Pre-tourney Rankings
Towson
Colonial Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#276
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#300
Pace60.9#338
Improvement+0.8#150

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#252
First Shot-4.3#300
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#61
Layup/Dunks-4.6#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#329
Freethrows-0.9#248
Improvement+0.7#144

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#279
First Shot-2.9#256
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#288
Layups/Dunks+0.7#140
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#92
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#334
Freethrows-0.1#192
Improvement+0.1#180
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 33.0 - 6.03.0 - 11.0
Quad 46.0 - 11.09.0 - 22.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 2   @ Virginia L 42-73 1%     0 - 1 -5.2 -8.8 -4.1
  Nov 16, 2018 154   Pepperdine L 65-74 24%     0 - 2 -8.1 -14.4 +7.1
  Nov 17, 2018 165   Florida Atlantic L 71-85 28%     0 - 3 -14.5 +9.9 -26.0
  Nov 18, 2018 195   North Dakota St. L 51-76 33%     0 - 4 -27.1 -22.9 -5.5
  Nov 25, 2018 273   Loyola Maryland W 85-69 60%     1 - 4 +6.8 +7.8 -0.8
  Nov 30, 2018 94   Vermont L 64-70 19%     1 - 5 -3.5 +1.3 -5.6
  Dec 05, 2018 270   @ George Washington L 64-68 38%     1 - 6 -7.6 -1.5 -6.5
  Dec 08, 2018 338   Morgan St. L 69-74 76%     1 - 7 -19.0 -11.2 -7.6
  Dec 11, 2018 230   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 80-76 2OT 30%     2 - 7 +2.8 +1.8 +0.6
  Dec 21, 2018 282   Tulane W 73-55 51%     3 - 7 +11.1 +4.2 +8.4
  Dec 22, 2018 216   La Salle L 51-57 36%     3 - 8 -9.0 -16.6 +7.0
  Dec 28, 2018 298   @ Elon W 77-60 45%     4 - 8 1 - 0 +11.7 +8.3 +5.1
  Dec 30, 2018 209   @ William & Mary L 61-71 26%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -9.9 -4.3 -6.9
  Jan 03, 2019 126   College of Charleston L 55-67 25%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -11.7 -10.1 -3.5
  Jan 05, 2019 263   UNC Wilmington L 61-67 58%     4 - 11 1 - 3 -14.8 -15.0 -0.3
  Jan 09, 2019 215   Cornell L 74-86 46%     4 - 12 -17.6 +1.2 -19.0
  Jan 12, 2019 267   @ James Madison L 65-74 38%     4 - 13 1 - 4 -12.5 -0.4 -13.6
  Jan 17, 2019 247   @ Drexel L 66-72 34%     4 - 14 1 - 5 -8.4 -6.7 -2.2
  Jan 19, 2019 254   @ Delaware W 64-63 35%     5 - 14 2 - 5 -1.7 +0.2 -1.7
  Jan 24, 2019 83   Northeastern W 75-72 18%     6 - 14 3 - 5 +6.2 +6.8 -0.4
  Jan 26, 2019 105   Hofstra L 61-84 21%     6 - 15 3 - 6 -21.2 -11.5 -11.7
  Jan 31, 2019 263   @ UNC Wilmington W 77-76 37%     7 - 15 4 - 6 -2.2 +5.7 -7.9
  Feb 02, 2019 126   @ College of Charleston L 53-54 12%     7 - 16 4 - 7 +4.9 -4.4 +9.0
  Feb 09, 2019 267   James Madison W 66-59 59%     8 - 16 5 - 7 -2.0 -1.9 +1.0
  Feb 14, 2019 254   Delaware L 71-78 2OT 56%     8 - 17 5 - 8 -15.2 -17.7 +3.4
  Feb 16, 2019 247   Drexel W 92-77 55%     9 - 17 6 - 8 +7.0 +7.2 -1.0
  Feb 21, 2019 105   @ Hofstra L 82-91 2OT 10%     9 - 18 6 - 9 -1.6 -2.5 +1.9
  Feb 23, 2019 83   @ Northeastern L 58-73 8%     9 - 19 6 - 10 -6.3 -6.1 -1.9
  Feb 28, 2019 209   William & Mary L 65-67 45%     9 - 20 6 - 11 -7.4 -4.2 -3.5
  Mar 02, 2019 298   Elon L 66-86 66%     9 - 21 6 - 12 -30.9 -6.3 -26.6
  Mar 09, 2019 267   James Madison L 73-74 48%     9 - 22 -7.3 +2.3 -9.6
Projected Record 9.0 - 22.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%