IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.6	#309
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.8	#185
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.0	#333

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.6	#231

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.0%	6.7%	2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.6	15.8

.500 or above	21.7%	29.9%	8.6%
.500 or above in Conference	41.2%	48.3%	29.7%
Conference Champion	2.4%	3.3%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	12.0%	9.1%	16.6%

First Four	2.9%	3.7%	1.7%
First Round	3.4%	4.7%	1.4%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Home) - 61.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.1	0.0 - 1.1
Quad 1b	0.0 - 0.6	0.0 - 1.7
Quad 2	0.1 - 1.5	0.2 - 3.2
Quad 3	1.4 - 5.4	1.5 - 8.6
Quad 4	8.6 - 8.2	10.2 - 16.8

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 12, 2018	311	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	75-74	62%
Nov 16, 2018	256	@ Texas Arlington	L	70-73	28%
Nov 17, 2018	131	UC Davis	L	61-72	16%
Nov 26, 2018	311	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	W	75-74	41%
Dec 02, 2018	9	@ Tennessee	L	55-80	1%
Dec 05, 2018	203	Texas St.	L	60-66	39%
Dec 20, 2018	158	Texas San Antonio	L	69-78	29%
Dec 22, 2018	141	@ Louisiana Tech	L	64-74	13%
Dec 29, 2018	74	@ Oklahoma St.	L	62-78	6%
Jan 02, 2019	303	Central Arkansas	L	74-75	58%
Jan 05, 2019	227	@ Lamar	L	66-71	25%
Jan 09, 2019	328	@ Northwestern St.	W	69-66	48%
Jan 16, 2019	258	@ Sam Houston St.	L	65-68	30%
Jan 19, 2019	292	New Orleans	L	66-67	56%
Jan 23, 2019	263	Nicholls St.	L	71-74	50%
Jan 30, 2019	230	@ Abilene Christian	L	66-71	26%
Feb 02, 2019	312	@ Houston Baptist	W	76-75	40%
Feb 06, 2019	236	SE Louisiana	L	64-68	46%
Feb 09, 2019	330	Incarnate Word	W	72-69	68%
Feb 13, 2019	258	Sam Houston St.	L	65-68	50%
Feb 16, 2019	292	@ New Orleans	L	66-67	37%
Feb 20, 2019	105	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	64-77	10%
Feb 23, 2019	227	Lamar	L	66-71	45%
Feb 27, 2019	230	Abilene Christian	L	66-71	44%
Mar 02, 2019	330	@ Incarnate Word	W	72-69	50%
Mar 06, 2019	304	@ McNeese St.	L	70-71	39%
Mar 09, 2019	312	Houston Baptist	W	76-75	60%
Projected Record						10.2 - 16.8	7.8 - 10.2

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.1	1.9	1.5	0.5	0.2	0.0			5.5	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.5	2.7	1.5	0.4	0.1					6.4	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	1.8	3.1	1.6	0.3	0.0						7.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	1.9	4.1	1.9	0.3	0.0							8.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.0	1.4	4.1	2.5	0.4	0.0								8.4	6th
7th							0.0	1.0	4.1	3.0	0.5	0.0									8.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	0.5	3.3	4.2	1.1	0.1										9.2	8th
9th						0.4	2.8	4.5	1.4	0.2											9.2	9th
10th				0.0	0.4	2.3	4.6	2.3	0.2	0.0											9.7	10th
11th			0.0	0.5	2.6	4.3	2.1	0.3	0.0												9.7	11th
12th		0.1	0.6	2.2	3.3	2.1	0.3	0.0													8.5	12th
13th	0.4	1.1	2.2	2.0	1.1	0.3	0.0														7.2	13th

Total	0.4	1.1	2.8	4.7	7.4	9.5	10.4	11.4	11.2	10.5	9.1	7.2	5.7	4.1	2.4	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	99.8%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	74.2%	0.5		0.3	0.1	0.0
15-3	52.7%	0.7		0.4	0.3	0.1
14-4	21.1%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	10.0%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.4%	2.4		1.1	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																		0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
17-1	0.2%		71.0%	71.0%		13.8											0.0			0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.7%		57.3%	57.3%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3
15-3	1.3%		34.4%	34.4%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.9
14-4	2.4%		34.1%	34.1%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	1.6
13-5	4.1%		21.7%	21.7%		15.7															0.0	0.3	0.6	3.2
12-6	5.7%		13.9%	13.9%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	4.9
11-7	7.2%		8.6%	8.6%		16.0																0.0	0.6	6.6
10-8	9.1%		4.7%	4.7%		16.0																0.0	0.4	8.7
9-9	10.5%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.3	10.2
8-10	11.2%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	11.1
7-11	11.4%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
6-12	10.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.3
5-13	9.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.5
4-14	7.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
3-15	4.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.7
2-16	2.8%																							2.8
1-17	1.1%																							1.1
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		5.0%	5.0%	0.0%	15.7											0.0		0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1	3.6	95.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%