Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana
Big Ten
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.1#39
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#44
Pace67.6#213
Improvement-2.8#301

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#61
First Shot+2.3#108
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#43
Layup/Dunks+6.0#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#282
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#250
Freethrows+0.4#145
Improvement-1.0#233

Defense
Total Defense+6.7#28
First Shot+7.0#17
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#223
Layups/Dunks-0.6#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#73
Freethrows+3.6#10
Improvement-1.9#268
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 30.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.5% n/a n/a
First Round26.8% n/a n/a
Second Round10.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.8% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2.0 - 6.02.0 - 6.0
Quad 1b4.0 - 3.06.0 - 9.0
Quad 22.0 - 6.08.0 - 15.0
Quad 33.0 - 0.011.0 - 15.0
Quad 46.0 - 0.017.0 - 15.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 351   Chicago St. W 104-55 99%     1 - 0 +26.5 +6.1 +13.8
  Nov 09, 2018 241   Montana St. W 80-35 95%     2 - 0 +37.5 -3.7 +40.0
  Nov 14, 2018 27   Marquette W 96-73 52%     3 - 0 +33.7 +21.8 +10.4
  Nov 18, 2018 52   @ Arkansas L 72-73 47%     3 - 1 +11.0 +0.2 +10.9
  Nov 20, 2018 150   Texas Arlington W 78-64 88%     4 - 1 +12.3 +3.3 +8.3
  Nov 23, 2018 235   UC Davis W 76-62 94%     5 - 1 +6.9 +8.9 -0.8
  Nov 27, 2018 3   @ Duke L 69-90 10%     5 - 2 +4.3 +1.0 +5.7
  Dec 01, 2018 71   Northwestern W 68-66 74%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +6.3 +3.6 +2.7
  Dec 04, 2018 42   @ Penn St. W 64-62 41%     7 - 2 2 - 0 +15.5 -1.0 +16.5
  Dec 08, 2018 19   Louisville W 68-67 46%     8 - 2 +13.1 +5.3 +7.9
  Dec 15, 2018 69   Butler W 71-68 65%     9 - 2 +10.2 +6.3 +4.2
  Dec 19, 2018 303   Central Arkansas W 86-53 97%     10 - 2 +21.7 +2.2 +17.8
  Dec 22, 2018 264   Jacksonville W 94-64 96%     11 - 2 +21.2 +11.2 +7.9
  Jan 03, 2019 75   Illinois W 73-65 75%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +11.9 +2.1 +9.9
  Jan 06, 2019 6   @ Michigan L 63-74 14%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +11.7 +15.8 -6.2
  Jan 11, 2019 23   @ Maryland L 75-78 29%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +13.8 +17.2 -3.6
  Jan 14, 2019 38   Nebraska L 51-66 61%     12 - 5 3 - 3 -6.7 -13.7 +5.8
  Jan 19, 2019 10   @ Purdue L 55-70 19%     12 - 6 3 - 4 +5.5 -4.9 +9.0
  Jan 22, 2019 71   @ Northwestern L 66-73 55%     12 - 7 3 - 5 +2.8 +4.3 -1.7
  Jan 25, 2019 6   Michigan L 46-69 28%     12 - 8 3 - 6 -5.9 -13.6 +6.3
  Jan 30, 2019 74   @ Rutgers L 58-66 56%     12 - 9 3 - 7 +1.6 -6.6 +8.1
  Feb 02, 2019 5   @ Michigan St. W 79-75 OT 11%     13 - 9 4 - 7 +28.2 +14.4 +13.7
  Feb 07, 2019 36   Iowa L 72-77 60%     13 - 10 4 - 8 +3.5 +3.9 -0.6
  Feb 10, 2019 46   Ohio St. L 52-55 62%     13 - 11 4 - 9 +4.8 -5.9 +10.2
  Feb 16, 2019 45   @ Minnesota L 63-84 41%     13 - 12 4 - 10 -7.6 -1.8 -6.1
  Feb 19, 2019 10   Purdue L 46-48 35%     13 - 13 4 - 11 +12.9 -17.2 +29.9
  Feb 22, 2019 36   @ Iowa L 70-76 OT 38%     13 - 14 4 - 12 +8.1 -0.5 +8.7
  Feb 26, 2019 14   Wisconsin W 75-73 2OT 42%     14 - 14 5 - 12 +15.2 +4.8 +10.2
  Mar 02, 2019 5   Michigan St. W 63-62 23%     15 - 14 6 - 12 +19.7 +8.9 +11.0
  Mar 07, 2019 75   @ Illinois W 92-74 56%     16 - 14 7 - 12 +27.5 +28.4 +0.1
  Mar 10, 2019 74   Rutgers W 89-73 75%     17 - 14 8 - 12 +20.0 +20.5 -0.5
  Mar 14, 2019 46   Ohio St. L 75-79 52%     17 - 15 +6.6 +2.6 +4.3
Projected Record 17.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 30.4% 30.4% 10.3 0.0 1.7 3.5 9.7 13.8 1.8 69.6 30.4%
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 30.4% 0.0% 30.4% 10.3 0.0 1.7 3.5 9.7 13.8 1.8 69.6 30.4%