Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado St.
Mountain West
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#163
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#216
Pace68.0#203
Improvement+4.1#34

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#117
First Shot+3.6#73
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#275
Layup/Dunks+3.5#50
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#174
Freethrows+0.1#180
Improvement-0.3#199

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#246
First Shot-2.9#261
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#129
Layups/Dunks-0.7#201
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#316
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#277
Freethrows+2.1#45
Improvement+4.4#16
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 3.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 20.0 - 3.00.0 - 8.0
Quad 32.0 - 10.02.0 - 18.0
Quad 49.0 - 2.011.0 - 20.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 320   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 92-67 89%     1 - 0 +11.6 +21.1 -7.4
  Nov 14, 2018 241   Montana St. W 81-77 75%     2 - 0 -3.5 -1.4 -2.1
  Nov 19, 2018 178   Louisiana L 73-91 52%     2 - 1 -18.9 -10.6 -6.4
  Nov 20, 2018 220   Florida Gulf Coast W 82-74 62%     3 - 1 +4.7 +4.3 +0.1
  Nov 21, 2018 92   South Dakota St. L 65-78 29%     3 - 2 -7.7 -6.5 -1.5
  Nov 27, 2018 143   Southern Illinois L 67-82 53%     3 - 3 -16.1 +3.4 -21.6
  Dec 01, 2018 65   @ Colorado L 80-86 16%     3 - 4 +4.5 +9.0 -4.1
  Dec 05, 2018 52   Arkansas L 74-98 26%     3 - 5 -17.6 +4.3 -21.7
  Dec 08, 2018 177   Sam Houston St. W 71-65 63%     4 - 5 +2.3 -4.4 +6.8
  Dec 16, 2018 226   South Dakota L 63-68 72%     4 - 6 -11.4 -5.1 -6.9
  Dec 22, 2018 217   @ Long Beach St. L 61-64 50%     4 - 7 -3.3 -16.9 +13.9
  Dec 30, 2018 53   New Mexico St. L 68-88 27%     4 - 8 -13.8 +3.7 -19.4
  Jan 02, 2019 156   @ UNLV L 76-78 37%     4 - 9 0 - 1 +1.3 +3.1 -1.9
  Jan 05, 2019 72   @ Fresno St. L 67-78 17%     4 - 10 0 - 2 -1.2 -3.2 +2.5
  Jan 08, 2019 232   Air Force W 87-64 74%     5 - 10 1 - 2 +16.2 +17.9 +0.1
  Jan 12, 2019 169   New Mexico W 91-76 62%     6 - 10 2 - 2 +11.6 +11.2 -0.4
  Jan 19, 2019 37   @ Utah St. L 72-87 10%     6 - 11 2 - 3 -1.1 +7.0 -8.5
  Jan 23, 2019 26   @ Nevada L 60-100 7%     6 - 12 2 - 4 -23.8 -9.0 -12.0
  Jan 26, 2019 72   Fresno St. W 74-65 33%     7 - 12 3 - 4 +13.2 +0.8 +12.1
  Jan 29, 2019 131   Boise St. L 68-70 49%     7 - 13 3 - 5 -2.1 +1.2 -3.5
  Feb 02, 2019 232   @ Air Force W 85-53 54%     8 - 13 4 - 5 +30.7 +17.4 +15.4
  Feb 06, 2019 26   Nevada L 82-98 15%     8 - 14 4 - 6 -5.3 +14.1 -19.4
  Feb 09, 2019 308   @ Wyoming L 66-74 72%     8 - 15 4 - 7 -14.3 -2.9 -12.1
  Feb 12, 2019 104   San Diego St. L 60-71 42%     8 - 16 4 - 8 -9.1 -4.8 -5.1
  Feb 20, 2019 342   @ San Jose St. W 91-70 86%     9 - 16 5 - 8 +8.9 +10.1 -1.9
  Feb 23, 2019 308   Wyoming W 83-48 86%     10 - 16 6 - 8 +23.1 +4.1 +18.4
  Feb 27, 2019 131   @ Boise St. W 76-62 29%     11 - 16 7 - 8 +19.4 +5.2 +14.3
  Mar 02, 2019 169   @ New Mexico L 65-77 41%     11 - 17 7 - 9 -9.8 -4.9 -5.3
  Mar 05, 2019 37   Utah St. L 96-100 OT 21%     11 - 18 7 - 10 +4.3 +17.3 -12.5
  Mar 09, 2019 156   UNLV L 60-65 58%     11 - 19 7 - 11 -7.3 -8.2 +0.3
  Mar 13, 2019 131   Boise St. L 57-66 39%     11 - 20 -6.3 -9.0 +1.6
Projected Record 11.0 - 20.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%