Pre-tourney Rankings
Gonzaga
West Coast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+23.7#1
Expected Predictive Rating+20.9#5
Pace75.2#45
Improvement+0.6#157

Offense
Total Offense+14.6#1
First Shot+13.3#1
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#78
Layup/Dunks+9.5#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#164
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#147
Freethrows+2.8#18
Improvement-3.4#310

Defense
Total Defense+9.1#13
First Shot+8.9#8
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#159
Layups/Dunks+3.3#51
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#266
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#55
Freethrows+3.6#11
Improvement+4.1#25
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 8.3% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 48.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 87.4% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round98.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen86.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight68.7% n/a n/a
Final Four47.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game31.4% n/a n/a
National Champion19.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2.0 - 2.02.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b2.0 - 1.04.0 - 3.0
Quad 26.0 - 0.010.0 - 3.0
Quad 39.0 - 0.019.0 - 3.0
Quad 411.0 - 0.030.0 - 3.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 324   Idaho St. W 120-79 99.7%    1 - 0 +27.2 +21.6 +0.6
  Nov 10, 2018 238   Texas Southern W 104-67 99%     2 - 0 +29.8 +10.5 +13.8
  Nov 15, 2018 78   Texas A&M W 94-71 96%     3 - 0 +26.5 +14.9 +9.5
  Nov 19, 2018 75   Illinois W 84-78 93%     4 - 0 +12.7 +5.2 +6.9
  Nov 20, 2018 98   Arizona W 91-74 95%     5 - 0 +22.1 +14.3 +6.4
  Nov 21, 2018 3   Duke W 89-87 54%     6 - 0 +24.6 +24.7 -0.1
  Nov 26, 2018 195   North Dakota St. W 102-60 99%     7 - 0 +37.2 +21.9 +14.4
  Dec 01, 2018 49   @ Creighton W 103-92 84%     8 - 0 +23.9 +27.5 -4.5
  Dec 05, 2018 51   Washington W 81-79 93%     9 - 0 +8.8 +17.5 -8.6
  Dec 09, 2018 8   Tennessee L 73-76 66%     9 - 1 +16.4 +8.5 +7.8
  Dec 15, 2018 4   @ North Carolina L 90-103 48%     9 - 2 +11.3 +13.4 +0.1
  Dec 18, 2018 150   Texas Arlington W 89-55 98%     10 - 2 +32.3 +9.7 +19.4
  Dec 21, 2018 304   Denver W 101-40 99.6%    11 - 2 +49.6 +17.2 +30.1
  Dec 28, 2018 301   North Alabama W 96-51 99.6%    12 - 2 +34.0 +13.7 +17.1
  Dec 31, 2018 222   Cal St. Bakersfield W 89-54 99%     13 - 2 +28.8 +12.4 +16.3
  Jan 05, 2019 180   Santa Clara W 91-48 99%     14 - 2 1 - 0 +39.1 +11.7 +24.8
  Jan 10, 2019 198   Pacific W 67-36 99%     15 - 2 2 - 0 +25.9 -3.6 +30.9
  Jan 12, 2019 81   @ San Francisco W 96-83 91%     16 - 2 3 - 0 +21.8 +25.7 -3.9
  Jan 17, 2019 137   Loyola Marymount W 73-55 98%     17 - 2 4 - 0 +17.4 +6.1 +12.6
  Jan 19, 2019 319   @ Portland W 89-66 99%     18 - 2 5 - 0 +15.3 +18.9 -2.3
  Jan 24, 2019 180   @ Santa Clara W 98-39 97%     19 - 2 6 - 0 +60.7 +30.6 +32.2
  Jan 31, 2019 95   @ BYU W 93-63 92%     20 - 2 7 - 0 +38.1 +22.1 +16.1
  Feb 02, 2019 96   San Diego W 85-69 97%     21 - 2 8 - 0 +18.4 +15.5 +3.1
  Feb 07, 2019 81   San Francisco W 92-62 96%     22 - 2 9 - 0 +33.2 +13.5 +18.0
  Feb 09, 2019 35   St. Mary's W 94-46 91%     23 - 2 10 - 0 +56.7 +31.4 +28.7
  Feb 14, 2019 137   @ Loyola Marymount W 73-60 95%     24 - 2 11 - 0 +18.0 +10.6 +8.6
  Feb 16, 2019 96   @ San Diego W 79-67 92%     25 - 2 12 - 0 +20.0 +16.5 +4.2
  Feb 21, 2019 154   Pepperdine W 92-64 98%     26 - 2 13 - 0 +26.1 +16.6 +9.5
  Feb 23, 2019 95   BYU W 102-68 96%     27 - 2 14 - 0 +36.5 +18.0 +15.2
  Feb 28, 2019 198   @ Pacific W 86-66 97%     28 - 2 15 - 0 +20.4 +17.6 +3.4
  Mar 02, 2019 35   @ St. Mary's W 69-55 82%     29 - 2 16 - 0 +28.2 +10.7 +19.2
  Mar 11, 2019 154   Pepperdine W 100-74 97%     30 - 2 +26.9 +17.9 +6.8
  Mar 12, 2019 35   St. Mary's L 47-60 87%     30 - 3 -1.6 -13.6 +10.0
Projected Record 30.0 - 3.0 16.0 - 0.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.7 48.3 39.1 10.9 1.7 0.0 100.0%
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.7 48.3 39.1 10.9 1.7 0.0 100.0%