Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#264
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#298
Pace76.0#34
Improvement+2.8#72

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#286
First Shot-3.7#283
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#201
Layup/Dunks+1.9#109
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#303
Freethrows-1.7#293
Improvement+3.3#46

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#227
First Shot-1.0#200
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#271
Layups/Dunks-4.4#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#102
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#115
Freethrows+1.0#114
Improvement-0.5#211
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 4.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.00.0 - 8.0
Quad 33.0 - 2.03.0 - 10.0
Quad 47.0 - 10.010.0 - 20.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 323   Florida A&M L 50-65 77%     0 - 1 -28.7 -24.2 -4.5
  Nov 10, 2018 300   @ Northern Arizona L 82-97 47%     0 - 2 -20.4 -4.0 -14.7
  Nov 12, 2018 113   @ Grand Canyon L 59-76 12%     0 - 3 -10.2 -11.2 +1.1
  Nov 16, 2018 317   Southeast Missouri St. L 71-77 63%     0 - 4 -15.5 -9.8 -5.4
  Nov 17, 2018 214   @ South Alabama W 71-48 28%     1 - 4 +22.9 -3.3 +26.0
  Nov 18, 2018 265   Chattanooga W 74-66 50%     2 - 4 +1.9 -7.0 +8.4
  Nov 24, 2018 283   @ Western Carolina L 65-77 43%     2 - 5 -16.1 -15.0 -0.5
  Dec 01, 2018 339   South Carolina St. W 71-69 85%     3 - 5 -15.1 -16.9 +1.7
  Dec 04, 2018 199   @ Presbyterian W 94-88 27%     4 - 5 +6.4 +7.3 -1.5
  Dec 15, 2018 310   @ Bethune-Cookman W 79-71 52%     5 - 5 +1.6 +1.6 -0.5
  Dec 20, 2018 77   @ Notre Dame L 74-100 9%     5 - 6 -17.0 +3.6 -19.9
  Dec 22, 2018 39   @ Indiana L 64-94 4%     5 - 7 -16.1 -5.2 -8.8
  Dec 30, 2018 199   Presbyterian L 67-72 47%     5 - 8 -10.2 -8.2 -2.3
  Jan 05, 2019 57   Lipscomb L 74-77 14%     5 - 9 0 - 1 +2.6 -4.6 +7.6
  Jan 09, 2019 340   @ Kennesaw St. W 90-70 70%     6 - 9 1 - 1 +8.5 +4.6 +2.1
  Jan 12, 2019 90   @ Liberty L 53-69 10%     6 - 10 1 - 2 -7.8 -8.7 -1.5
  Jan 16, 2019 301   North Alabama L 88-91 69%     6 - 11 1 - 3 -14.0 +6.9 -20.7
  Jan 19, 2019 188   @ NJIT L 74-77 25%     6 - 12 1 - 4 -1.9 -8.0 +6.6
  Jan 24, 2019 189   @ North Florida W 86-81 25%     7 - 12 2 - 4 +6.0 +6.7 -1.1
  Jan 27, 2019 90   Liberty L 59-69 20%     7 - 13 2 - 5 -7.3 -5.2 -3.5
  Jan 30, 2019 330   Stetson W 72-57 79%     8 - 13 3 - 5 +0.5 -10.4 +10.6
  Feb 02, 2019 220   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 60-73 30%     8 - 14 3 - 6 -13.5 -14.8 +1.7
  Feb 06, 2019 340   Kennesaw St. W 82-73 85%     9 - 14 4 - 6 -8.1 +0.2 -8.5
  Feb 09, 2019 57   @ Lipscomb L 77-86 6%     9 - 15 4 - 7 +2.1 +2.2 +0.8
  Feb 13, 2019 330   @ Stetson W 93-70 61%     10 - 15 5 - 7 +14.0 +7.6 +4.7
  Feb 20, 2019 189   North Florida L 73-80 OT 44%     10 - 16 5 - 8 -11.6 -12.3 +1.7
  Feb 23, 2019 188   NJIT L 73-77 44%     10 - 17 5 - 9 -8.4 -5.6 -2.5
  Feb 26, 2019 301   @ North Alabama L 55-69 48%     10 - 18 5 - 10 -19.5 -17.2 -2.4
  Mar 01, 2019 220   Florida Gulf Coast L 74-77 50%     10 - 19 5 - 11 -9.1 +4.9 -14.2
  Mar 04, 2019 90   @ Liberty L 58-72 10%     10 - 20 -5.8 -3.8 -3.8
Projected Record 10.0 - 20.0 5.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%