Projected NCAA Tournament Seeding
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20

Using new selection methodology as of 2019 offseason

View: Probabilistic Seeding


Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
1  Virginia At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  Duke Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  North Carolina At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  Gonzaga At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Michigan St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Kentucky At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Tennessee At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Michigan At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Houston At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  LSU At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Texas Tech At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Florida St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Kansas At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Purdue At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Wisconsin At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Virginia Tech At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Kansas St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Auburn Auto 100.0% 100.0%
5  Mississippi St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Iowa St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
6  Marquette At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Wofford Auto 100.0% 100.0%
6  Buffalo Auto 100.0% 100.0%
6  Maryland At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
7  Villanova Auto 100.0% 100.0%
7  Cincinnati Auto 100.0% 100.0%
7  Louisville At-Large 99.7% 99.7% 99.7%
7  Nevada At-Large 97.1% 97.1% 97.1%
8  Iowa At-Large 97.7% 97.7% 97.7%
8  Baylor At-Large 95.8% 95.8% 95.8%
8  Seton Hall At-Large 98.8% 98.8% 98.8%
8  Minnesota At-Large 95.3% 95.3% 95.3%
Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
9  Oklahoma At-Large 86.9% 86.9% 86.9%
9  Washington At-Large 91.3% 91.3% 91.3%
9  Utah St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
9  Central Florida At-Large 90.2% 90.2% 90.2%
10  Syracuse At-Large 83.8% 83.8% 83.8%
10  Mississippi At-Large 76.2% 76.2% 76.2%
10  Virginia Commonwealth At-Large 72.8% 72.8% 72.8%
10  TCU At-Large 61.9% 61.9% 61.9%
11  Arizona St. At-Large 72.0% 72.0% 72.0%
11  Ohio St. At-Large 51.9% 51.9% 51.9%
11  Florida At-Large 60.7% 60.7% 60.7%
11  St. John's At-Large 42.5% 42.5% 42.5%
11  Temple At-Large 55.3% 55.3% 55.3%
11  St. Mary's Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Oregon Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  New Mexico St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Murray St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  UC Irvine Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Liberty Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Northeastern Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Georgia St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Old Dominion Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Saint Louis Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Yale Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Vermont Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Montana Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Northern Kentucky Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Colgate Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Abilene Christian Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Bradley Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Gardner-Webb Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  North Dakota St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Prairie View Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Iona Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Fairleigh Dickinson Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  NC Central Auto 100.0% 100.0%



Bubble Teams - Last at Large Teams

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Syracuse 83.8% 83.8% 83.8%
Mississippi 76.2% 76.2% 76.2%
Virginia Commonwealth 72.8% 72.8% 72.8%
Arizona St. 72.0% 72.0% 72.0%
TCU 61.9% 61.9% 61.9%
Florida 60.7% 60.7% 60.7%
Temple 55.3% 55.3% 55.3%
Ohio St. 51.9% 51.9% 51.9%
St. John's 42.5% 42.5% 42.5%


Bubble Teams - First Teams Out

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
North Carolina St. 42.0% 42.0% 42.0%
Clemson 40.8% 40.8% 40.8%
Belmont 40.3% 40.3% 40.3%
Creighton 38.3% 38.3% 38.3%
Texas 31.9% 31.9% 31.9%
Alabama 30.7% 30.7% 30.7%
Indiana 30.4% 30.4% 30.4%
Georgetown 26.5% 26.5% 26.5%
UNC Greensboro 26.3% 26.3% 26.3%
Xavier 17.6% 17.6% 17.6%
Furman 12.9% 12.9% 12.9%
Toledo 9.9% 9.9% 9.9%
Lipscomb 8.6% 8.6% 8.6%
Memphis 6.6% 6.6% 6.6%
Providence 3.8% 3.8% 3.8%
Davidson 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Dayton 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Colorado 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Fresno St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Wichita St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Arkansas 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
BYU 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Hofstra 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Nebraska 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Francisco 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Diego St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%