Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas
Southeastern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.2#52
Expected Predictive Rating+7.8#66
Pace75.1#48
Improvement-2.4#285

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#64
First Shot+4.3#55
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#182
Layup/Dunks+4.8#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#197
Freethrows+2.1#46
Improvement+0.9#135

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#54
First Shot+6.0#34
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#284
Layups/Dunks+5.8#12
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#215
Freethrows-1.3#270
Improvement-3.3#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 6.01.0 - 6.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 3.01.0 - 9.0
Quad 24.0 - 3.05.0 - 12.0
Quad 38.0 - 3.013.0 - 15.0
Quad 44.0 - 0.017.0 - 15.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 30   Texas L 71-73 OT 37%     0 - 1 +10.5 -5.3 +16.0
  Nov 12, 2018 235   UC Davis W 81-58 93%     1 - 1 +15.9 -1.0 +14.5
  Nov 18, 2018 39   Indiana W 73-72 53%     2 - 1 +9.3 +0.1 +9.1
  Nov 21, 2018 241   Montana St. W 90-68 93%     3 - 1 +14.5 -0.3 +12.7
  Nov 23, 2018 150   Texas Arlington W 78-60 85%     4 - 1 +16.3 -1.4 +15.8
  Dec 01, 2018 210   Florida International W 121-89 91%     5 - 1 +26.5 +16.7 +2.1
  Dec 05, 2018 163   @ Colorado St. W 98-74 74%     6 - 1 +26.5 +23.5 +2.9
  Dec 08, 2018 117   Western Kentucky L 77-78 78%     6 - 2 +0.1 +2.5 -2.4
  Dec 15, 2018 148   Texas San Antonio W 79-67 78%     7 - 2 +13.2 +3.0 +9.8
  Dec 19, 2018 100   Georgia Tech L 65-69 75%     7 - 3 -2.0 -3.5 +1.6
  Dec 22, 2018 138   Texas St. W 73-70 82%     8 - 3 +2.4 +2.1 +0.3
  Dec 28, 2018 140   Austin Peay W 76-65 83%     9 - 3 +10.1 -1.6 +11.5
  Jan 05, 2019 78   @ Texas A&M W 73-71 51%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +11.0 +4.6 +6.4
  Jan 09, 2019 28   Florida L 51-57 46%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +4.3 -13.7 +18.0
  Jan 12, 2019 18   LSU L 88-94 OT 38%     10 - 5 1 - 2 +6.3 +4.6 +2.6
  Jan 15, 2019 8   @ Tennessee L 87-106 12%     10 - 6 1 - 3 +3.2 +10.3 -4.6
  Jan 19, 2019 41   @ Mississippi L 67-84 34%     10 - 7 1 - 4 -3.4 -1.9 -1.0
  Jan 23, 2019 67   Missouri W 72-60 66%     11 - 7 2 - 4 +16.9 +1.6 +15.1
  Jan 26, 2019 9   @ Texas Tech L 64-67 14%     11 - 8 +18.0 +6.8 +11.1
  Jan 29, 2019 115   Georgia W 70-60 78%     12 - 8 3 - 4 +11.2 -2.5 +13.6
  Feb 02, 2019 18   @ LSU W 90-89 21%     13 - 8 4 - 4 +18.8 +12.7 +6.0
  Feb 05, 2019 142   Vanderbilt W 69-66 83%     14 - 8 5 - 4 +1.9 +5.2 -3.0
  Feb 09, 2019 62   @ South Carolina L 65-77 45%     14 - 9 5 - 5 -1.4 -3.6 +2.6
  Feb 12, 2019 67   @ Missouri L 78-79 45%     14 - 10 5 - 6 +9.4 +14.9 -5.5
  Feb 16, 2019 20   Mississippi St. L 67-77 39%     14 - 11 5 - 7 +2.1 -3.0 +5.3
  Feb 20, 2019 11   @ Auburn L 56-79 17%     14 - 12 5 - 8 -3.5 -12.7 +10.2
  Feb 23, 2019 78   Texas A&M L 80-87 71%     14 - 13 5 - 9 -3.5 +7.2 -10.6
  Feb 26, 2019 7   @ Kentucky L 66-70 12%     14 - 14 5 - 10 +18.2 +9.8 +8.1
  Mar 02, 2019 41   Mississippi W 74-73 55%     15 - 14 6 - 10 +9.0 +7.1 +2.0
  Mar 06, 2019 142   @ Vanderbilt W 84-48 68%     16 - 14 7 - 10 +40.4 +19.4 +22.9
  Mar 09, 2019 55   Alabama W 82-70 62%     17 - 14 8 - 10 +18.1 +14.9 +3.3
  Mar 14, 2019 28   Florida L 50-66 35%     17 - 15 -2.9 -4.0 -2.2
Projected Record 17.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%