Preseason Rankings
Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.8#335
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace61.2#341
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-8.6#344
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#284
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 6.8% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 17.4% 31.2% 11.8%
.500 or above in Conference 50.8% 63.4% 45.7%
Conference Champion 6.5% 10.5% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 10.8% 5.8% 12.8%
First Four3.1% 5.4% 2.2%
First Round1.8% 3.2% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Monroe (Home) - 28.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.30.0 - 0.3
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.3
Quad 20.1 - 2.70.1 - 4.0
Quad 30.7 - 4.80.8 - 8.8
Quad 49.7 - 9.610.5 - 18.5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 210   Louisiana Monroe L 58-67 29%    
  Nov 10, 2018 119   @ St. Bonaventure L 58-73 5%    
  Nov 16, 2018 95   @ Boise St. L 56-73 4%    
  Nov 19, 2018 258   Sam Houston St. L 60-66 28%    
  Nov 20, 2018 350   Chicago St. W 70-65 66%    
  Nov 24, 2018 121   @ San Diego L 56-71 5%    
  Nov 27, 2018 45   @ San Diego St. L 54-76 2%    
  Nov 29, 2018 217   @ Santa Clara L 57-66 15%    
  Dec 08, 2018 234   @ Pepperdine L 62-70 18%    
  Dec 15, 2018 151   @ Murray St. L 57-70 9%    
  Dec 22, 2018 219   @ Central Michigan L 62-70 16%    
  Jan 05, 2019 349   @ Alabama A&M W 64-60 53%    
  Jan 07, 2019 325   @ Alabama St. L 65-67 35%    
  Jan 12, 2019 346   Alcorn St. W 65-62 70%    
  Jan 14, 2019 343   Southern W 63-61 66%    
  Jan 19, 2019 297   @ Prairie View L 66-70 27%    
  Jan 21, 2019 243   @ Texas Southern L 65-72 19%    
  Jan 26, 2019 296   @ Grambling St. L 65-69 27%    
  Feb 02, 2019 344   Mississippi Valley W 67-65 67%    
  Feb 04, 2019 332   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 63-64 59%    
  Feb 09, 2019 346   @ Alcorn St. W 65-62 50%    
  Feb 11, 2019 343   @ Southern W 63-61 48%    
  Feb 16, 2019 297   Prairie View L 66-70 47%    
  Feb 18, 2019 243   Texas Southern L 65-72 36%    
  Feb 23, 2019 296   Grambling St. L 65-69 45%    
  Mar 02, 2019 344   @ Mississippi Valley W 67-65 47%    
  Mar 04, 2019 332   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 63-64 39%    
  Mar 07, 2019 349   Alabama A&M W 64-60 71%    
  Mar 09, 2019 325   Alabama St. L 65-67 54%    
Projected Record 10.5 - 18.5 8.6 - 9.4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.9 1.7 0.9 0.6 0.1 6.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 2.7 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.0 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.9 3.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.4 3.5 0.8 0.1 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.5 3.1 0.7 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.7 5.2 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 3.1 5.0 2.5 0.2 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.9 3.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 2.9 1.5 0.1 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.1 1.6 0.6 0.1 6.9 10th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.5 5.3 7.1 9.2 10.3 11.0 11.6 10.0 9.3 7.0 5.5 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 96.7% 0.9    0.8 0.1
15-3 76.8% 1.7    1.2 0.4 0.0
14-4 52.5% 1.9    0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 18.3% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 6.6% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.5% 6.5 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 72.2% 72.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.6% 52.8% 52.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3
16-2 0.9% 54.8% 54.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4
15-3 2.2% 31.0% 31.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.5
14-4 3.6% 16.7% 16.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6 3.0
13-5 5.5% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.5 5.1
12-6 7.0% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 6.6
11-7 9.3% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.3 9.0
10-8 10.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 9.8
9-9 11.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 11.5
8-10 11.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.0
7-11 10.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.3
6-12 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.2
5-13 7.1% 7.1
4-14 5.3% 5.3
3-15 3.5% 3.5
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.5 96.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%