Pre-tourney Rankings
Wisconsin
Big Ten
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.9#14
Expected Predictive Rating+16.2#17
Pace60.9#339
Improvement-1.5#257

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#60
First Shot+3.0#94
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#71
Layup/Dunks+4.6#32
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#260
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#135
Freethrows-1.4#283
Improvement-4.2#328

Defense
Total Defense+11.5#3
First Shot+11.3#3
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#149
Layups/Dunks+3.0#59
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#188
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#30
Freethrows+4.7#3
Improvement+2.7#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 65.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round83.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen49.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight16.5% n/a n/a
Final Four6.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 7.01.0 - 7.0
Quad 1b9.0 - 1.010.0 - 8.0
Quad 25.0 - 2.015.0 - 10.0
Quad 34.0 - 0.019.0 - 10.0
Quad 44.0 - 0.023.0 - 10.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 343   Coppin St. W 85-63 99%     1 - 0 +4.2 +9.5 -4.7
  Nov 13, 2018 60   @ Xavier W 77-68 69%     2 - 0 +19.9 +13.9 +6.6
  Nov 17, 2018 284   Houston Baptist W 96-59 98%     3 - 0 +27.3 +13.5 +12.9
  Nov 21, 2018 103   Stanford W 62-46 85%     4 - 0 +20.7 -3.8 +25.1
  Nov 22, 2018 34   Oklahoma W 78-58 67%     5 - 0 +31.5 +22.2 +11.7
  Nov 23, 2018 2   Virginia L 46-53 25%     5 - 1 +16.0 -7.0 +21.6
  Nov 27, 2018 31   North Carolina St. W 79-75 73%     6 - 1 +13.6 +11.0 +2.6
  Nov 30, 2018 36   @ Iowa W 72-66 57%     7 - 1 +20.1 +4.9 +15.4
  Dec 03, 2018 74   Rutgers W 69-64 86%     8 - 1 1 - 0 +9.0 +8.8 +0.8
  Dec 08, 2018 27   @ Marquette L 69-74 OT 49%     8 - 2 +11.2 -0.7 +12.2
  Dec 13, 2018 346   Savannah St. W 101-60 99.5%    9 - 2 +22.7 +17.3 +5.2
  Dec 22, 2018 294   Grambling St. W 84-53 98%     10 - 2 +20.4 +11.0 +10.2
  Dec 29, 2018 117   @ Western Kentucky L 76-83 81%     10 - 3 -0.4 +5.3 -5.4
  Jan 03, 2019 45   Minnesota L 52-59 78%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +0.9 -12.0 +12.3
  Jan 06, 2019 42   @ Penn St. W 71-52 59%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +32.5 +14.0 +20.6
  Jan 11, 2019 10   Purdue L 80-84 OT 54%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +10.9 +9.1 +2.0
  Jan 14, 2019 23   @ Maryland L 60-64 47%     11 - 6 2 - 3 +12.8 +4.9 +7.3
  Jan 19, 2019 6   Michigan W 64-54 45%     12 - 6 3 - 3 +27.1 +5.3 +22.3
  Jan 23, 2019 75   @ Illinois W 72-60 73%     13 - 6 4 - 3 +21.5 +6.5 +15.5
  Jan 26, 2019 71   Northwestern W 62-46 86%     14 - 6 5 - 3 +20.3 +2.3 +19.7
  Jan 29, 2019 38   @ Nebraska W 62-51 58%     15 - 6 6 - 3 +24.9 +6.1 +20.6
  Feb 01, 2019 23   Maryland W 69-61 68%     16 - 6 7 - 3 +19.2 +12.4 +8.1
  Feb 06, 2019 45   @ Minnesota W 56-51 60%     17 - 6 8 - 3 +18.4 +2.1 +17.3
  Feb 09, 2019 6   @ Michigan L 52-61 26%     17 - 7 8 - 4 +13.7 +1.6 +10.5
  Feb 12, 2019 5   Michigan St. L 59-67 40%     17 - 8 8 - 5 +10.7 -1.8 +11.9
  Feb 18, 2019 75   Illinois W 64-58 87%     18 - 8 9 - 5 +9.9 -3.5 +13.7
  Feb 23, 2019 71   @ Northwestern W 69-64 72%     19 - 8 10 - 5 +14.8 +13.4 +2.0
  Feb 26, 2019 39   @ Indiana L 73-75 2OT 58%     19 - 9 10 - 6 +11.9 +0.9 +11.1
  Mar 02, 2019 42   Penn St. W 61-57 78%     20 - 9 11 - 6 +12.0 +1.2 +11.3
  Mar 07, 2019 36   Iowa W 65-45 76%     21 - 9 12 - 6 +28.5 -6.5 +35.3
  Mar 10, 2019 46   @ Ohio St. W 73-67 OT 60%     22 - 9 13 - 6 +19.4 +5.4 +13.7
  Mar 15, 2019 38   Nebraska W 66-62 68%     23 - 9 +15.1 +5.3 +10.2
  Mar 16, 2019 5   Michigan St. L 55-67 30%     23 - 10 +9.4 -6.2 +15.2
Projected Record 23.0 - 10.0 13.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.2 0.0 0.2 13.7 51.8 31.6 2.7 0.0 100.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.2 0.0 0.2 13.7 51.8 31.6 2.7 0.0 100.0%