105-49 98%     6 - 1 +42.6 +16.4 +20.9
  Dec 01, 2018 156   @ UNLV W 65-61 79%     7 - 1 +7.3 -0.9 +8.5
  Dec 04, 2018 114   Northern Kentucky W 78-65 84%     8 - 1 +14.2 +11.9 +3.5
  Dec 08, 2018 60   Xavier W 62-47 74%     9 - 1 +20.3 +2.0 +21.1
  Dec 15, 2018 20   @ Mississippi St. L 59-70 29%     9 - 2 +6.6 +0.0 +5.4
  Dec 19, 2018 108   UCLA W 93-64 83%     10 - 2 +30.7 +22.0 +9.4
  Dec 22, 2018 339   South Carolina St. W 77-56 99%     11 - 2 +3.9 -5.8 +10.0
  Jan 02, 2019 282   Tulane W 93-61 97%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +22.3 +19.0 +4.1
  Jan 05, 2019 261   @ East Carolina L 71-73 91%     12 - 3 1 - 1 -5.0 -0.5 -4.6
  Jan 10, 2019 121   @ Tulsa W 70-65 OT 70%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +11.4 -0.4 +11.6
  Jan 12, 2019 107   Connecticut W 74-72 OT 83%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +3.8 -0.6 +4.4
  Jan 15, 2019 120   South Florida W 82-74 85%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +8.8 +12.6 -3.8
  Jan 19, 2019 88   @ Wichita St. W 66-55 63%     16 - 3 5 - 1 +19.5 +7.8 +13.3
  Jan 24, 2019 121   Tulsa W 88-64 85%     17 - 3 6 - 1 +24.8 +19.2 +6.3
  Jan 27, 2019 70   @ Temple W 72-68 58%     18 - 3 7 - 1 +13.9 +7.2 +6.9
  Feb 02, 2019 110   SMU W 73-68 84%     19 - 3 8 - 1 +6.5 +4.4 +2.5
  Feb 07, 2019 58   @ Memphis W 69-64 53%     20 - 3 9 - 1 +16.1 +7.4 +9.1
  Feb 10, 2019 15   @ Houston L 58-65 26%     20 - 4 9 - 2 +11.6 +8.6 +1.4
  Feb 17, 2019 88   Wichita St. W 72-62 80%     21 - 4 10 - 2 +13.0 -0.1 +12.8
  Feb 21, 2019 48   Central Florida W 60-55 66%     22 - 4 11 - 2 +12.6 +2.4 +11.1
  Feb 24, 2019 107   @ Connecticut W 64-60 67%     23 - 4 12 - 2 +11.3 +0.8 +11.0
  Feb 27, 2019 110   @ SMU W 52-49 68%     24 - 4 13 - 2 +10.0 -10.9 +21.5
  Mar 02, 2019 58   Memphis W 71-69 73%     25 - 4 14 - 2 +7.5 +1.0 +6.5
  Mar 07, 2019 48   @ Central Florida L 55-58 45%     25 - 5 14 - 3 +10.2 -0.1 +9.7
  Mar 10, 2019 15   Houston L 69-85 46%     25 - 6 14 - 4 -3.0 +5.0 -8.3
  Mar 15, 2019 110   SMU W 82-74 77%     26 - 6 +12.2 +17.5 -4.3
  Mar 16, 2019 88   Wichita St. W 66-63 72%     27 - 6 +8.7 +4.9 +4.2
  Mar 17, 2019 15   Houston W 69-57 35%     28 - 6 +27.8 +15.5 +14.1
Projected Record 28.0 - 6.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.1 0.2 2.7 19.5 41.1 35.8 0.6
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6.1 0.2 2.7 19.5 41.1 35.8 0.6