Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona
Pac-12
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#98
Expected Predictive Rating+5.8#90
Pace67.4#217
Improvement-10.2#353

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#142
First Shot+1.2#146
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#175
Layup/Dunks+2.0#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#199
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#202
Freethrows+0.5#140
Improvement-4.0#323

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#76
First Shot+3.8#70
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#164
Layups/Dunks+1.1#114
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#212
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#96
Freethrows+1.1#97
Improvement-6.2#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 2.01.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 4.01.0 - 6.0
Quad 24.0 - 8.05.0 - 14.0
Quad 37.0 - 0.012.0 - 14.0
Quad 45.0 - 1.017.0 - 15.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 284   Houston Baptist W 90-60 91%     1 - 0 +20.3 +4.5 +14.0
  Nov 11, 2018 332   Cal Poly W 82-61 96%     2 - 0 +6.3 -3.9 +9.0
  Nov 14, 2018 290   UTEP W 79-46 91%     3 - 0 +22.9 +8.2 +15.1
  Nov 19, 2018 16   Iowa St. W 71-66 17%     4 - 0 +20.2 +2.0 +18.1
  Nov 20, 2018 1   Gonzaga L 74-91 5%     4 - 1 +6.7 +3.9 +4.2
  Nov 21, 2018 11   Auburn L 57-73 14%     4 - 2 +0.7 -4.3 +3.3
  Nov 29, 2018 111   Georgia Southern W 100-70 64%     5 - 2 +31.4 +14.9 +12.9
  Dec 02, 2018 107   @ Connecticut W 76-72 41%     6 - 2 +11.3 +0.6 +10.4
  Dec 06, 2018 101   Utah Valley W 80-69 62%     7 - 2 +13.0 +6.2 +6.7
  Dec 09, 2018 55   @ Alabama L 73-76 26%     7 - 3 +8.7 +4.8 +4.0
  Dec 15, 2018 40   Baylor L 49-58 38%     7 - 4 -0.7 -13.9 +11.9
  Dec 19, 2018 130   Montana W 61-42 69%     8 - 4 +19.0 -11.6 +31.0
  Dec 22, 2018 235   UC Davis W 70-68 87%     9 - 4 -5.1 +5.8 -10.6
  Jan 03, 2019 65   Colorado W 64-56 51%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +12.9 -1.2 +14.6
  Jan 05, 2019 99   Utah W 84-81 OT 61%     11 - 4 2 - 0 +5.1 +3.4 +1.6
  Jan 09, 2019 103   @ Stanford W 75-70 41%     12 - 4 3 - 0 +12.5 +5.2 +7.0
  Jan 12, 2019 231   @ California W 87-65 73%     13 - 4 4 - 0 +20.8 +16.7 +5.2
  Jan 17, 2019 43   Oregon L 54-59 39%     13 - 5 4 - 1 +2.9 -5.7 +8.0
  Jan 19, 2019 85   Oregon St. W 82-71 58%     14 - 5 5 - 1 +14.1 +13.6 +1.2
  Jan 24, 2019 84   @ USC L 57-80 36%     14 - 6 5 - 2 -14.3 -15.2 +2.0
  Jan 26, 2019 108   @ UCLA L 69-90 42%     14 - 7 5 - 3 -13.7 -4.7 -8.0
  Jan 31, 2019 59   @ Arizona St. L 88-95 OT 28%     14 - 8 5 - 4 +4.1 +16.7 -12.3
  Feb 07, 2019 51   Washington L 60-67 43%     14 - 9 5 - 5 -0.2 -3.7 +3.1
  Feb 09, 2019 205   Washington St. L 55-69 84%     14 - 10 5 - 6 -19.4 -20.7 +0.6
  Feb 14, 2019 99   @ Utah L 76-83 40%     14 - 11 5 - 7 +0.6 +2.7 -2.1
  Feb 17, 2019 65   @ Colorado L 60-67 30%     14 - 12 5 - 8 +3.5 +6.0 -3.8
  Feb 21, 2019 231   California W 76-51 86%     15 - 12 6 - 8 +18.2 +2.3 +17.2
  Feb 24, 2019 103   Stanford W 70-54 62%     16 - 12 7 - 8 +17.9 +3.7 +15.0
  Feb 28, 2019 85   @ Oregon St. W 74-72 36%     17 - 12 8 - 8 +10.7 +13.0 -2.1
  Mar 02, 2019 43   @ Oregon L 47-73 21%     17 - 13 8 - 9 -12.6 -12.3 -2.4
  Mar 09, 2019 59   Arizona St. L 64-72 48%     17 - 14 8 - 10 -2.5 -10.0 +8.0
  Mar 13, 2019 84   USC L 65-78 47%     17 - 15 -7.1 -4.9 -2.4
Projected Record 17.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%