Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan
Big Ten
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+19.9#6
Expected Predictive Rating+20.2#8
Pace62.7#323
Improvement-1.0#230

Offense
Total Offense+8.0#18
First Shot+7.2#17
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#109
Layup/Dunks+5.2#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#62
Freethrows+0.0#188
Improvement+0.5#156

Defense
Total Defense+11.9#2
First Shot+10.5#4
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#47
Layups/Dunks-0.9#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#251
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.5#2
Freethrows+4.6#4
Improvement-1.5#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.9% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 12.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 59.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round95.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen73.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight46.2% n/a n/a
Final Four23.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game11.4% n/a n/a
National Champion5.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4.0 - 4.04.0 - 4.0
Quad 1b5.0 - 2.09.0 - 6.0
Quad 210.0 - 0.019.0 - 6.0
Quad 32.0 - 0.021.0 - 6.0
Quad 47.0 - 0.028.0 - 6.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 269   Norfolk St. W 63-44 99%     1 - 0 +9.9 -11.9 +22.0
  Nov 10, 2018 243   Holy Cross W 56-37 99%     2 - 0 +11.2 -14.4 +27.9
  Nov 14, 2018 24   @ Villanova W 73-46 63%     3 - 0 +43.4 +12.7 +33.3
  Nov 17, 2018 270   George Washington W 84-61 98%     4 - 0 +16.7 +11.2 +5.6
  Nov 18, 2018 64   Providence W 66-47 87%     5 - 0 +26.7 +7.0 +21.7
  Nov 23, 2018 265   Chattanooga W 83-55 99%     6 - 0 +19.1 +9.1 +11.4
  Nov 28, 2018 4   North Carolina W 84-67 54%     7 - 0 +35.8 +20.1 +15.8
  Dec 01, 2018 10   Purdue W 76-57 68%     8 - 0 1 - 0 +33.9 +17.8 +18.6
  Dec 04, 2018 71   @ Northwestern W 62-60 83%     9 - 0 2 - 0 +11.8 +7.2 +4.9
  Dec 08, 2018 62   South Carolina W 89-78 91%     10 - 0 +16.1 +17.5 -1.7
  Dec 15, 2018 245   Western Michigan W 70-62 99%     11 - 0 +0.1 -2.3 +2.8
  Dec 22, 2018 232   Air Force W 71-50 98%     12 - 0 +14.2 +2.1 +14.2
  Dec 30, 2018 321   Binghamton W 74-52 99%     13 - 0 +8.5 +1.5 +9.2
  Jan 03, 2019 42   Penn St. W 68-55 86%     14 - 0 3 - 0 +21.0 -0.9 +21.6
  Jan 06, 2019 39   Indiana W 74-63 86%     15 - 0 4 - 0 +19.3 +20.9 +0.5
  Jan 10, 2019 75   @ Illinois W 79-69 83%     16 - 0 5 - 0 +19.5 +5.4 +13.5
  Jan 13, 2019 71   Northwestern W 80-60 92%     17 - 0 6 - 0 +24.3 +20.7 +5.4
  Jan 19, 2019 14   @ Wisconsin L 54-64 55%     17 - 1 6 - 1 +8.7 -2.8 +10.9
  Jan 22, 2019 45   Minnesota W 59-57 87%     18 - 1 7 - 1 +9.9 -3.9 +14.0
  Jan 25, 2019 39   @ Indiana W 69-46 72%     19 - 1 8 - 1 +36.9 +8.4 +29.8
  Jan 29, 2019 46   Ohio St. W 65-49 87%     20 - 1 9 - 1 +23.8 +6.1 +19.9
  Feb 01, 2019 36   @ Iowa L 59-74 71%     20 - 2 9 - 2 -0.9 -12.4 +12.1
  Feb 05, 2019 74   @ Rutgers W 77-65 83%     21 - 2 10 - 2 +21.6 +16.2 +6.2
  Feb 09, 2019 14   Wisconsin W 61-52 74%     22 - 2 11 - 2 +22.2 +9.0 +14.7
  Feb 12, 2019 42   @ Penn St. L 69-75 73%     22 - 3 11 - 3 +7.5 +8.2 -1.0
  Feb 16, 2019 23   Maryland W 65-52 79%     23 - 3 12 - 3 +24.2 +4.4 +21.1
  Feb 21, 2019 45   @ Minnesota W 69-60 73%     24 - 3 13 - 3 +22.4 +6.1 +16.7
  Feb 24, 2019 5   Michigan St. L 70-77 55%     24 - 4 13 - 4 +11.7 +13.6 -2.8
  Feb 28, 2019 38   Nebraska W 82-53 86%     25 - 4 14 - 4 +37.3 +15.1 +23.0
  Mar 03, 2019 23   @ Maryland W 69-62 62%     26 - 4 15 - 4 +23.8 +19.2 +6.1
  Mar 09, 2019 5   @ Michigan St. L 63-75 34%     26 - 5 15 - 5 +12.2 +4.9 +6.6
  Mar 15, 2019 36   Iowa W 74-53 79%     27 - 5 +32.3 +5.3 +27.6
  Mar 16, 2019 45   Minnesota W 76-49 81%     28 - 5 +37.6 +20.8 +21.0
  Mar 17, 2019 5   Michigan St. L 60-65 44%     28 - 6 +16.4 +6.3 +9.3
Projected Record 28.0 - 6.0 15.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.3 12.4 46.6 36.5 4.5 0.1 100.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.3 12.4 46.6 36.5 4.5 0.1 100.0%