Pre-tourney Rankings
Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.6#105
Expected Predictive Rating+5.7#93
Pace68.1#196
Improvement-3.8#318

Offense
Total Offense+8.3#17
First Shot+8.0#11
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#148
Layup/Dunks-1.0#208
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#38
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#126
Freethrows+4.7#2
Improvement+0.8#137

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#266
First Shot-2.9#259
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#258
Layups/Dunks+0.7#141
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#348
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#259
Freethrows+3.0#21
Improvement-4.6#343
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 21.0 - 2.01.0 - 4.0
Quad 36.0 - 1.07.0 - 5.0
Quad 419.0 - 2.026.0 - 7.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 327   Mount St. Mary's W 79-61 95%     1 - 0 +3.9 -2.5 +5.8
  Nov 11, 2018 171   @ Marshall L 72-76 60%     1 - 1 -1.9 -5.6 +3.9
  Nov 14, 2018 315   N.C. A&T W 92-72 93%     2 - 1 +7.8 +12.5 -5.1
  Nov 16, 2018 23   @ Maryland L 69-80 13%     2 - 2 +5.8 +10.3 -5.4
  Nov 21, 2018 192   Cal St. Fullerton W 80-71 81%     3 - 2 +4.2 +4.6 -0.6
  Nov 24, 2018 44   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 67-69 OT 20%     3 - 3 +11.4 +1.6 +10.0
  Nov 28, 2018 250   Siena W 94-86 88%     4 - 3 -0.1 +14.7 -15.0
  Dec 01, 2018 340   @ Kennesaw St. W 78-52 93%     5 - 3 +14.5 -0.6 +14.6
  Dec 05, 2018 279   Monmouth W 75-73 90%     6 - 3 -7.5 +5.9 -13.2
  Dec 08, 2018 213   Rider W 89-73 83%     7 - 3 +10.4 +21.1 -9.4
  Dec 10, 2018 316   @ Manhattan W 80-50 86%     8 - 3 +23.3 +17.5 +9.2
  Dec 19, 2018 166   @ Stony Brook W 71-64 59%     9 - 3 +9.2 +3.2 +6.1
  Dec 28, 2018 254   Delaware W 91-46 88%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +36.8 +11.6 +25.4
  Dec 30, 2018 247   Drexel W 89-75 88%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +6.0 +8.3 -2.4
  Jan 05, 2019 83   Northeastern W 75-72 56%     12 - 3 3 - 0 +6.2 +9.2 -2.8
  Jan 10, 2019 209   @ William & Mary W 93-90 3OT 67%     13 - 3 4 - 0 +3.1 -3.2 +5.6
  Jan 12, 2019 298   @ Elon W 74-71 82%     14 - 3 5 - 0 -2.3 +3.7 -5.8
  Jan 17, 2019 263   UNC Wilmington W 87-72 89%     15 - 3 6 - 0 +6.2 +10.1 -3.2
  Jan 19, 2019 126   College of Charleston W 86-72 66%     16 - 3 7 - 0 +14.3 +19.8 -4.2
  Jan 24, 2019 267   @ James Madison W 85-68 78%     17 - 3 8 - 0 +13.5 +11.6 +2.4
  Jan 26, 2019 276   @ Towson W 84-61 79%     18 - 3 9 - 0 +19.1 +16.0 +5.1
  Feb 02, 2019 83   @ Northeastern L 61-75 35%     18 - 4 9 - 1 -5.3 -9.3 +4.0
  Feb 07, 2019 298   Elon W 102-61 92%     19 - 4 10 - 1 +30.1 +22.5 +7.5
  Feb 09, 2019 209   William & Mary W 93-87 83%     20 - 4 11 - 1 +0.6 +10.1 -10.0
  Feb 14, 2019 126   @ College of Charleston W 99-95 45%     21 - 4 12 - 1 +9.9 +21.8 -12.2
  Feb 16, 2019 263   @ UNC Wilmington L 79-87 77%     21 - 5 12 - 2 -11.2 -1.2 -9.8
  Feb 21, 2019 276   Towson W 91-82 2OT 90%     22 - 5 13 - 2 -0.4 +2.4 -3.9
  Feb 23, 2019 267   James Madison L 99-104 OT 89%     22 - 6 13 - 3 -14.0 +14.5 -28.2
  Feb 28, 2019 247   @ Drexel W 80-77 75%     23 - 6 14 - 3 +0.6 +10.8 -10.0
  Mar 02, 2019 254   @ Delaware W 92-70 76%     24 - 6 15 - 3 +19.3 +24.1 -2.6
  Mar 10, 2019 267   James Madison W 76-67 85%     25 - 6 +2.7 +7.6 -3.8
  Mar 11, 2019 254   Delaware W 78-74 OT 83%     26 - 6 -1.5 -2.5 +1.0
  Mar 12, 2019 83   Northeastern L 74-82 45%     26 - 7 -2.1 +5.4 -7.9
Projected Record 26.0 - 7.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%