Projected NCAA Tournament Seeding
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21

Last Updated: Mar 14, 2020
Compare with others at bracketmatrix.com

View: Probabilistic Seeding


Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
1  Kansas Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Gonzaga Auto 100.0% 100.0%
1  Baylor At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  Dayton Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  San Diego St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Florida St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Creighton Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Villanova At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Michigan St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Duke At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Maryland At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Seton Hall At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Kentucky Auto 100.0% 100.0%
4  Oregon Auto 100.0% 100.0%
4  Louisville At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
4  Wisconsin Auto 100.0% 100.0%
5  Butler At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Ohio St. At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
5  Auburn At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  West Virginia At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  BYU At-Large 99.1% 99.1% 99.1%
6  Michigan At-Large 99.6% 99.6% 99.6%
6  Penn St. At-Large 99.5% 99.5% 99.5%
6  Iowa At-Large 99.2% 99.2% 99.2%
7  Virginia At-Large 99.7% 99.7% 99.7%
7  Providence At-Large 98.9% 98.9% 98.9%
7  Illinois At-Large 97.6% 97.6% 97.6%
7  Houston At-Large 95.0% 95.0% 95.0%
8  LSU At-Large 95.6% 95.6% 95.6%
8  Rutgers At-Large 91.4% 91.4% 91.4%
8  Arizona At-Large 94.9% 94.9% 94.9%
8  Colorado At-Large 95.9% 95.9% 95.9%
Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
9  St. Mary's At-Large 96.1% 96.1% 96.1%
9  Oklahoma At-Large 92.1% 92.1% 92.1%
9  Florida At-Large 85.8% 85.8% 85.8%
9  USC At-Large 88.0% 88.0% 88.0%
10  Arizona St. At-Large 86.2% 86.2% 86.2%
10  Marquette At-Large 90.8% 90.8% 90.8%
10  Wichita St. At-Large 83.0% 83.0% 83.0%
10  Cincinnati Auto 100.0% 100.0%
11  Indiana At-Large 74.5% 74.5% 74.5%
11  Richmond At-Large 62.9% 62.9% 62.9%
11  Texas Tech At-Large 58.3% 58.3% 58.3%
11  Texas At-Large 50.1% 50.1% 50.1%
11  North Carolina St. At-Large 50.2% 50.2% 50.2%
11  Utah St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  East Tennessee St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Stephen F. Austin Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Akron Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Yale Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Vermont Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Liberty Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  North Texas Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Hofstra Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  New Mexico St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Bradley Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Eastern Washington Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Belmont Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Arkansas Little Rock Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  North Dakota St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  UC Irvine Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Northern Kentucky Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Winthrop Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Siena Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Boston University Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Prairie View Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Robert Morris Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  NC Central Auto 100.0% 100.0%



Bubble Teams - Last at Large Teams

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Wichita St. 83.0% 83.0% 83.0%
Indiana 74.5% 74.5% 74.5%
Richmond 62.9% 62.9% 62.9%
Texas Tech 58.3% 58.3% 58.3%
North Carolina St. 50.2% 50.2% 50.2%
Texas 50.1% 50.1% 50.1%


Bubble Teams - First Teams Out

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Xavier 50.0% 50.0% 50.0%
Memphis 35.5% 35.5% 35.5%
Mississippi St. 34.2% 34.2% 34.2%
UCLA 32.9% 32.9% 32.9%
Stanford 30.3% 30.3% 30.3%
Rhode Island 22.6% 22.6% 22.6%
Purdue 19.4% 19.4% 19.4%
Northern Iowa 18.9% 18.9% 18.9%
Arkansas 17.8% 17.8% 17.8%
Saint Louis 14.4% 14.4% 14.4%
Oklahoma St. 12.9% 12.9% 12.9%
Tennessee 6.2% 6.2% 6.2%
South Carolina 5.8% 5.8% 5.8%
Notre Dame 4.3% 4.3% 4.3%
Syracuse 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
Connecticut 2.6% 2.6% 2.6%
Georgia Tech 2.1% 2.1% 2.1%
Tulsa 1.3% 1.3% 1.3%
Furman 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
Alabama 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
St. John's 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
San Francisco 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Boise St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Oregon St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Duquesne 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Clemson 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
SMU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%