Pre-tourney Rankings
Army
Patriot League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#242
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#265
Pace73.5#70
Improvement+2.1#98

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#308
First Shot-2.9#269
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#340
Layup/Dunks+1.3#135
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#119
Freethrows-2.7#326
Improvement-0.6#213

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#150
First Shot-0.7#187
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#59
Layups/Dunks-1.2#230
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#204
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#201
Freethrows+1.1#96
Improvement+2.7#63
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 20.0 - 1.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 32.0 - 11.02.0 - 13.0
Quad 410.0 - 6.012.0 - 19.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 277   Marist W 73-69 67%     1 - 0 -5.4 -0.1 -5.1
  Nov 11, 2018 3   @ Duke L 72-94 1%     1 - 1 +3.3 +4.2 +1.5
  Nov 16, 2018 246   Sacred Heart L 78-79 51%     1 - 2 -6.1 -5.5 -0.5
  Nov 17, 2018 257   Umass Lowell L 85-92 52%     1 - 3 -12.6 -1.6 -10.3
  Nov 18, 2018 149   @ Brown L 66-86 20%     1 - 4 -16.1 -5.6 -9.0
  Nov 24, 2018 152   @ Miami (OH) L 55-85 20%     1 - 5 -26.3 -16.3 -9.3
  Nov 28, 2018 321   Binghamton W 67-56 79%     2 - 5 -2.5 -6.3 +4.9
  Dec 01, 2018 291   Fairfield W 63-60 70%     3 - 5 -7.3 -16.2 +8.7
  Dec 04, 2018 188   @ NJIT L 72-77 28%     3 - 6 -3.9 -2.6 -1.0
  Dec 08, 2018 232   @ Air Force W 66-61 36%     4 - 6 +3.7 -9.5 +13.1
  Dec 12, 2018 219   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 84-93 33%     4 - 7 -9.5 -0.8 -7.7
  Dec 22, 2018 307   Niagara L 66-78 74%     4 - 8 -23.8 -24.5 +2.2
  Jan 02, 2019 146   Bucknell L 63-64 36%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -2.3 -12.2 +10.0
  Jan 05, 2019 299   Lafayette W 77-69 72%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -2.9 -5.7 +2.6
  Jan 09, 2019 240   @ Boston University W 86-82 38%     6 - 9 2 - 1 +2.2 +4.8 -2.8
  Jan 12, 2019 273   @ Loyola Maryland L 64-66 45%     6 - 10 2 - 2 -5.6 -13.1 +7.5
  Jan 16, 2019 136   Colgate W 91-81 33%     7 - 10 3 - 2 +9.5 +13.2 -4.0
  Jan 19, 2019 281   Navy W 72-61 68%     8 - 10 4 - 2 +1.3 -1.6 +3.3
  Jan 23, 2019 243   Holy Cross W 76-57 61%     9 - 10 5 - 2 +11.2 +11.4 +2.9
  Jan 26, 2019 299   @ Lafayette W 69-63 51%     10 - 10 6 - 2 +0.7 -9.8 +10.4
  Jan 30, 2019 136   @ Colgate L 56-76 17%     10 - 11 6 - 3 -14.9 -10.2 -7.2
  Feb 02, 2019 175   Lehigh L 70-75 45%     10 - 12 6 - 4 -8.6 -8.8 +0.2
  Feb 06, 2019 243   @ Holy Cross L 42-56 39%     10 - 13 6 - 5 -16.2 -29.9 +12.9
  Feb 09, 2019 204   @ American L 68-71 31%     10 - 14 6 - 6 -2.8 -1.8 -1.1
  Feb 13, 2019 240   Boston University W 71-61 59%     11 - 14 7 - 6 +2.7 -5.0 +8.0
  Feb 16, 2019 281   @ Navy L 68-79 47%     11 - 15 7 - 7 -15.1 -6.8 -8.1
  Feb 20, 2019 175   @ Lehigh L 81-91 25%     11 - 16 7 - 8 -8.1 -1.7 -5.5
  Feb 24, 2019 204   American L 66-77 52%     11 - 17 7 - 9 -16.4 -8.5 -7.9
  Feb 27, 2019 273   Loyola Maryland W 79-69 66%     12 - 17 8 - 9 +0.8 +6.8 -5.2
  Mar 02, 2019 146   @ Bucknell L 61-62 19%     12 - 18 8 - 10 +3.3 -9.5 +12.8
  Mar 07, 2019 175   @ Lehigh L 70-75 25%     12 - 19 -3.1 -12.7 +10.2
Projected Record 12.0 - 19.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%