Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeastern
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
7 Kentucky 100.0%   2   27 - 6 15 - 3 27 - 6 15 - 3 +19.5      +10.3 11 +9.2 12 65.9 254 +20.3 7 +21.5 2
8 Tennessee 100.0%   2   28 - 5 15 - 3 28 - 5 15 - 3 +19.4      +13.4 2 +6.0 35 68.6 183 +21.4 4 +21.0 3
11 Auburn 100.0%   5   25 - 9 11 - 7 25 - 9 11 - 7 +16.7      +11.4 8 +5.3 46 69.6 149 +15.9 20 +13.7 5
18 LSU 100.0%   3   26 - 6 16 - 2 26 - 6 16 - 2 +15.1      +10.6 9 +4.5 66 73.2 76 +18.0 11 +23.3 1
20 Mississippi St. 100.0%   5   23 - 10 10 - 8 23 - 10 10 - 8 +14.9      +9.4 14 +5.4 45 68.5 184 +14.3 23 +12.5 6
28 Florida 60.7%   11   19 - 15 9 - 9 19 - 15 9 - 9 +13.1      +4.7 57 +8.5 16 60.2 345 +11.0 40 +11.2 8
41 Mississippi 76.2%   10   20 - 12 10 - 8 20 - 12 10 - 8 +10.8      +6.4 31 +4.4 67 70.2 137 +11.0 39 +12.4 7
52 Arkansas 0.1%   17 - 15 8 - 10 17 - 15 8 - 10 +9.2      +4.3 64 +4.9 54 75.1 48 +7.8 66 +8.6 10
55 Alabama 30.7%   18 - 15 8 - 10 18 - 15 8 - 10 +8.9      +2.9 97 +6.0 36 70.8 122 +9.8 53 +9.7 9
62 South Carolina 0.0%   15 - 16 11 - 7 15 - 16 11 - 7 +7.8      +3.3 88 +4.5 65 74.3 59 +8.1 62 +14.0 4
67 Missouri 0.0%   15 - 17 5 - 13 15 - 17 5 - 13 +7.6      +2.5 109 +5.1 49 63.5 316 +7.1 73 +4.8 12
78 Texas A&M 0.0%   14 - 18 6 - 12 14 - 18 6 - 12 +6.2      +2.5 112 +3.7 81 69.0 164 +5.9 88 +6.4 11
115 Georgia 0.0%   11 - 21 2 - 16 11 - 21 2 - 16 +3.9      +1.7 129 +2.3 114 71.2 115 +2.4 134 -1.0 13
142 Vanderbilt 0.0%   9 - 23 0 - 18 9 - 23 0 - 18 +1.7      -0.8 199 +2.4 107 68.2 189 -0.3 171 -8.0 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Kentucky 2.0 100.0
Tennessee 2.0 100.0
Auburn 4.0 100.0
LSU 1.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 6.0 100.0
Florida 8.0 100.0
Mississippi 6.0 100.0
Arkansas 9.0 100.0
Alabama 9.0 100.0
South Carolina 4.0 100.0
Missouri 12.0 100.0
Texas A&M 11.0 100.0
Georgia 13.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kentucky 15 - 3 100.0
Tennessee 15 - 3 100.0
Auburn 11 - 7 100.0
LSU 16 - 2 100.0
Mississippi St. 10 - 8 100.0
Florida 9 - 9 100.0
Mississippi 10 - 8 100.0
Arkansas 8 - 10 100.0
Alabama 8 - 10 100.0
South Carolina 11 - 7 100.0
Missouri 5 - 13 100.0
Texas A&M 6 - 12 100.0
Georgia 2 - 16 100.0
Vanderbilt 0 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kentucky
Tennessee
Auburn
LSU 100.0% 100.0
Mississippi St.
Florida
Mississippi
Arkansas
Alabama
South Carolina
Missouri
Texas A&M
Georgia
Vanderbilt


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   35.4 53.2 11.0 0.4 100.0%
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   27.6 55.2 16.5 0.7 100.0%
Auburn 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 5   0.0 0.2 5.6 31.2 41.8 18.4 2.7 0.0
LSU 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   2.2 16.2 54.5 26.0 1.2 100.0%
Mississippi St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 0.9 12.2 46.0 34.2 6.7 0.0 100.0%
Florida 60.7% 0.0% 60.7% 11   0.2 3.0 4.9 15.0 29.0 8.6 0.0 39.3 60.7%
Mississippi 76.2% 0.0% 76.2% 10   0.0 2.1 15.2 19.8 24.0 14.1 1.1 23.8 76.2%
Arkansas 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
Alabama 30.7% 0.0% 30.7% 0.0 0.1 0.7 5.1 17.7 7.0 0.0 69.3 30.7%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Missouri 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.8% 74.5% 48.3% 24.2% 11.4% 4.7%
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.3% 73.3% 46.6% 23.4% 11.3% 5.0%
Auburn 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 81.1% 47.0% 17.9% 7.8% 2.8% 0.9%
LSU 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 85.8% 49.9% 18.7% 6.5% 2.1% 0.6%
Mississippi St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 72.7% 35.8% 11.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
Florida 60.7% 25.2% 51.8% 25.3% 8.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Mississippi 76.2% 6.2% 73.5% 32.2% 5.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama 30.7% 18.4% 21.1% 6.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 6.7 5.4 34.0 48.0 12.6 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 6.5 8.4 43.3 41.8 6.5
2nd Round 100.0% 5.0 0.0 0.6 5.5 23.6 41.8 24.0 4.2 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 99.2% 3.0 0.8 6.9 24.7 37.2 24.4 5.6 0.4 0.0
Elite Eight 87.2% 1.5 12.9 39.1 36.1 10.7 1.2 0.0
Final Four 55.6% 0.7 44.4 44.3 10.6 0.7 0.0
Final Game 27.9% 0.3 72.1 26.5 1.4
Champion 11.7% 0.1 88.3 11.7