Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville St.
Ohio Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#129
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#121
Pace68.8#174
Improvement+1.6#117

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#169
First Shot-2.1#250
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#30
Layup/Dunks+0.5#166
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#326
Freethrows-1.1#257
Improvement+2.5#71

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#103
First Shot+1.2#131
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#52
Layups/Dunks+2.0#88
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#179
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#222
Freethrows+0.1#177
Improvement-1.0#230
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 2.01.0 - 2.0
Quad 22.0 - 2.03.0 - 4.0
Quad 32.0 - 3.05.0 - 7.0
Quad 417.0 - 2.022.0 - 9.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 159   @ Samford L 72-92 50%     0 - 1 -17.0 -9.0 -5.6
  Nov 12, 2018 42   @ Penn St. L 61-76 16%     0 - 2 -1.5 -1.1 -1.0
  Nov 14, 2018 158   @ Bradley L 65-74 49%     0 - 3 -5.9 -1.4 -4.8
  Nov 20, 2018 283   Western Carolina W 84-53 82%     1 - 3 +24.1 -1.0 +22.4
  Nov 21, 2018 189   North Florida W 83-78 67%     2 - 3 +3.2 +8.0 -4.8
  Dec 01, 2018 301   @ North Alabama W 76-65 79%     3 - 3 +5.5 -1.3 +6.2
  Dec 08, 2018 353   @ Delaware St. W 81-54 97%     4 - 3 +8.3 -5.0 +10.9
  Dec 12, 2018 88   @ Wichita St. L 65-69 29%     4 - 4 +4.5 -4.6 +9.3
  Dec 15, 2018 223   @ Evansville W 55-50 64%     5 - 4 +4.3 -16.0 +20.4
  Dec 18, 2018 301   North Alabama W 64-50 90%     6 - 4 +3.0 -6.0 +10.1
  Dec 22, 2018 82   @ West Virginia L 72-74 29%     6 - 5 +6.7 +4.9 +1.8
  Jan 03, 2019 54   @ Belmont W 83-73 20%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +21.8 +14.7 +7.3
  Jan 05, 2019 311   @ Tennessee St. W 69-62 81%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +0.6 -3.4 +4.3
  Jan 10, 2019 313   Eastern Illinois W 69-62 91%     9 - 5 3 - 0 -5.1 -7.8 +3.1
  Jan 12, 2019 329   SIU Edwardsville W 90-54 94%     10 - 5 4 - 0 +21.6 +7.6 +13.1
  Jan 17, 2019 54   Belmont W 91-80 OT 37%     11 - 5 5 - 0 +17.2 +2.2 +13.1
  Jan 19, 2019 326   Tennessee Tech W 65-48 93%     12 - 5 6 - 0 +3.0 -7.5 +11.1
  Jan 24, 2019 260   @ Eastern Kentucky L 70-88 72%     12 - 6 6 - 1 -21.0 -13.3 -5.1
  Jan 26, 2019 262   @ Morehead St. W 77-71 72%     13 - 6 7 - 1 +2.9 +5.1 -1.9
  Jan 31, 2019 56   Murray St. W 88-68 39%     14 - 6 8 - 1 +25.6 +15.0 +10.2
  Feb 02, 2019 140   Austin Peay L 71-74 64%     14 - 7 8 - 2 -3.9 -9.8 +6.1
  Feb 07, 2019 297   @ Tennessee Martin L 64-66 78%     14 - 8 8 - 3 -7.3 -8.6 +1.1
  Feb 09, 2019 317   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 81-64 82%     15 - 8 9 - 3 +10.2 +4.6 +5.6
  Feb 14, 2019 326   @ Tennessee Tech W 67-57 85%     16 - 8 10 - 3 +1.6 -2.8 +4.7
  Feb 16, 2019 311   Tennessee St. W 84-65 91%     17 - 8 11 - 3 +7.0 +9.6 -1.7
  Feb 21, 2019 262   Morehead St. W 65-64 86%     18 - 8 12 - 3 -7.7 -10.6 +3.0
  Feb 23, 2019 260   Eastern Kentucky W 104-101 2OT 86%     19 - 8 13 - 3 -5.6 +7.3 -13.5
  Feb 28, 2019 313   @ Eastern Illinois W 89-84 2OT 81%     20 - 8 14 - 3 -1.5 -2.8 +0.5
  Mar 02, 2019 329   @ SIU Edwardsville W 97-72 86%     21 - 8 15 - 3 +16.1 +17.1 -1.6
  Mar 07, 2019 297   Tennessee Martin W 88-81 85%     22 - 8 -1.1 +5.5 -6.7
  Mar 08, 2019 56   Murray St. L 74-76 30%     22 - 9 +6.4 +2.6 +3.8
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%