Pre-tourney Rankings
Fairfield
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#291
Expected Predictive Rating-10.8#322
Pace69.9#144
Improvement-1.4#254

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#316
First Shot-4.2#295
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#299
Layup/Dunks+3.1#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#108
Freethrows-4.3#350
Improvement-6.4#347

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#219
First Shot-2.5#242
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#82
Layups/Dunks-2.3#275
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#247
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#71
Freethrows-2.1#307
Improvement+4.9#10
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 20.0 - 1.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 31.0 - 4.01.0 - 6.0
Quad 48.0 - 16.09.0 - 22.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 10   @ Purdue L 57-90 1%     0 - 1 -12.5 -6.3 -7.4
  Nov 10, 2018 146   @ Bucknell W 60-58 14%     1 - 1 +6.3 -5.6 +12.1
  Nov 13, 2018 256   LIU Brooklyn L 87-89 53%     1 - 2 -10.3 +8.0 -18.3
  Nov 17, 2018 314   Wagner L 73-79 67%     1 - 3 -18.1 -4.9 -13.1
  Nov 23, 2018 292   Longwood L 65-67 51%     1 - 4 -9.8 -5.5 -4.5
  Nov 24, 2018 181   @ Seattle L 80-83 19%     1 - 5 -1.4 +3.6 -4.9
  Nov 25, 2018 304   Denver W 86-85 54%     2 - 5 -7.6 +9.2 -16.8
  Dec 01, 2018 242   @ Army L 60-63 30%     2 - 6 -5.2 -14.0 +9.0
  Dec 06, 2018 187   Oakland L 86-87 38%     2 - 7 -5.3 +5.7 -11.0
  Dec 09, 2018 122   @ Old Dominion L 69-79 10%     2 - 8 -3.8 +6.1 -10.4
  Dec 16, 2018 106   @ Boston College L 67-77 9%     2 - 9 -2.6 -7.9 +6.0
  Dec 22, 2018 341   @ New Hampshire W 63-57 66%     3 - 9 -5.9 -6.3 +0.7
  Jan 03, 2019 213   Rider L 82-83 42%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -6.6 +0.6 -7.1
  Jan 05, 2019 191   @ Iona L 87-94 21%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -6.2 +3.0 -8.5
  Jan 07, 2019 307   Niagara W 77-59 66%     4 - 11 1 - 2 +6.2 -8.1 +13.5
  Jan 10, 2019 305   St. Peter's W 60-57 65%     5 - 11 2 - 2 -8.4 -9.0 +1.0
  Jan 13, 2019 228   @ Quinnipiac L 78-80 26%     5 - 12 2 - 3 -3.0 +5.6 -8.7
  Jan 17, 2019 279   @ Monmouth L 57-74 36%     5 - 13 2 - 4 -20.9 -14.4 -6.3
  Jan 19, 2019 268   Canisius L 68-73 56%     5 - 14 2 - 5 -14.0 -12.0 -2.0
  Jan 24, 2019 250   Siena L 48-57 52%     5 - 15 2 - 6 -17.1 -25.7 +8.0
  Jan 27, 2019 191   Iona W 80-68 39%     6 - 15 3 - 6 +7.3 -1.5 +8.2
  Jan 31, 2019 316   @ Manhattan L 49-62 47%     6 - 16 3 - 7 -19.7 -16.7 -4.7
  Feb 02, 2019 277   @ Marist W 57-52 36%     7 - 16 4 - 7 +1.1 -15.1 +16.5
  Feb 04, 2019 250   @ Siena L 50-61 32%     7 - 17 4 - 8 -13.6 -11.7 -4.6
  Feb 09, 2019 279   Monmouth L 49-61 58%     7 - 18 4 - 9 -21.5 -22.2 +0.0
  Feb 15, 2019 268   @ Canisius L 68-72 35%     7 - 19 4 - 10 -7.5 -6.6 -1.0
  Feb 17, 2019 307   @ Niagara L 73-78 45%     7 - 20 4 - 11 -11.3 -10.7 -0.3
  Feb 24, 2019 316   Manhattan W 72-59 68%     8 - 20 5 - 11 +0.7 +15.7 -11.8
  Mar 01, 2019 277   Marist W 59-44 57%     9 - 20 6 - 11 +5.6 -11.1 +18.7
  Mar 03, 2019 305   @ St. Peter's L 52-62 43%     9 - 21 6 - 12 -15.8 -15.6 -1.4
  Mar 07, 2019 316   Manhattan L 53-57 58%     9 - 22 -13.5 -7.4 -7.1
Projected Record 9.0 - 22.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%