Pre-tourney Rankings
Liberty
Atlantic Sun
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.5#90
Expected Predictive Rating+7.7#67
Pace58.6#350
Improvement-1.4#252

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#82
First Shot+5.2#42
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#291
Layup/Dunks+3.6#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#50
Freethrows-1.2#263
Improvement-1.1#241

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#121
First Shot+2.1#105
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#214
Layups/Dunks-1.4#242
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#121
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#97
Freethrows+1.0#113
Improvement-0.3#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round14.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b2.0 - 0.02.0 - 0.0
Quad 21.0 - 3.03.0 - 3.0
Quad 34.0 - 3.07.0 - 6.0
Quad 418.0 - 0.025.0 - 6.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2018 141   @ Kent St. W 77-70 53%     1 - 0 +11.6 +6.7 +5.2
  Nov 19, 2018 142   @ Vanderbilt L 70-79 54%     1 - 1 -4.6 -0.9 -3.5
  Nov 23, 2018 349   Alcorn St. W 76-54 98%     2 - 1 +1.1 +8.2 -3.3
  Nov 25, 2018 346   Savannah St. W 82-56 98%     3 - 1 +7.7 -10.8 +15.5
  Nov 28, 2018 281   @ Navy W 76-58 82%     4 - 1 +13.9 +12.5 +3.8
  Dec 01, 2018 116   Georgia St. W 78-52 66%     5 - 1 +27.1 +14.0 +16.1
  Dec 03, 2018 76   @ Georgetown L 78-88 36%     5 - 2 -0.8 +1.9 -1.8
  Dec 11, 2018 339   South Carolina St. W 79-55 97%     6 - 2 +6.9 +2.4 +6.8
  Dec 18, 2018 55   Alabama L 75-84 37%     6 - 3 -0.1 +5.8 -5.6
  Dec 21, 2018 334   Alabama St. W 73-55 94%     7 - 3 +5.5 +3.6 +4.1
  Dec 22, 2018 140   Austin Peay L 66-75 63%     7 - 4 -7.1 +2.9 -11.6
  Dec 29, 2018 108   @ UCLA W 73-58 43%     8 - 4 +22.3 +4.0 +18.5
  Jan 05, 2019 220   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 81-63 72%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +17.5 +19.9 +0.1
  Jan 09, 2019 330   @ Stetson W 71-53 90%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +9.0 +2.0 +9.4
  Jan 12, 2019 264   Jacksonville W 69-53 90%     11 - 4 3 - 0 +7.2 +3.1 +6.5
  Jan 16, 2019 340   @ Kennesaw St. W 62-41 93%     12 - 4 4 - 0 +9.5 -2.2 +16.1
  Jan 19, 2019 189   North Florida W 70-64 83%     13 - 4 5 - 0 +1.4 -4.2 +5.7
  Jan 21, 2019 301   North Alabama W 72-47 93%     14 - 4 6 - 0 +14.0 +0.6 +14.8
  Jan 27, 2019 264   @ Jacksonville W 69-59 80%     15 - 4 7 - 0 +6.8 +5.1 +3.0
  Jan 29, 2019 57   Lipscomb L 59-79 50%     15 - 5 7 - 1 -14.4 -6.4 -9.4
  Feb 02, 2019 188   NJIT W 77-57 82%     16 - 5 8 - 1 +15.6 +15.7 +3.0
  Feb 05, 2019 330   Stetson W 57-54 96%     17 - 5 9 - 1 -11.5 -21.1 +9.7
  Feb 09, 2019 220   Florida Gulf Coast W 74-67 86%     18 - 5 10 - 1 +0.9 +8.0 -6.2
  Feb 13, 2019 57   @ Lipscomb W 74-66 29%     19 - 5 11 - 1 +19.1 +8.4 +10.9
  Feb 16, 2019 301   @ North Alabama W 80-70 85%     20 - 5 12 - 1 +4.5 +10.7 -5.7
  Feb 23, 2019 189   @ North Florida L 70-75 67%     20 - 6 12 - 2 -4.0 -1.6 -2.5
  Feb 26, 2019 340   Kennesaw St. W 76-59 97%     21 - 6 13 - 2 -0.1 +3.9 -2.2
  Mar 01, 2019 188   @ NJIT W 57-51 66%     22 - 6 14 - 2 +7.1 -1.6 +9.9
  Mar 04, 2019 264   Jacksonville W 72-58 90%     23 - 6 +5.2 +5.4 +1.6
  Mar 07, 2019 189   North Florida W 71-63 83%     24 - 6 +3.4 +5.0 -0.5
  Mar 10, 2019 57   @ Lipscomb W 74-68 29%     25 - 6 +17.1 +13.6 +4.0
Projected Record 25.0 - 6.0 14.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.8 0.0 0.3 32.8 56.0 10.9
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.3 32.8 56.0 10.9