Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama
Southeastern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.9#55
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#53
Pace70.8#122
Improvement-0.3#196

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#97
First Shot+1.9#126
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#95
Layup/Dunks+1.4#130
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#143
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#230
Freethrows+1.7#59
Improvement-3.9#322

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#36
First Shot+4.3#58
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#37
Layups/Dunks+1.8#92
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#28
Freethrows+1.6#60
Improvement+3.6#36
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 30.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four18.4% n/a n/a
First Round21.1% n/a n/a
Second Round6.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 8.01.0 - 8.0
Quad 1b2.0 - 2.03.0 - 10.0
Quad 27.0 - 3.010.0 - 13.0
Quad 35.0 - 2.015.0 - 15.0
Quad 43.0 - 0.018.0 - 15.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 336   Southern W 82-62 98%     1 - 0 +3.6 -1.0 +3.9
  Nov 11, 2018 201   Appalachian St. W 81-73 90%     2 - 0 +2.7 -1.4 +3.6
  Nov 15, 2018 83   Northeastern L 52-68 61%     2 - 1 -10.1 -11.4 -1.3
  Nov 16, 2018 134   Ball St. W 79-61 73%     3 - 1 +20.4 +9.2 +10.9
  Nov 18, 2018 88   Wichita St. W 90-86 62%     4 - 1 +9.7 +21.5 -11.8
  Nov 26, 2018 56   Murray St. W 78-72 63%     5 - 1 +11.6 +0.8 +10.4
  Nov 29, 2018 48   @ Central Florida L 64-70 34%     5 - 2 +7.2 +0.7 +6.3
  Dec 04, 2018 116   Georgia St. L 80-83 77%     5 - 3 -1.9 +1.2 -2.8
  Dec 09, 2018 98   Arizona W 76-73 74%     6 - 3 +5.3 +2.8 +2.4
  Dec 18, 2018 90   Liberty W 84-75 63%     7 - 3 +14.5 +10.4 +3.8
  Dec 21, 2018 42   Penn St. W 73-64 53%     8 - 3 +17.0 +6.0 +11.0
  Dec 30, 2018 302   @ Stephen F. Austin W 79-69 91%     9 - 3 +4.2 +2.5 +1.4
  Jan 05, 2019 7   Kentucky W 77-75 23%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +18.7 +4.5 +14.0
  Jan 08, 2019 18   @ LSU L 79-88 20%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +8.8 +8.2 +1.0
  Jan 12, 2019 78   Texas A&M L 80-81 70%     10 - 5 1 - 2 +2.5 +8.4 -5.9
  Jan 16, 2019 67   @ Missouri W 70-60 44%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +20.4 +10.3 +11.0
  Jan 19, 2019 8   @ Tennessee L 68-71 11%     11 - 6 2 - 3 +19.2 +3.5 +15.6
  Jan 22, 2019 41   Mississippi W 74-53 53%     12 - 6 3 - 3 +29.0 +11.7 +19.4
  Jan 26, 2019 40   @ Baylor L 68-73 32%     12 - 7 +8.8 +7.1 +1.2
  Jan 29, 2019 20   Mississippi St. W 83-79 38%     13 - 7 4 - 3 +16.1 +7.4 +8.3
  Feb 02, 2019 11   @ Auburn L 63-84 16%     13 - 8 4 - 4 -1.5 -2.2 +0.4
  Feb 06, 2019 115   Georgia W 89-74 77%     14 - 8 5 - 4 +16.2 +10.6 +4.5
  Feb 09, 2019 142   @ Vanderbilt W 77-67 67%     15 - 8 6 - 4 +14.4 +6.8 +7.5
  Feb 12, 2019 20   @ Mississippi St. L 62-81 20%     15 - 9 6 - 5 -1.4 -0.8 -1.5
  Feb 16, 2019 28   Florida L 53-71 44%     15 - 10 6 - 6 -7.7 -3.9 -6.7
  Feb 19, 2019 78   @ Texas A&M L 56-65 50%     15 - 11 6 - 7 +0.0 -8.3 +7.7
  Feb 23, 2019 142   Vanderbilt W 68-61 83%     16 - 11 7 - 7 +5.9 -2.6 +8.6
  Feb 26, 2019 62   @ South Carolina W 68-62 43%     17 - 11 8 - 7 +16.6 -1.4 +17.8
  Mar 02, 2019 18   LSU L 69-74 37%     17 - 12 8 - 8 +7.3 -5.0 +12.6
  Mar 05, 2019 11   Auburn L 60-66 31%     17 - 13 8 - 9 +7.9 -6.3 +13.9
  Mar 09, 2019 52   @ Arkansas L 70-82 38%     17 - 14 8 - 10 +0.0 +4.5 -4.7
  Mar 14, 2019 41   Mississippi W 62-57 43%     18 - 14 +15.8 -3.9 +19.8
  Mar 15, 2019 7   Kentucky L 55-73 16%     18 - 15 +1.5 -4.4 +4.5
Projected Record 18.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 30.7% 30.7% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 5.1 17.7 7.0 0.0 69.3 30.7%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 30.7% 0.0% 30.7% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 5.1 17.7 7.0 0.0 69.3 30.7%