Pre-tourney Rankings
Evansville
Missouri Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#223
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#239
Pace72.3#91
Improvement-3.7#317

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#259
First Shot-0.5#194
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#331
Layup/Dunks-1.4#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#331
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#103
Freethrows+2.3#39
Improvement-1.8#270

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#179
First Shot+0.5#158
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#275
Layups/Dunks-0.4#181
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#311
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#31
Freethrows-0.8#236
Improvement-2.0#274
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.00.0 - 6.0
Quad 35.0 - 9.05.0 - 15.0
Quad 44.0 - 6.09.0 - 21.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 75   @ Illinois L 60-99 12%     0 - 1 -29.5 -16.3 -8.1
  Nov 10, 2018 60   @ Xavier L 85-91 10%     0 - 2 +4.9 +14.5 -9.5
  Nov 18, 2018 238   Texas Southern W 85-63 64%     1 - 2 +14.8 -6.2 +17.6
  Nov 24, 2018 134   @ Ball St. L 72-82 21%     1 - 3 -4.8 +6.7 -11.9
  Nov 28, 2018 308   Wyoming W 86-78 79%     2 - 3 -3.9 -0.9 -3.9
  Dec 04, 2018 248   @ Arkansas St. L 77-87 46%     2 - 4 -12.6 -4.4 -7.4
  Dec 09, 2018 134   Ball St. W 89-77 38%     3 - 4 +11.6 +11.2 -0.6
  Dec 15, 2018 129   Jacksonville St. L 50-55 36%     3 - 5 -4.9 -20.8 +15.8
  Dec 18, 2018 56   @ Murray St. L 64-66 9%     3 - 6 +9.1 +0.3 +8.7
  Dec 22, 2018 218   Green Bay W 80-75 59%     4 - 6 -0.9 +2.2 -3.2
  Dec 30, 2018 152   @ Miami (OH) L 67-70 25%     4 - 7 +0.7 -3.4 +4.1
  Jan 02, 2019 123   Drake W 82-77 2OT 35%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +5.6 -10.0 +14.5
  Jan 05, 2019 186   @ Illinois St. L 46-58 32%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -10.7 -22.2 +10.6
  Jan 08, 2019 125   Loyola Chicago W 67-48 35%     6 - 8 2 - 1 +19.4 -0.9 +21.3
  Jan 12, 2019 202   Indiana St. L 66-72 OT 57%     6 - 9 2 - 2 -11.3 -17.4 +6.9
  Jan 16, 2019 172   @ Missouri St. W 70-64 29%     7 - 9 3 - 2 +8.1 +2.3 +6.1
  Jan 19, 2019 186   Illinois St. L 70-78 53%     7 - 10 3 - 3 -12.3 -3.6 -8.7
  Jan 23, 2019 123   @ Drake L 66-78 18%     7 - 11 3 - 4 -5.9 -6.9 +1.5
  Jan 26, 2019 164   @ Northern Iowa L 74-81 28%     7 - 12 3 - 5 -4.5 +4.6 -9.2
  Jan 30, 2019 158   Bradley L 73-81 46%     7 - 13 3 - 6 -10.4 +2.5 -13.1
  Feb 02, 2019 200   Valparaiso W 64-53 57%     8 - 13 4 - 6 +5.7 -3.7 +10.3
  Feb 06, 2019 202   @ Indiana St. L 62-85 36%     8 - 14 4 - 7 -22.8 -13.2 -8.4
  Feb 09, 2019 143   @ Southern Illinois L 73-78 23%     8 - 15 4 - 8 -0.6 +3.5 -4.1
  Feb 13, 2019 172   Missouri St. L 56-68 50%     8 - 16 4 - 9 -15.5 -8.9 -8.5
  Feb 17, 2019 164   Northern Iowa L 58-73 48%     8 - 17 4 - 10 -18.1 -9.4 -10.1
  Feb 20, 2019 125   @ Loyola Chicago L 58-70 19%     8 - 18 4 - 11 -6.1 +1.9 -10.6
  Feb 23, 2019 158   @ Bradley L 61-63 26%     8 - 19 4 - 12 +1.1 -4.3 +5.3
  Feb 27, 2019 143   Southern Illinois L 91-98 41%     8 - 20 4 - 13 -8.1 +10.7 -18.2
  Mar 02, 2019 200   @ Valparaiso W 65-63 36%     9 - 20 5 - 13 +2.3 -3.4 +5.7
  Mar 07, 2019 186   Illinois St. L 60-65 42%     9 - 21 -6.5 -12.0 +5.4
Projected Record 9.0 - 21.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%