Preseason Rankings
Lamar
Southland
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#227
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.4#196
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#246
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#221
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.2% 32.7% 20.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 56.7% 78.8% 52.3%
.500 or above in Conference 73.7% 84.6% 71.6%
Conference Champion 10.6% 16.4% 9.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 0.7% 2.9%
First Four9.2% 8.7% 9.3%
First Round17.7% 28.9% 15.4%
Second Round0.9% 2.2% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Tech (Away) - 16.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.90.0 - 0.9
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.60.1 - 1.5
Quad 20.2 - 1.30.3 - 2.8
Quad 31.9 - 3.92.1 - 6.7
Quad 412.1 - 6.114.2 - 12.8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 113   @ Georgia Tech L 63-70 17%    
  Nov 11, 2018 290   @ East Carolina W 72-69 50%    
  Nov 17, 2018 297   Prairie View W 76-72 73%    
  Nov 23, 2018 311   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-74 57%    
  Nov 27, 2018 56   @ SMU L 60-73 8%    
  Dec 01, 2018 323   @ Rice W 73-67 60%    
  Dec 04, 2018 37   @ Houston L 64-79 6%    
  Dec 13, 2018 204   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 65-66 36%    
  Dec 19, 2018 243   Texas Southern W 76-75 63%    
  Jan 02, 2019 312   @ Houston Baptist W 80-75 57%    
  Jan 05, 2019 309   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-66 75%    
  Jan 09, 2019 292   New Orleans W 69-66 70%    
  Jan 12, 2019 303   @ Central Arkansas W 78-74 53%    
  Jan 16, 2019 236   @ SE Louisiana W 69-68 41%    
  Jan 23, 2019 330   Incarnate Word W 76-68 81%    
  Jan 26, 2019 258   @ Sam Houston St. W 69-67 46%    
  Jan 30, 2019 263   @ Nicholls St. W 76-74 46%    
  Feb 02, 2019 304   @ McNeese St. W 75-71 54%    
  Feb 06, 2019 230   Abilene Christian W 71-70 61%    
  Feb 09, 2019 105   @ Stephen F. Austin L 68-76 19%    
  Feb 13, 2019 328   Northwestern St. W 73-66 80%    
  Feb 16, 2019 258   Sam Houston St. W 69-67 65%    
  Feb 20, 2019 330   @ Incarnate Word W 76-68 66%    
  Feb 23, 2019 309   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-66 55%    
  Feb 27, 2019 312   Houston Baptist W 80-75 74%    
  Mar 02, 2019 105   Stephen F. Austin L 68-76 34%    
  Mar 09, 2019 304   McNeese St. W 75-71 73%    
Projected Record 14.2 - 12.8 10.5 - 7.5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 3.5 2.7 1.3 0.3 10.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.5 4.5 2.4 0.4 14.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.2 4.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 13.4 3rd
4th 0.3 2.5 5.3 3.3 0.7 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.9 2.8 0.4 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 4.0 3.4 0.7 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.3 3.6 0.6 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.3 1.8 3.2 0.8 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.6 1.2 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.3 0.1 4.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.8 2.9 4.6 6.5 8.9 10.6 11.8 11.7 11.3 10.0 7.6 6.0 3.2 1.3 0.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.3    1.2 0.1
16-2 86.0% 2.7    2.0 0.7 0.0
15-3 58.6% 3.5    2.0 1.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 24.8% 1.9    0.7 0.9 0.2 0.1
13-5 8.3% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 6.4 3.3 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 98.5% 98.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 1.3% 75.9% 75.8% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.2%
16-2 3.2% 67.3% 67.3% 14.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 1.0
15-3 6.0% 58.9% 58.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.0 2.5
14-4 7.6% 45.8% 45.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 1.7 4.1
13-5 10.0% 37.2% 37.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.6 6.3
12-6 11.3% 27.4% 27.4% 15.9 0.1 0.3 2.7 8.2
11-7 11.7% 17.8% 17.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.0 9.6
10-8 11.8% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 0.0 1.5 10.2
9-9 10.6% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.8 9.9
8-10 8.9% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.4 8.5
7-11 6.5% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 6.3
6-12 4.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.6
5-13 2.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.9
4-14 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-15 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 22.2% 22.2% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 5.3 13.3 77.8 0.0%