Pre-tourney Rankings
Lafayette
Patriot League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#299
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#288
Pace71.0#119
Improvement+3.0#64

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#240
First Shot+0.4#163
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#330
Layup/Dunks-3.1#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#127
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#31
Freethrows-2.4#316
Improvement+0.8#138

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#328
First Shot-5.9#325
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#211
Layups/Dunks-3.3#306
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#300
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#202
Freethrows-0.6#220
Improvement+2.2#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 20.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 34.0 - 7.04.0 - 10.0
Quad 45.0 - 10.09.0 - 20.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 305   @ St. Peter's L 86-93 OT 41%     0 - 1 -12.8 +3.2 -15.3
  Nov 10, 2018 216   @ La Salle W 77-76 23%     1 - 1 +0.8 +5.8 -5.0
  Nov 13, 2018 128   @ Penn L 61-91 10%     1 - 2 -24.3 -6.7 -17.9
  Nov 18, 2018 285   St. Francis Brooklyn L 72-84 56%     1 - 3 -21.7 -10.8 -9.7
  Nov 25, 2018 219   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 80-76 23%     2 - 3 +3.5 +7.3 -3.6
  Nov 28, 2018 215   Cornell L 58-63 OT 41%     2 - 4 -10.6 -16.3 +5.7
  Dec 02, 2018 246   Sacred Heart L 62-64 49%     2 - 5 -9.9 -17.4 +7.5
  Dec 05, 2018 107   @ Connecticut L 63-90 8%     2 - 6 -19.7 -9.9 -8.5
  Dec 08, 2018 228   @ Quinnipiac L 77-88 25%     2 - 7 -12.0 +0.5 -12.4
  Dec 21, 2018 173   Princeton L 79-81 33%     2 - 8 -5.5 +2.4 -7.7
  Jan 02, 2019 175   @ Lehigh L 83-86 17%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -1.1 +8.4 -9.5
  Jan 05, 2019 242   @ Army L 69-77 28%     2 - 10 0 - 2 -10.2 -4.0 -5.9
  Jan 09, 2019 273   Loyola Maryland W 85-70 54%     3 - 10 1 - 2 +5.8 +3.4 +1.9
  Jan 12, 2019 243   @ Holy Cross L 70-77 29%     3 - 11 1 - 3 -9.2 +5.7 -16.0
  Jan 16, 2019 281   Navy L 77-85 56%     3 - 12 1 - 4 -17.7 +0.5 -18.1
  Jan 19, 2019 204   @ American W 84-79 OT 22%     4 - 12 2 - 4 +5.2 +4.6 +0.1
  Jan 23, 2019 136   @ Colgate L 47-57 11%     4 - 13 2 - 5 -4.9 -22.9 +17.3
  Jan 26, 2019 242   Army L 63-69 49%     4 - 14 2 - 6 -13.7 -11.8 -1.8
  Jan 30, 2019 175   Lehigh L 86-93 OT 33%     4 - 15 2 - 7 -10.6 -4.0 -5.6
  Feb 02, 2019 146   Bucknell L 66-94 26%     4 - 16 2 - 8 -29.3 -14.3 -12.2
  Feb 06, 2019 240   @ Boston University W 79-72 27%     5 - 16 3 - 8 +5.2 +13.0 -6.9
  Feb 10, 2019 243   Holy Cross W 69-67 49%     6 - 16 4 - 8 -5.8 -4.5 -1.2
  Feb 13, 2019 281   @ Navy W 80-74 35%     7 - 16 5 - 8 +1.9 +5.6 -3.7
  Feb 17, 2019 273   @ Loyola Maryland W 69-64 33%     8 - 16 6 - 8 +1.4 -7.5 +8.8
  Feb 20, 2019 204   American W 70-68 39%     9 - 16 7 - 8 -3.4 -3.7 +0.4
  Feb 24, 2019 146   @ Bucknell L 76-118 13%     9 - 17 7 - 9 -37.7 -0.2 -34.7
  Feb 27, 2019 240   Boston University L 82-84 47%     9 - 18 7 - 10 -9.3 +4.9 -14.3
  Mar 02, 2019 136   Colgate L 70-76 23%     9 - 19 7 - 11 -6.5 -4.6 -2.0
  Mar 05, 2019 243   Holy Cross L 74-79 49%     9 - 20 -12.8 -3.8 -8.9
Projected Record 9.0 - 20.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%