Pre-tourney Rankings
Vermont
America East
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.3#94
Expected Predictive Rating+7.1#74
Pace64.2#301
Improvement+0.9#148

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#120
First Shot+3.3#84
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#258
Layup/Dunks-2.6#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#71
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#121
Freethrows+2.5#29
Improvement-2.7#297

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#88
First Shot+1.6#117
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#33
Layups/Dunks+0.6#146
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#270
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#145
Freethrows+1.3#80
Improvement+3.6#38
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round12.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 20.0 - 0.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 39.0 - 2.09.0 - 5.0
Quad 417.0 - 1.026.0 - 6.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 240   @ Boston University W 78-72 75%     1 - 0 +4.2 +2.9 +1.4
  Nov 12, 2018 17   @ Kansas L 68-84 12%     1 - 1 +1.8 +3.6 -1.3
  Nov 16, 2018 19   @ Louisville L 78-86 13%     1 - 2 +9.7 +18.7 -9.4
  Nov 21, 2018 87   Yale W 79-70 59%     2 - 2 +12.1 +7.9 +4.4
  Nov 25, 2018 146   Bucknell L 61-69 74%     2 - 3 -9.3 -11.2 +1.8
  Nov 28, 2018 270   @ George Washington W 69-53 80%     3 - 3 +12.4 +8.9 +6.3
  Nov 30, 2018 276   @ Towson W 70-64 81%     4 - 3 +2.1 +3.7 -0.8
  Dec 03, 2018 155   @ George Mason W 72-67 58%     5 - 3 +8.4 +1.0 +7.4
  Dec 08, 2018 127   Harvard W 71-65 69%     6 - 3 +6.2 +1.7 +4.7
  Dec 16, 2018 83   Northeastern W 75-70 58%     7 - 3 +8.2 -3.1 +10.9
  Dec 18, 2018 119   St. Bonaventure W 83-76 2OT 67%     8 - 3 +7.8 +3.1 +3.9
  Dec 21, 2018 57   @ Lipscomb L 66-91 29%     8 - 4 -13.9 -1.3 -12.4
  Jan 02, 2019 221   Dartmouth W 73-59 86%     9 - 4 +7.8 -1.8 +10.0
  Jan 05, 2019 271   @ Albany W 80-51 80%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +25.4 +12.7 +15.1
  Jan 09, 2019 333   @ Maine W 73-49 91%     11 - 4 2 - 0 +14.5 +4.8 +12.3
  Jan 12, 2019 193   Hartford W 81-62 83%     12 - 4 3 - 0 +14.2 +6.3 +9.0
  Jan 16, 2019 341   @ New Hampshire W 73-59 94%     13 - 4 4 - 0 +2.1 +6.9 -3.5
  Jan 19, 2019 321   Binghamton W 78-50 95%     14 - 4 5 - 0 +14.5 +1.9 +14.0
  Jan 23, 2019 230   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 61-74 87%     14 - 5 5 - 1 -19.7 -4.6 -16.5
  Jan 26, 2019 166   @ Stony Brook W 73-52 62%     15 - 5 6 - 1 +23.2 +6.3 +17.4
  Feb 02, 2019 257   @ Umass Lowell W 74-65 78%     16 - 5 7 - 1 +6.2 -3.6 +9.8
  Feb 06, 2019 333   Maine W 86-63 96%     17 - 5 8 - 1 +8.0 +12.2 -2.9
  Feb 09, 2019 271   Albany W 67-49 90%     18 - 5 9 - 1 +8.9 -0.7 +12.0
  Feb 13, 2019 341   New Hampshire W 73-44 97%     19 - 5 10 - 1 +11.5 +2.5 +11.2
  Feb 16, 2019 193   @ Hartford W 77-75 67%     20 - 5 11 - 1 +2.8 +4.9 -2.0
  Feb 21, 2019 230   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 56-65 73%     20 - 6 11 - 2 -10.2 -10.8 +0.2
  Feb 23, 2019 321   @ Binghamton W 69-63 89%     21 - 6 12 - 2 -2.0 +0.3 -1.5
  Mar 02, 2019 166   Stony Brook W 56-50 79%     22 - 6 13 - 2 +2.7 -13.8 +16.7
  Mar 05, 2019 257   Umass Lowell W 74-57 89%     23 - 6 14 - 2 +8.7 -0.8 +10.6
  Mar 09, 2019 333   Maine W 73-57 96%     24 - 6 +1.0 +9.0 -4.7
  Mar 12, 2019 321   Binghamton W 84-51 95%     25 - 6 +19.5 +27.5 +1.2
  Mar 16, 2019 230   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 66-49 87%     26 - 6 +10.3 +3.5 +9.3
Projected Record 26.0 - 6.0 14.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.6 4.1 32.5 62.6 0.8
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.6 4.1 32.5 62.6 0.8