Pre-tourney Rankings
Memphis
American Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#58
Expected Predictive Rating+7.2#71
Pace83.8#5
Improvement+3.8#44

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#80
First Shot+2.5#104
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#85
Layup/Dunks+5.9#12
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#297
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#278
Freethrows+1.6#63
Improvement-0.6#209

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#63
First Shot+3.6#71
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#74
Layups/Dunks+1.7#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#57
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#158
Freethrows-0.1#189
Improvement+4.3#19
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four6.5% n/a n/a
First Round2.9% n/a n/a
Second Round0.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 7.00.0 - 7.0
Quad 1b2.0 - 2.02.0 - 9.0
Quad 22.0 - 3.04.0 - 12.0
Quad 37.0 - 1.011.0 - 13.0
Quad 410.0 - 0.021.0 - 13.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 326   Tennessee Tech W 76-61 97%     1 - 0 +1.0 -8.1 +7.2
  Nov 13, 2018 18   @ LSU L 76-85 18%     1 - 1 +8.8 +6.4 +2.7
  Nov 17, 2018 87   Yale W 109-102 2OT 69%     2 - 1 +10.1 +3.9 +4.2
  Nov 22, 2018 79   Oklahoma St. L 64-84 58%     2 - 2 -13.8 -12.3 +0.4
  Nov 23, 2018 268   Canisius W 71-63 91%     3 - 2 +1.7 -6.7 +8.4
  Nov 25, 2018 126   College of Charleston L 75-78 69%     3 - 3 +0.1 -0.6 +0.8
  Dec 01, 2018 9   Texas Tech L 67-78 18%     3 - 4 +7.2 +1.9 +6.0
  Dec 04, 2018 92   South Dakota St. W 88-80 71%     4 - 4 +10.6 +1.8 +7.7
  Dec 08, 2018 147   UAB W 94-76 82%     5 - 4 +16.6 +14.0 +1.5
  Dec 15, 2018 8   Tennessee L 92-102 21%     5 - 5 +6.6 +12.7 -4.8
  Dec 19, 2018 229   Arkansas Little Rock W 99-89 91%     6 - 5 +3.3 +6.1 -4.6
  Dec 22, 2018 311   Tennessee St. W 99-41 96%     7 - 5 +46.0 +1.2 +33.5
  Dec 29, 2018 323   Florida A&M W 96-65 97%     8 - 5 +17.3 +17.9 -1.8
  Jan 03, 2019 88   Wichita St. W 85-74 70%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +14.0 +8.3 +4.8
  Jan 06, 2019 15   @ Houston L 77-90 17%     9 - 6 1 - 1 +5.6 +10.7 -4.5
  Jan 10, 2019 261   East Carolina W 78-72 93%     10 - 6 2 - 1 -2.6 -2.6 -0.4
  Jan 13, 2019 282   @ Tulane W 83-79 87%     11 - 6 3 - 1 -0.1 +4.6 -5.0
  Jan 19, 2019 110   SMU W 83-61 74%     12 - 6 4 - 1 +23.5 +1.2 +20.6
  Jan 24, 2019 70   @ Temple L 76-85 44%     12 - 7 4 - 2 +0.9 -3.2 +5.4
  Jan 27, 2019 48   Central Florida W 77-57 53%     13 - 7 5 - 2 +27.6 +11.0 +17.2
  Jan 30, 2019 121   @ Tulsa L 79-95 58%     13 - 8 5 - 3 -9.6 +0.8 -8.4
  Feb 02, 2019 120   @ South Florida L 78-84 58%     13 - 9 5 - 4 +0.4 -1.2 +2.5
  Feb 07, 2019 32   Cincinnati L 64-69 47%     13 - 10 5 - 5 +4.1 +1.2 +2.5
  Feb 10, 2019 107   Connecticut W 78-71 73%     14 - 10 6 - 5 +8.8 +2.5 +6.0
  Feb 13, 2019 261   @ East Carolina W 79-69 85%     15 - 10 7 - 5 +7.0 +5.1 +1.8
  Feb 16, 2019 48   @ Central Florida L 72-79 32%     15 - 11 7 - 6 +6.2 +2.8 +3.7
  Feb 20, 2019 282   Tulane W 102-76 94%     16 - 11 8 - 6 +16.3 +8.7 +3.3
  Feb 23, 2019 88   @ Wichita St. W 88-85 49%     17 - 11 9 - 6 +11.5 +12.2 -1.0
  Feb 26, 2019 70   Temple W 81-73 65%     18 - 11 10 - 6 +12.4 +5.5 +6.4
  Mar 02, 2019 32   @ Cincinnati L 69-71 27%     18 - 12 10 - 7 +12.7 +3.8 +8.9
  Mar 09, 2019 121   Tulsa W 66-63 76%     19 - 12 11 - 7 +3.8 -7.6 +11.3
  Mar 14, 2019 282   Tulane W 83-68 94%     20 - 12 +5.3 +1.9 +2.6
  Mar 15, 2019 48   Central Florida W 79-55 53%     21 - 12 +31.6 +11.0 +20.7
  Mar 16, 2019 15   Houston L 58-61 32%     21 - 13 +10.0 -5.8 +15.8
Projected Record 21.0 - 13.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 6.6% 6.6% 11.9 0.8 5.5 0.2 0.0 93.4 6.6%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.6% 0.0% 6.6% 11.9 0.8 5.5 0.2 0.0 93.4 6.6%