Pre-tourney Rankings
Valparaiso
Missouri Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#200
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#199
Pace63.9#307
Improvement+0.1#174

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#285
First Shot-3.5#278
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#211
Layup/Dunks+3.1#62
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#239
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#330
Freethrows+0.0#181
Improvement-4.3#329

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#127
First Shot+1.3#130
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#145
Layups/Dunks-0.5#187
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#135
Freethrows+1.4#66
Improvement+4.4#17
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 36.0 - 10.06.0 - 14.0
Quad 47.0 - 4.013.0 - 18.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2018 117   Western Kentucky L 71-83 27%     0 - 1 -8.2 +2.9 -11.3
  Nov 16, 2018 279   Monmouth W 64-53 66%     1 - 1 +4.3 -2.5 +7.8
  Nov 18, 2018 153   Wake Forest L 63-69 37%     1 - 2 -5.1 -3.8 -1.8
  Nov 21, 2018 329   SIU Edwardsville W 75-70 OT 87%     2 - 2 -9.4 -6.1 -3.4
  Nov 24, 2018 82   @ West Virginia L 76-88 15%     2 - 3 -3.3 +8.2 -11.7
  Nov 28, 2018 156   @ UNLV W 72-64 29%     3 - 3 +11.3 -8.5 +18.8
  Dec 02, 2018 312   UC Riverside W 82-73 81%     4 - 3 -3.0 +11.4 -13.3
  Dec 04, 2018 236   High Point L 53-55 67%     4 - 4 -9.1 -15.0 +5.6
  Dec 08, 2018 270   @ George Washington W 82-79 54%     5 - 4 -0.6 +13.5 -14.0
  Dec 17, 2018 134   Ball St. L 61-77 42%     5 - 5 -16.4 -9.1 -7.3
  Dec 19, 2018 78   @ Texas A&M L 49-71 14%     5 - 6 -13.0 -16.6 +2.6
  Jan 02, 2019 186   Illinois St. W 58-56 57%     6 - 6 1 - 0 -2.3 -12.3 +10.1
  Jan 05, 2019 172   @ Missouri St. W 82-66 33%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +18.1 +12.1 +6.3
  Jan 08, 2019 158   Bradley W 61-50 50%     8 - 6 3 - 0 +8.6 -6.5 +15.9
  Jan 12, 2019 143   @ Southern Illinois W 65-61 25%     9 - 6 4 - 0 +8.4 +6.8 +2.4
  Jan 15, 2019 125   @ Loyola Chicago L 54-71 21%     9 - 7 4 - 1 -11.1 -5.8 -8.1
  Jan 19, 2019 164   Northern Iowa W 75-66 52%     10 - 7 5 - 1 +5.9 +12.3 -5.2
  Jan 23, 2019 202   @ Indiana St. L 53-70 40%     10 - 8 5 - 2 -16.8 -9.2 -10.7
  Jan 26, 2019 123   Drake L 59-70 38%     10 - 9 5 - 3 -10.4 -15.5 +5.3
  Jan 29, 2019 172   Missouri St. L 54-55 OT 54%     10 - 10 5 - 4 -4.5 -13.0 +8.4
  Feb 02, 2019 223   @ Evansville L 53-64 43%     10 - 11 5 - 5 -11.7 -14.8 +2.3
  Feb 05, 2019 186   @ Illinois St. W 69-53 36%     11 - 11 6 - 5 +17.3 +2.9 +15.6
  Feb 10, 2019 125   Loyola Chicago L 51-56 39%     11 - 12 6 - 6 -4.6 -9.5 +3.7
  Feb 13, 2019 202   Indiana St. L 82-87 OT 61%     11 - 13 6 - 7 -10.3 +0.7 -10.6
  Feb 16, 2019 123   @ Drake L 79-84 21%     11 - 14 6 - 8 +1.1 +4.4 -3.0
  Feb 20, 2019 143   Southern Illinois W 55-52 45%     12 - 14 7 - 8 +1.9 -15.5 +17.5
  Feb 23, 2019 164   @ Northern Iowa L 53-64 32%     12 - 15 7 - 9 -8.5 -12.3 +2.9
  Feb 27, 2019 158   @ Bradley L 42-67 29%     12 - 16 7 - 10 -21.9 -21.3 -4.0
  Mar 02, 2019 223   Evansville L 63-65 64%     12 - 17 7 - 11 -8.3 -10.2 +1.9
  Mar 07, 2019 202   Indiana St. W 77-55 50%     13 - 17 +19.4 +5.0 +14.8
  Mar 08, 2019 125   Loyola Chicago L 54-67 29%     13 - 18 -9.9 -9.1 -2.5
Projected Record 13.0 - 18.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%