Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa
Big Ten
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.3#36
Expected Predictive Rating+13.8#25
Pace72.9#82
Improvement-3.9#321

Offense
Total Offense+9.3#16
First Shot+6.2#27
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#14
Layup/Dunks+2.8#76
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#87
Freethrows+4.1#3
Improvement-1.9#271

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#118
First Shot+2.1#104
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#200
Layups/Dunks-2.7#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#18
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#177
Freethrows+2.3#40
Improvement-2.0#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round97.7% n/a n/a
Second Round50.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen8.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 5.01.0 - 5.0
Quad 1b3.0 - 5.04.0 - 10.0
Quad 27.0 - 0.011.0 - 10.0
Quad 35.0 - 1.016.0 - 11.0
Quad 46.0 - 0.022.0 - 11.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 233   UMKC W 77-63 94%     1 - 0 +7.1 -1.4 +8.1
  Nov 11, 2018 218   Green Bay W 93-82 94%     2 - 0 +5.1 +0.8 +2.4
  Nov 15, 2018 43   Oregon W 77-69 53%     3 - 0 +18.7 +11.8 +6.8
  Nov 16, 2018 107   Connecticut W 91-72 74%     4 - 0 +23.6 +12.6 +9.5
  Nov 21, 2018 334   Alabama St. W 105-78 98%     5 - 0 +11.7 +13.6 -4.9
  Nov 27, 2018 93   Pittsburgh W 69-68 80%     6 - 0 +3.6 -1.3 +4.9
  Nov 30, 2018 14   Wisconsin L 66-72 43%     6 - 1 +7.2 +5.5 +1.5
  Dec 03, 2018 5   @ Michigan St. L 68-90 12%     6 - 2 0 - 1 +2.2 +8.1 -6.7
  Dec 06, 2018 16   Iowa St. W 98-84 46%     7 - 2 +26.4 +22.8 +2.8
  Dec 15, 2018 164   Northern Iowa W 77-54 86%     8 - 2 +22.7 +8.7 +14.9
  Dec 18, 2018 283   Western Carolina W 78-60 96%     9 - 2 +8.3 -0.6 +9.0
  Dec 22, 2018 346   Savannah St. W 110-64 99%     10 - 2 +27.7 +16.3 +7.0
  Dec 29, 2018 322   Bryant W 72-67 98%     11 - 2 -8.6 -0.4 -7.6
  Jan 03, 2019 10   @ Purdue L 70-86 19%     11 - 3 0 - 2 +4.5 +8.6 -5.0
  Jan 06, 2019 38   Nebraska W 93-84 62%     12 - 3 1 - 2 +17.3 +16.8 -0.1
  Jan 09, 2019 71   @ Northwestern W 73-63 56%     13 - 3 2 - 2 +19.8 +13.7 +6.7
  Jan 12, 2019 46   Ohio St. W 72-62 63%     14 - 3 3 - 2 +17.8 +1.9 +15.6
  Jan 16, 2019 42   @ Penn St. W 89-82 41%     15 - 3 4 - 2 +20.5 +18.1 +1.9
  Jan 20, 2019 75   Illinois W 95-71 76%     16 - 3 5 - 2 +27.9 +25.2 +3.1
  Jan 24, 2019 5   Michigan St. L 67-82 24%     16 - 4 5 - 3 +3.7 +3.2 +0.3
  Jan 27, 2019 45   @ Minnesota L 87-92 42%     16 - 5 5 - 4 +8.4 +18.0 -9.4
  Feb 01, 2019 6   Michigan W 74-59 29%     17 - 5 6 - 4 +32.1 +9.1 +22.5
  Feb 07, 2019 39   @ Indiana W 77-72 40%     18 - 5 7 - 4 +18.9 +16.6 +2.6
  Feb 10, 2019 71   Northwestern W 80-79 75%     19 - 5 8 - 4 +5.3 +12.7 -7.4
  Feb 16, 2019 74   @ Rutgers W 71-69 57%     20 - 5 9 - 4 +11.6 +10.7 +1.0
  Feb 19, 2019 23   Maryland L 65-66 50%     20 - 6 9 - 5 +10.2 +2.4 +7.7
  Feb 22, 2019 39   Indiana W 76-70 OT 62%     21 - 6 10 - 5 +14.3 +7.3 +6.9
  Feb 26, 2019 46   @ Ohio St. L 70-90 42%     21 - 7 10 - 6 -6.6 +5.7 -12.5
  Mar 02, 2019 74   Rutgers L 72-86 76%     21 - 8 10 - 7 -10.0 +1.8 -11.4
  Mar 07, 2019 14   @ Wisconsin L 45-65 24%     21 - 9 10 - 8 -1.3 -14.4 +12.9
  Mar 10, 2019 38   @ Nebraska L 91-93 OT 40%     21 - 10 10 - 9 +11.9 +11.9 +0.2
  Mar 14, 2019 75   Illinois W 83-62 67%     22 - 10 +27.7 +25.3 +5.5
  Mar 15, 2019 6   Michigan L 53-74 21%     22 - 11 -1.1 -6.4 +4.7
Projected Record 22.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 97.7% 97.7% 8.2 0.0 0.4 21.7 45.1 23.7 6.2 0.6 2.3 97.7%
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 97.7% 0.0% 97.7% 8.2 0.0 0.4 21.7 45.1 23.7 6.2 0.6 2.3 97.7%