Pre-tourney Rankings
Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#83
Expected Predictive Rating+5.6#95
Pace65.9#257
Improvement+2.2#93

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#49
First Shot+7.8#12
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#338
Layup/Dunks-0.1#182
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#231
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#14
Freethrows+2.4#31
Improvement-1.3#251

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#146
First Shot+0.3#167
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#125
Layups/Dunks-1.3#236
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#306
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#113
Freethrows+1.9#49
Improvement+3.5#40
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round15.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 3.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 23.0 - 3.03.0 - 7.0
Quad 39.0 - 0.012.0 - 7.0
Quad 411.0 - 3.023.0 - 10.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 240   Boston University L 74-77 89%     0 - 1 -10.3 -3.0 -7.4
  Nov 09, 2018 127   @ Harvard W 81-71 51%     1 - 1 +15.8 +14.4 +1.7
  Nov 15, 2018 55   Alabama W 68-52 39%     2 - 1 +24.9 +12.4 +15.2
  Nov 16, 2018 12   Virginia Tech L 60-88 16%     2 - 2 -11.6 +1.9 -17.2
  Nov 18, 2018 86   Davidson L 59-71 50%     2 - 3 -6.1 -8.1 +1.5
  Nov 24, 2018 86   @ Davidson L 69-78 40%     2 - 4 -0.3 +0.9 -1.2
  Nov 28, 2018 146   @ Bucknell W 96-78 56%     3 - 4 +22.3 +25.6 -3.2
  Dec 01, 2018 151   Eastern Michigan W 81-67 77%     4 - 4 +12.2 +22.8 -8.1
  Dec 04, 2018 33   @ Syracuse L 49-72 21%     4 - 5 -8.5 -7.0 -5.3
  Dec 08, 2018 187   Oakland W 92-83 83%     5 - 5 +4.7 +11.3 -6.9
  Dec 16, 2018 94   @ Vermont L 70-75 42%     5 - 6 +3.1 -2.6 +6.0
  Dec 21, 2018 119   St. Bonaventure W 64-59 69%     6 - 6 +5.8 +2.0 +4.4
  Dec 28, 2018 247   Drexel W 93-83 90%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +2.0 +11.0 -9.2
  Dec 30, 2018 254   Delaware L 80-82 2OT 90%     7 - 7 1 - 1 -10.2 -5.8 -4.3
  Jan 05, 2019 105   @ Hofstra L 72-75 44%     7 - 8 1 - 2 +4.4 +4.2 -0.1
  Jan 10, 2019 298   @ Elon W 81-70 OT 85%     8 - 8 2 - 2 +5.7 -5.0 +9.4
  Jan 12, 2019 209   @ William & Mary W 90-70 71%     9 - 8 3 - 2 +20.1 +17.4 +3.0
  Jan 17, 2019 126   College of Charleston W 69-60 71%     10 - 8 4 - 2 +9.3 -4.1 +13.6
  Jan 19, 2019 263   UNC Wilmington W 88-71 91%     11 - 8 5 - 2 +8.2 +9.9 -1.1
  Jan 24, 2019 276   @ Towson L 72-75 82%     11 - 9 5 - 3 -6.9 +1.5 -8.6
  Jan 26, 2019 267   @ James Madison W 78-68 81%     12 - 9 6 - 3 +6.5 +5.8 +1.2
  Feb 02, 2019 105   Hofstra W 75-61 65%     13 - 9 7 - 3 +15.8 -2.5 +18.4
  Feb 07, 2019 209   William & Mary W 72-60 86%     14 - 9 8 - 3 +6.6 -3.7 +10.4
  Feb 09, 2019 298   Elon W 72-60 OT 93%     15 - 9 9 - 3 +1.1 -12.5 +12.7
  Feb 14, 2019 263   @ UNC Wilmington W 81-77 81%     16 - 9 10 - 3 +0.8 +3.8 -2.9
  Feb 16, 2019 126   @ College of Charleston L 79-88 OT 50%     16 - 10 10 - 4 -3.1 +7.3 -10.4
  Feb 21, 2019 267   James Madison W 76-60 91%     17 - 10 11 - 4 +7.0 +4.8 +3.7
  Feb 23, 2019 276   Towson W 73-58 92%     18 - 10 12 - 4 +5.6 +3.0 +4.2
  Feb 28, 2019 254   @ Delaware W 75-64 79%     19 - 10 13 - 4 +8.3 +8.2 +1.6
  Mar 02, 2019 247   @ Drexel W 90-66 79%     20 - 10 14 - 4 +21.6 +18.1 +4.9
  Mar 10, 2019 263   UNC Wilmington W 80-59 87%     21 - 10 +15.0 +5.7 +10.7
  Mar 11, 2019 126   College of Charleston W 70-67 61%     22 - 10 +6.1 +6.8 -0.3
  Mar 12, 2019 105   Hofstra W 82-74 55%     23 - 10 +12.6 +9.3 +3.7
Projected Record 23.0 - 10.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.2 0.0 12.9 55.0 32.0 0.1
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 12.9 55.0 32.0 0.1