Pre-tourney Rankings
Idaho St.
Big Sky
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.0#324
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#296
Pace67.7#208
Improvement-4.3#326

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#218
First Shot-1.0#206
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#213
Layup/Dunks-3.3#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#154
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#60
Freethrows-1.5#287
Improvement-2.1#275

Defense
Total Defense-9.4#349
First Shot-7.8#351
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#312
Layups/Dunks-1.1#223
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#343
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#292
Freethrows-0.2#194
Improvement-2.2#281
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 20.0 - 2.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 32.0 - 5.02.0 - 8.0
Quad 47.0 - 11.09.0 - 19.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 1   @ Gonzaga L 79-120 0.3%    0 - 1 -14.5 +6.9 -16.4
  Nov 10, 2018 131   @ Boise St. W 72-70 7%     1 - 1 +7.4 +0.5 +7.0
  Nov 15, 2018 198   Pacific L 76-83 29%     1 - 2 -12.1 +6.8 -19.3
  Nov 26, 2018 154   @ Pepperdine L 82-97 9%     1 - 3 -11.4 +6.1 -16.8
  Dec 07, 2018 180   @ Santa Clara W 68-66 12%     2 - 3 +3.7 +0.3 +3.5
  Dec 19, 2018 101   @ Utah Valley L 77-88 5%     2 - 4 -3.4 +8.3 -11.8
  Dec 22, 2018 170   @ UC Santa Barbara L 65-84 11%     2 - 5 -16.9 -2.9 -15.3
  Dec 29, 2018 345   @ Idaho W 72-55 56%     3 - 5 1 - 0 +4.5 -6.2 +11.3
  Dec 31, 2018 227   @ Eastern Washington L 55-65 17%     3 - 6 1 - 1 -10.9 -11.9 -0.2
  Jan 03, 2019 280   Southern Utah W 88-68 44%     4 - 6 2 - 1 +10.5 +6.6 +2.6
  Jan 05, 2019 300   Northern Arizona L 69-81 50%     4 - 7 2 - 2 -22.9 -5.5 -18.4
  Jan 12, 2019 272   @ Sacramento St. W 72-70 24%     5 - 7 3 - 2 -1.6 +5.0 -6.5
  Jan 17, 2019 212   @ Weber St. L 59-76 15%     5 - 8 3 - 3 -17.0 -13.2 -4.0
  Jan 21, 2019 194   Northern Colorado L 53-77 28%     5 - 9 3 - 4 -28.8 -13.9 -18.3
  Jan 24, 2019 130   @ Montana L 69-80 7%     5 - 10 3 - 5 -5.5 -1.7 -3.8
  Jan 26, 2019 241   @ Montana St. L 84-104 20%     5 - 11 3 - 6 -21.9 +3.1 -24.5
  Jan 31, 2019 272   Sacramento St. L 58-74 43%     5 - 12 3 - 7 -25.2 -15.4 -10.4
  Feb 02, 2019 275   Portland St. W 69-67 44%     6 - 12 4 - 7 -7.4 +3.0 -10.0
  Feb 07, 2019 300   @ Northern Arizona W 81-79 29%     7 - 12 5 - 7 -3.4 +12.2 -15.4
  Feb 09, 2019 280   @ Southern Utah L 72-78 25%     7 - 13 5 - 8 -10.0 -1.0 -9.0
  Feb 14, 2019 241   Montana St. L 76-84 37%     7 - 14 5 - 9 -15.5 -7.4 -7.8
  Feb 16, 2019 130   Montana L 68-80 15%     7 - 15 5 - 10 -12.0 -7.6 -4.2
  Feb 21, 2019 275   @ Portland St. L 93-99 25%     7 - 16 5 - 11 -9.9 +7.1 -16.4
  Mar 02, 2019 194   @ Northern Colorado L 62-71 14%     7 - 17 5 - 12 -8.3 -7.2 -1.4
  Mar 04, 2019 212   Weber St. W 78-74 30%     8 - 17 6 - 12 -1.5 +7.2 -8.5
  Mar 07, 2019 227   Eastern Washington L 62-91 33%     8 - 18 6 - 13 -35.5 -13.4 -22.4
  Mar 09, 2019 345   Idaho W 70-68 75%     9 - 18 7 - 13 -16.1 -10.0 -6.0
  Mar 13, 2019 280   Southern Utah L 80-94 34%     9 - 19 -20.8 +0.4 -20.3
Projected Record 9.0 - 19.0 7.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%