Pre-tourney Rankings
Pac-12
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
43 Oregon 100.0%   12   23 - 12 10 - 8 23 - 12 10 - 8 +10.7      +2.5 111 +8.1 18 62.3 328 +8.5 60 +6.4 5
51 Washington 91.3%   9   26 - 8 15 - 3 26 - 8 15 - 3 +9.6      +2.5 113 +7.1 22 65.8 262 +12.8 32 +14.4 1
59 Arizona St. 72.0%   11   22 - 10 12 - 6 22 - 10 12 - 6 +8.3      +4.4 62 +3.9 75 75.0 51 +9.8 54 +9.4 2
65 Colorado 0.3%   21 - 12 10 - 8 21 - 12 10 - 8 +7.7      +2.0 121 +5.8 41 69.2 160 +6.0 86 +6.3 6
84 USC 0.0%   16 - 17 8 - 10 16 - 17 8 - 10 +5.9      +3.9 72 +2.0 120 73.1 78 +3.0 127 +3.6 9
85 Oregon St. 0.0%   18 - 13 10 - 8 18 - 13 10 - 8 +5.9      +5.1 48 +0.8 147 65.0 283 +5.4 98 +7.0 4
98 Arizona 0.0%   17 - 15 8 - 10 17 - 15 8 - 10 +5.1      +1.2 142 +3.9 76 67.4 217 +5.8 90 +4.1 8
99 Utah 0.0%   17 - 14 11 - 7 17 - 14 11 - 7 +4.9      +7.4 22 -2.5 245 66.0 253 +5.7 94 +8.1 3
103 Stanford 0.0%   15 - 16 8 - 10 15 - 16 8 - 10 +4.7      0.0 176 +4.7 60 73.5 71 +3.3 123 +3.3 10
108 UCLA 0.0%   17 - 16 9 - 9 17 - 16 9 - 9 +4.5      +3.3 84 +1.1 142 79.3 17 +5.0 103 +5.2 7
205 Washington St. 0.0%   11 - 21 4 - 14 11 - 21 4 - 14 -2.6      +1.5 133 -4.2 283 74.8 55 -3.3 212 -1.9 11
231 California 0.0%   8 - 23 3 - 15 8 - 23 3 - 15 -4.0      -0.8 200 -3.2 259 66.9 229 -3.3 211 -4.1 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Oregon 4.0 100.0
Washington 1.0 100.0
Arizona St. 2.0 100.0
Colorado 4.0 100.0
USC 8.0 100.0
Oregon St. 4.0 100.0
Arizona 8.0 100.0
Utah 3.0 100.0
Stanford 8.0 100.0
UCLA 7.0 100.0
Washington St. 11.0 100.0
California 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Oregon 10 - 8 100.0
Washington 15 - 3 100.0
Arizona St. 12 - 6 100.0
Colorado 10 - 8 100.0
USC 8 - 10 100.0
Oregon St. 10 - 8 100.0
Arizona 8 - 10 100.0
Utah 11 - 7 100.0
Stanford 8 - 10 100.0
UCLA 9 - 9 100.0
Washington St. 4 - 14 100.0
California 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Oregon
Washington 100.0% 100.0
Arizona St.
Colorado
USC
Oregon St.
Arizona
Utah
Stanford
UCLA
Washington St.
California


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Oregon 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.2 1.6 16.3 53.3 28.6 0.0
Washington 91.3% 0.0% 91.3% 9   0.0 6.0 25.8 34.5 20.2 4.6 0.1 8.7 91.3%
Arizona St. 72.0% 0.0% 72.0% 11   0.7 6.3 26.9 34.3 3.7 28.0 72.0%
Colorado 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 99.7 0.3%
USC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stanford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UCLA 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Washington St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
California 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Oregon 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 36.5% 11.0% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Washington 91.3% 1.1% 90.8% 38.2% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Arizona St. 72.0% 18.6% 61.6% 18.8% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Colorado 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
USC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stanford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UCLA 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
California 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 2.6 2.2 32.2 65.3 0.3
1st Round 100.0% 2.5 3.1 41.3 55.5 0.1
2nd Round 68.1% 0.9 31.9 45.4 20.3 2.5 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 18.4% 0.2 81.6 17.4 1.1 0.0
Elite Eight 4.6% 0.0 95.4 4.6 0.1
Final Four 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8 0.0
Final Game 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0