Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#259
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#234
Pace69.4#153
Improvement+4.1#33

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#146
First Shot-1.2#216
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#33
Layup/Dunks+0.7#158
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#175
Freethrows+0.7#127
Improvement+3.8#34

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#333
First Shot-5.0#313
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#321
Layups/Dunks-4.8#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#214
Freethrows+0.2#174
Improvement+0.3#167
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 20.0 - 1.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 31.0 - 3.01.0 - 7.0
Quad 415.0 - 7.016.0 - 14.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 22   @ Buffalo L 67-82 3%     0 - 1 +2.2 -3.0 +6.4
  Nov 09, 2018 338   Morgan St. W 80-60 85%     1 - 1 +3.3 -0.6 +3.6
  Nov 16, 2018 108   @ UCLA L 58-95 12%     1 - 2 -29.7 -15.8 -11.6
  Nov 19, 2018 4   @ North Carolina L 76-101 1%     1 - 3 -0.7 +1.4 +2.2
  Nov 24, 2018 12   @ Virginia Tech L 37-75 2%     1 - 4 -18.9 -25.6 +4.7
  Nov 30, 2018 307   Niagara W 79-75 72%     2 - 4 -7.8 -9.9 +1.8
  Dec 04, 2018 204   @ American L 82-95 28%     2 - 5 -12.8 +7.3 -19.8
  Dec 09, 2018 254   @ Delaware L 83-88 38%     2 - 6 -7.7 +15.3 -23.6
  Dec 22, 2018 175   @ Lehigh L 76-88 23%     2 - 7 -10.1 -4.9 -4.3
  Jan 03, 2019 327   Mount St. Mary's W 80-69 79%     3 - 7 1 - 0 -3.1 -1.6 -1.9
  Jan 05, 2019 219   Fairleigh Dickinson L 61-79 51%     3 - 8 1 - 1 -24.0 -16.6 -7.8
  Jan 10, 2019 256   @ LIU Brooklyn W 74-67 39%     4 - 8 2 - 1 +4.2 -4.8 +8.5
  Jan 12, 2019 285   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 68-72 44%     4 - 9 2 - 2 -8.2 -2.1 -6.2
  Jan 19, 2019 325   @ Central Connecticut St. W 80-69 60%     5 - 9 3 - 2 +2.7 +3.8 -1.0
  Jan 21, 2019 322   @ Bryant L 67-76 59%     5 - 10 3 - 3 -17.0 -8.4 -9.0
  Jan 24, 2019 314   Wagner L 79-83 73%     5 - 11 3 - 4 -16.1 +13.1 -29.8
  Jan 26, 2019 246   Sacred Heart W 79-78 58%     6 - 11 4 - 4 -6.9 +0.4 -7.3
  Jan 31, 2019 274   @ Robert Morris W 76-73 42%     7 - 11 5 - 4 -0.7 +8.2 -8.7
  Feb 02, 2019 327   @ Mount St. Mary's W 72-63 61%     8 - 11 6 - 4 +0.5 -1.1 +1.9
  Feb 07, 2019 325   Central Connecticut St. W 90-85 78%     9 - 11 7 - 4 -8.8 +2.3 -11.6
  Feb 09, 2019 322   Bryant W 84-75 77%     10 - 11 8 - 4 -4.6 +6.1 -10.4
  Feb 14, 2019 219   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 87-62 31%     11 - 11 9 - 4 +24.5 +11.7 +13.0
  Feb 16, 2019 274   Robert Morris W 72-69 63%     12 - 11 10 - 4 -6.2 -1.3 -4.9
  Feb 21, 2019 285   St. Francis Brooklyn W 81-71 65%     13 - 11 11 - 4 +0.3 +3.0 -3.0
  Feb 23, 2019 256   LIU Brooklyn L 66-69 60%     13 - 12 11 - 5 -11.3 -3.3 -8.4
  Feb 28, 2019 314   @ Wagner W 83-72 53%     14 - 12 12 - 5 +4.4 +9.8 -5.3
  Mar 02, 2019 246   @ Sacred Heart L 84-94 37%     14 - 13 12 - 6 -12.4 +1.6 -13.2
  Mar 06, 2019 322   Bryant W 67-63 77%     15 - 13 -9.6 -9.1 -0.2
  Mar 09, 2019 256   LIU Brooklyn W 72-64 60%     16 - 13 -0.3 +4.0 -3.5
  Mar 12, 2019 219   Fairleigh Dickinson L 76-85 51%     16 - 14 -15.0 +4.0 -19.8
Projected Record 16.0 - 14.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%