Pre-tourney Rankings
Auburn
Southeastern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.7#11
Expected Predictive Rating+15.9#20
Pace69.6#149
Improvement-1.4#248

Offense
Total Offense+11.4#8
First Shot+9.7#7
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#64
Layup/Dunks+2.4#85
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+11.1#1
Freethrows+0.9#113
Improvement+0.0#188

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#46
First Shot+3.8#68
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#39
Layups/Dunks+5.8#13
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#43
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#320
Freethrows+0.1#178
Improvement-1.4#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 37.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 97.3% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round81.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen47.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight17.9% n/a n/a
Final Four7.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2.0 - 7.02.0 - 7.0
Quad 1b3.0 - 0.05.0 - 7.0
Quad 212.0 - 2.017.0 - 9.0
Quad 34.0 - 0.021.0 - 9.0
Quad 44.0 - 0.025.0 - 9.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 214   South Alabama W 101-58 97%     1 - 0 +37.4 +20.9 +15.0
  Nov 09, 2018 51   Washington W 88-66 82%     2 - 0 +28.8 +20.3 +8.4
  Nov 19, 2018 60   Xavier W 88-79 OT 79%     3 - 0 +17.1 +9.2 +7.0
  Nov 20, 2018 3   Duke L 72-78 29%     3 - 1 +16.6 +9.6 +7.0
  Nov 21, 2018 98   Arizona W 73-57 86%     4 - 1 +21.1 +12.0 +10.8
  Nov 28, 2018 305   St. Peter's W 99-49 99%     5 - 1 +38.6 +14.4 +20.1
  Dec 04, 2018 347   UNC Asheville W 67-41 99.6%    6 - 1 +7.6 -12.9 +21.7
  Dec 08, 2018 63   Dayton W 82-72 86%     7 - 1 +15.0 +11.7 +3.5
  Dec 15, 2018 147   UAB W 75-71 OT 92%     8 - 1 +5.4 +2.7 +2.7
  Dec 19, 2018 31   @ North Carolina St. L 71-78 56%     8 - 2 +8.2 -1.5 +10.4
  Dec 22, 2018 56   Murray St. W 93-88 85%     9 - 2 +10.6 +18.1 -7.7
  Dec 29, 2018 189   North Florida W 95-49 97%     10 - 2 +41.4 +11.1 +26.1
  Jan 09, 2019 41   @ Mississippi L 67-82 62%     10 - 3 0 - 1 -1.4 -4.4 +3.9
  Jan 12, 2019 115   Georgia W 93-78 92%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +16.2 +19.4 -3.5
  Jan 16, 2019 78   @ Texas A&M W 85-66 77%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +28.0 +15.5 +12.1
  Jan 19, 2019 7   Kentucky L 80-82 50%     12 - 4 2 - 2 +14.7 +16.7 -2.0
  Jan 22, 2019 62   @ South Carolina L 77-80 72%     12 - 5 2 - 3 +7.6 +7.1 +0.7
  Jan 26, 2019 20   @ Mississippi St. L 84-92 46%     12 - 6 2 - 4 +9.6 +14.0 -4.0
  Jan 30, 2019 67   Missouri W 92-58 86%     13 - 6 3 - 4 +38.9 +18.1 +19.0
  Feb 02, 2019 55   Alabama W 84-63 84%     14 - 6 4 - 4 +27.1 +16.9 +10.5
  Feb 05, 2019 28   Florida W 76-62 73%     15 - 6 5 - 4 +24.3 +15.2 +10.1
  Feb 09, 2019 18   @ LSU L 78-83 46%     15 - 7 5 - 5 +12.8 +6.6 +6.5
  Feb 13, 2019 41   Mississippi L 55-60 80%     15 - 8 5 - 6 +3.0 -7.3 +9.6
  Feb 16, 2019 142   @ Vanderbilt W 64-53 87%     16 - 8 6 - 6 +15.4 +2.9 +13.9
  Feb 20, 2019 52   Arkansas W 79-56 83%     17 - 8 7 - 6 +29.4 +6.0 +22.3
  Feb 23, 2019 7   @ Kentucky L 53-80 30%     17 - 9 7 - 7 -4.8 -3.7 -3.8
  Feb 27, 2019 115   @ Georgia W 78-75 83%     18 - 9 8 - 7 +9.7 +17.7 -7.6
  Mar 02, 2019 20   Mississippi St. W 80-75 67%     19 - 9 9 - 7 +17.1 +10.3 +6.8
  Mar 05, 2019 55   @ Alabama W 66-60 69%     20 - 9 10 - 7 +17.7 +3.4 +14.5
  Mar 09, 2019 8   Tennessee W 84-80 50%     21 - 9 11 - 7 +20.6 +20.9 +0.0
  Mar 14, 2019 67   Missouri W 81-71 80%     22 - 9 +17.6 +21.8 -3.1
  Mar 15, 2019 62   South Carolina W 73-64 80%     23 - 9 +16.8 +13.8 +4.1
  Mar 16, 2019 28   Florida W 65-62 64%     24 - 9 +16.1 +16.2 +0.7
  Mar 17, 2019 8   Tennessee W 84-64 40%     25 - 9 +39.4 +19.0 +20.9
Projected Record 25.0 - 9.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.8 0.0 0.2 5.6 31.2 41.8 18.4 2.7 0.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 4.8 0.0 0.2 5.6 31.2 41.8 18.4 2.7 0.0