Pre-tourney Rankings
Washington
Pac-12
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#51
Expected Predictive Rating+12.8#32
Pace65.8#262
Improvement-2.6#288

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#113
First Shot+1.6#135
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#101
Layup/Dunks+0.7#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#185
Freethrows+1.0#101
Improvement-2.5#290

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#22
First Shot+8.1#10
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#280
Layups/Dunks+6.1#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#294
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#80
Freethrows+1.2#91
Improvement+0.0#187
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 91.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 91.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.1% n/a n/a
First Round90.8% n/a n/a
Second Round38.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b2.0 - 1.02.0 - 4.0
Quad 28.0 - 3.010.0 - 7.0
Quad 39.0 - 1.019.0 - 8.0
Quad 47.0 - 0.026.0 - 8.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 117   Western Kentucky W 73-55 79%     1 - 0 +19.1 +2.0 +17.1
  Nov 09, 2018 11   @ Auburn L 66-88 18%     1 - 1 -2.5 -0.5 -1.8
  Nov 12, 2018 96   San Diego W 66-63 75%     2 - 1 +5.4 +1.3 +4.4
  Nov 18, 2018 180   Santa Clara W 82-68 84%     3 - 1 +12.9 +6.8 +5.6
  Nov 20, 2018 78   Texas A&M W 71-67 63%     4 - 1 +10.2 +6.2 +4.2
  Nov 21, 2018 45   Minnesota L 66-68 46%     4 - 2 +8.6 +1.4 +7.2
  Nov 27, 2018 227   Eastern Washington W 83-59 92%     5 - 2 +17.5 +3.7 +13.0
  Dec 02, 2018 170   UC Santa Barbara W 67-63 88%     6 - 2 +0.6 -8.5 +9.0
  Dec 05, 2018 1   @ Gonzaga L 79-81 7%     6 - 3 +24.5 +20.1 +4.2
  Dec 09, 2018 181   Seattle W 70-62 89%     7 - 3 +4.0 -1.9 +6.0
  Dec 15, 2018 12   Virginia Tech L 61-73 26%     7 - 4 +4.4 -0.7 +4.2
  Dec 21, 2018 272   Sacramento St. W 57-41 95%     8 - 4 +6.8 -13.9 +22.1
  Jan 01, 2019 192   Cal St. Fullerton W 84-76 90%     9 - 4 +3.2 +6.9 -4.1
  Jan 05, 2019 205   Washington St. W 85-67 91%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +12.6 +10.6 +2.8
  Jan 10, 2019 99   @ Utah W 69-53 58%     11 - 4 2 - 0 +23.6 +1.3 +23.8
  Jan 12, 2019 65   @ Colorado W 77-70 46%     12 - 4 3 - 0 +17.5 +13.1 +4.5
  Jan 17, 2019 103   Stanford W 80-64 77%     13 - 4 4 - 0 +17.9 +17.0 +2.2
  Jan 19, 2019 231   California W 71-52 93%     14 - 4 5 - 0 +12.2 -6.5 +18.7
  Jan 24, 2019 43   @ Oregon W 61-56 35%     15 - 4 6 - 0 +18.4 +5.7 +13.4
  Jan 26, 2019 85   @ Oregon St. W 79-69 54%     16 - 4 7 - 0 +18.7 +13.6 +5.7
  Jan 30, 2019 84   USC W 75-62 73%     17 - 4 8 - 0 +16.1 +3.0 +13.2
  Feb 02, 2019 108   UCLA W 69-55 77%     18 - 4 9 - 0 +15.7 -7.5 +22.5
  Feb 07, 2019 98   @ Arizona W 67-60 57%     19 - 4 10 - 0 +14.9 +3.3 +12.0
  Feb 09, 2019 59   @ Arizona St. L 63-75 44%     19 - 5 10 - 1 -0.9 -8.1 +7.9
  Feb 16, 2019 205   @ Washington St. W 72-70 81%     20 - 5 11 - 1 +2.2 +4.2 -1.8
  Feb 20, 2019 99   Utah W 62-45 76%     21 - 5 12 - 1 +19.1 -6.8 +28.1
  Feb 23, 2019 65   Colorado W 64-55 67%     22 - 5 13 - 1 +13.9 +3.3 +11.7
  Feb 28, 2019 231   @ California L 73-76 84%     22 - 6 13 - 2 -4.2 +6.0 -10.5
  Mar 03, 2019 103   @ Stanford W 62-61 58%     23 - 6 14 - 2 +8.5 -4.9 +13.4
  Mar 06, 2019 85   Oregon St. W 81-76 OT 73%     24 - 6 15 - 2 +8.1 +11.0 -2.7
  Mar 09, 2019 43   Oregon L 47-55 57%     24 - 7 15 - 3 -0.1 -14.7 +13.8
  Mar 14, 2019 84   USC W 78-75 64%     25 - 7 +8.9 +5.1 +3.7
  Mar 15, 2019 65   Colorado W 66-61 57%     26 - 7 +12.7 +1.8 +11.1
  Mar 16, 2019 43   Oregon L 48-68 46%     26 - 8 -9.3 -8.8 -3.9
Projected Record 26.0 - 8.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 91.3% 91.3% 8.9 0.0 6.0 25.8 34.5 20.2 4.6 0.1 8.7 91.3%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 91.3% 0.0% 91.3% 8.9 0.0 6.0 25.8 34.5 20.2 4.6 0.1 8.7 91.3%