Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas
Big 12
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.5#30
Expected Predictive Rating+9.7#55
Pace63.2#320
Improvement-1.4#244

Offense
Total Offense+7.2#23
First Shot+6.8#22
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#138
Layup/Dunks+2.3#92
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#153
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#56
Freethrows+0.5#138
Improvement+4.6#16

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#47
First Shot+5.7#36
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#235
Layups/Dunks+6.3#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#331
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#140
Freethrows+1.2#84
Improvement-6.0#349
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 31.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.7% n/a n/a
First Round31.6% n/a n/a
Second Round16.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3.0 - 8.03.0 - 8.0
Quad 1b2.0 - 2.05.0 - 10.0
Quad 24.0 - 5.09.0 - 15.0
Quad 34.0 - 1.013.0 - 16.0
Quad 43.0 - 0.016.0 - 16.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 313   Eastern Illinois W 71-59 98%     1 - 0 -0.1 -11.5 +11.0
  Nov 09, 2018 52   Arkansas W 73-71 OT 63%     2 - 0 +11.2 -3.9 +14.8
  Nov 12, 2018 145   Louisiana Monroe W 65-55 89%     3 - 0 +8.8 -11.2 +20.4
  Nov 16, 2018 278   The Citadel W 97-69 97%     4 - 0 +18.5 +4.0 +11.3
  Nov 22, 2018 4   North Carolina W 92-89 20%     5 - 0 +24.6 +17.5 +6.6
  Nov 23, 2018 5   Michigan St. L 68-78 20%     5 - 1 +11.4 +2.8 +8.9
  Nov 30, 2018 139   Radford L 59-62 89%     5 - 2 -3.7 -14.8 +11.0
  Dec 05, 2018 44   Virginia Commonwealth L 53-54 67%     5 - 3 +6.9 -6.8 +13.6
  Dec 09, 2018 10   Purdue W 72-68 41%     6 - 3 +18.9 +9.0 +10.2
  Dec 15, 2018 113   Grand Canyon W 98-60 85%     7 - 3 +39.3 +24.9 +14.2
  Dec 21, 2018 64   Providence L 65-71 76%     7 - 4 -1.0 -5.4 +4.7
  Dec 28, 2018 150   Texas Arlington W 76-56 90%     8 - 4 +18.3 +11.6 +8.4
  Jan 02, 2019 21   @ Kansas St. W 67-47 32%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +37.3 +20.7 +20.8
  Jan 05, 2019 82   West Virginia W 61-54 81%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +10.2 +6.5 +5.7
  Jan 08, 2019 79   @ Oklahoma St. L 58-61 63%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +6.0 -6.1 +11.9
  Jan 12, 2019 9   Texas Tech L 62-68 39%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +9.5 +5.5 +3.4
  Jan 14, 2019 17   @ Kansas L 78-80 30%     10 - 7 2 - 3 +15.8 +23.9 -8.2
  Jan 19, 2019 34   Oklahoma W 75-72 64%     11 - 7 3 - 3 +11.7 +15.8 -3.7
  Jan 23, 2019 47   @ TCU L 61-65 47%     11 - 8 3 - 4 +9.2 -4.6 +13.8
  Jan 26, 2019 115   @ Georgia L 88-98 71%     11 - 9 -3.3 +9.1 -11.3
  Jan 29, 2019 17   Kansas W 73-63 51%     12 - 9 4 - 4 +22.3 +15.4 +7.9
  Feb 02, 2019 16   @ Iowa St. L 60-65 30%     12 - 10 4 - 5 +13.0 -1.0 +13.5
  Feb 06, 2019 40   Baylor W 84-72 66%     13 - 10 5 - 5 +20.3 +17.6 +3.2
  Feb 09, 2019 82   @ West Virginia W 75-53 64%     14 - 10 6 - 5 +30.7 +16.2 +17.6
  Feb 12, 2019 21   Kansas St. L 64-71 53%     14 - 11 6 - 6 +4.8 +12.3 -8.7
  Feb 16, 2019 79   Oklahoma St. W 69-57 80%     15 - 11 7 - 6 +15.4 +9.4 +8.2
  Feb 23, 2019 34   @ Oklahoma L 67-69 43%     15 - 12 7 - 7 +12.3 +8.1 +4.0
  Feb 27, 2019 40   @ Baylor L 83-84 OT 45%     15 - 13 7 - 8 +12.8 +18.5 -5.7
  Mar 02, 2019 16   Iowa St. W 86-69 50%     16 - 13 8 - 8 +29.4 +29.8 +2.2
  Mar 04, 2019 9   @ Texas Tech L 51-70 21%     16 - 14 8 - 9 +2.0 -0.9 +0.2
  Mar 09, 2019 47   TCU L 56-69 68%     16 - 15 8 - 10 -5.3 -6.5 -0.2
  Mar 14, 2019 17   Kansas L 57-65 40%     16 - 16 +7.1 -3.1 +9.6
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 31.9% 31.9% 9.2 0.6 8.4 10.0 10.1 2.8 0.0 68.1 31.9%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 31.9% 0.0% 31.9% 9.2 0.6 8.4 10.0 10.1 2.8 0.0 68.1 31.9%